The Negative Impact Of The Gold Market Is On The Long Line.

< p > > span style= "font-size: 12px". Here the world is a href= http://www.91se91.com/ target= _blank. > dress > /a > < target= > "" "" > "shoes". "Xiaobian", "Xiaobian", "hat" net) is introduced in the United States in June.

< p > > the US non farm data in June exceeded expectations, the unemployment rate dropped to nearly six years low, and the Fed raised interest rates ahead of schedule.

Stimulated by this stimulus, the Dow first came to 17000 points, while the US dollar was favorable, but the non US currencies such as the Australian dollar and the euro fell sharply. The negative impact of the gold market was on the long line, but it was also difficult to continue to rebound in the short term.

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Statistics released in the evening of < p > July 3rd show that the number of non farm employment in the United States increased by 288 thousand people in June, an increase of 215 thousand over the expected level, an increase of 217 thousand in the previous period, while the unemployment rate in the United States dropped to 6.1% in June, and the unemployment rate was the lowest since September 2008, with the expected and former values both being 6.3%.

In addition, the non farm employment data in April and May were upgraded, and the total number of jobs increased by 29 thousand in two months.

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< p > < strong > global stock market rose A shares fell only < /strong > /p >

< p > it is worth noting that the number of new non-agricultural employment increased by more than 200 thousand in June for the first time in five months. It was the first time since the prosperity of the late 90s.

Analysts generally believe that this data released optimistic economic signals, compared with the first quarter GDP shrank by 2.9%, a nearly 6 year low, the two quarter GDP improvement is basically determined, the expected growth of about 2%.

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By P, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 92.54 points on Thursday to 17068.78 points, or 0.55%, and for the first time in history, it stood at 17000 points.

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Under the influence of P, the Asian Pacific market overall stabilized on Friday, the stock index rose more or less, the Nikkei 225 index rose 0.58%, and the Hang Seng Index of Hongkong, China, also gained 0.06%.

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< p > however, the A share market continued to slump, and the gem diving once fell by more than 1%.

At the close, the Shanghai stock index reported 2059.38 points, or 0.19%.

However, new shares continued to be stir fried, and 9 new shares were collectively sealed.

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< p > Yang Delong, chief strategist of the South Fund, said in an interview with our reporter that under the stimulation of optimistic data, the US stock market was developing high, but A shares continued to be poor. This also reflected the pressure of long-term adjustment of A shares from itself. "On the one hand, there are not many good A companies, but on the other hand, the size of the shares has not been lifted and the scale of circulation is larger."

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< p > < strong > Gold > /strong > /p >

< p > < strong > the bad influence is mainly on the long line < /strong > /p >

< p > the United States June non farm employment report, "the sharp news", the agency increased the bet on the Fed's interest rate hike in June next year, for the gold price in dollar denominated short term negative pressure; at the same time, the employment data is good to indicate that the US economy is getting warmer, and gold's risk aversion can drop.

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< p > however, as the a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > Gold < /a > the demand season is coming to an end, the main body is waiting for more information on US economic data. The biggest drop in gold price is only 8 US dollars / ounce, and it rose to 1322 US dollars / ounce high on Friday evening.

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< p > for the short term trend of gold market, many institutions obviously have been boosting the market since mid June. In the first two trading days of this week, the largest gold ETF continued to add 11 tons of gold, the largest two days in 21 months.

Therefore, unless there is heavy bad information, institutional investors will selectively ignore the biased information.

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< p > Gold bear market or "sit down" < /p > in the second half of the year.

Chen Zhihao, Guangdong P, believes that the "bear market" of the gold market in the second half of 2014 will be "sitting on the table". Although the peak season is approaching and the demand for physical gold is increasing, the gold price is still difficult to exceed the key resistance level of 1480 US dollars, and the relative price increase is hard to exceed 15%.

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At the same time, Goldman Sachs expects that gold prices in the next 1 years will still fall to a low level of US $1050 / ounce, which is also close to the lower limit of the global gold mining cost (in addition, the latest average cost of the world gold association's statistics is US $1200). P

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He Weifeng, Guangdong's Yue Bao, said: "next week there will be more US economic data released. Whether the gold market can continue to rebound, next week's trend is very critical." P

Short term investors are advised to see more and do less.

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< p > strong > US dollar < /strong > /p >

< p > < strong > short term effect or limited < /strong > < /p >.

< p > exceeding expected data makes the market anticipate that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates ahead of schedule.

Although interest rate hikes may be earlier, analysts say the short-term benefits to the US dollar will be limited.

On Thursday, the US dollar index was 80.21, up 0.33%.

Yesterday, the US dollar index continued to fluctuate near 80.25.

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< p > a bank analyst pointed out that first of all, the Fed's interest rate increase means that its economy is improving. This will help the global economic recovery and boost market risk sentiment, and may have a negative impact on the US dollar index. Secondly, the United States is not the first country to raise interest rates. New Zealand has begun to raise interest rates, and the United Kingdom may also raise interest rates in the first quarter of 2014.

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< p > above analysts believe that the US dollar needs to rise above 80.5~80.7 before we can determine the medium term upward trend.

But overall, the US economy is improving and the probability of a stronger US dollar is bigger.

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< p > < strong > next week, pound, Australian dollar or callback < /strong > /p >

< p > yesterday, the US dollar index was near 80.25, the euro was near 1.36, the British pound was near 1.715, and the Australian dollar was near 0.9355.

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< p > the recent breakthrough of the Australian dollar exceeded 0.95 during the year. Unexpectedly, on Thursday, the chairman of the Australian Federal Reserve said the Australian dollar a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_s.asp" > /a > was overvalued.

Analysts said this means that the short term Australian dollar may again seek a 0.92 boost.

In addition, the pound is likely to be built at the 1.7140~1.7180 resistance barrier and may be callback in the future.

The euro needs to test the key support of 1.36, and the yen is expected to remain at a narrow concussion near 101~102.

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