Global Inflation Is Difficult To Continue And Easy To Split, A Shares Narrowing Narrower Road Widening

Affected by the sudden news, the US stock market showed a broad trend of concussion after its high inertia last Friday. Although the closing point has been far from the lowest point in the market, the three major indexes are rising and falling, that is, the Dow and the S & P are down by 0.30% and 0.01%, while the Nash is 0.27% higher, and the weekly gains are in turn 0.66%, 1.22% and 2.15%. At the same time, other stock indexes opened up and formed a trend of concussion last week. Greece, Argentina and Russia also rose to the top by 6.4% to 5.3%. Only the short-term fluctuations in Europe and the United States increased again, and the G7 members' board did not change substantially. The cross between Germany, France and Italy appeared more ambiguous. In other words, the recent uncertainty is still relatively large, the current inflation situation is difficult to endure, and once again, differentiation and repetition are inevitable. Uplink space It may well be subject to greater restrictions.

And equity market The weak market arrangement of the international futures market is still continuing. The US dollar index has been rising for fifth consecutive weeks, but it has not reached a record high in recent days. The weekly line has also closed up the shadow cross. It shows that the top selling pressure is still heavy, and the short tune may increase. 81.2, that is, the 5 week line and the short term platform will be tested. The CRB index has reached a limit level for eight weeks, but hopes for a rebound are still increasing. The five consecutive silver and even three weeks of copper may continue to decline. Unlike the grain and cotton varieties that have stopped falling, the gold in the minor tune is expected to maintain relative strength last week. Crude oil has recently been blocked down and worn out for short term platforms, but a long shadow crosses have been added to the weekly line, indicating that many parties have not yet gained the advantage, and the air offensive has also been blocked, and the two sides may continue to sew and wait for reinforcements.

Recent economic data in the United States are mixed. Only poor data are often interpreted differently. The Fed's senior officials' comments on monetary policy, rate hikes and geopolitical problems are more obvious. As far as market performance is concerned, the three major stock indexes have been rising recently and driving the short-term average moving steadily upward. After that, Zhou Yang Xing's idea of stabilization has been verified. The NASDAQ is approaching the peak of the year again. But the Dow's 5 week line has already been wearing 13 weeks line and constitutes a blocking pressure. The two average lines of the S & P are likely to be dead. The combination of the three weeks shows that they are not really turning stronger. Last Friday, a sharp shock and a negative sun shading trend showed that the market is relatively fragile, and the anxious attitude is easy to be exposed. Volatility will also be significantly enlarged, and it will continue to pick up and reverse the basic situation of finishing. This week's high level consolidation may be relatively large, 16800 points, 1980 points, 4520 points are expected to gradually become stronger, and if it falls below 16574 points, 1937 points, 4415 points, it may again slide.

Last week A shares After the opening up, the company still maintained a concussion attack posture. The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market rose 1.47% and 1.23%, and the 5 day line was more powerful, and the turnover was enlarged again. But at present, it is still in a state of sideways, and the weekly fluctuation zone will further converge. Breaking the deadlock is likely to be in sight and the short-term direction will be clearer. In terms of quantitative analysis, the turnover increased by about 4% to 14798 billion over the previous week. Over $1 trillion will probably exceed the seven week (11 week history) of the beginning of last year, indicating that the recent enthusiasm for participation has been very high, while the daily quantitative change has decreased slightly, indicating that the overall market is relatively stable, and that there is no significant change in the short term. But the stock index volume of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased by 40% over the past week, and by about 15% in the daily market, showing that the competition between the two countries has intensified. It is impossible for the two sides to invest heavily in maintaining a stalemate in the narrow area for a long time. Once a party has established its advantages, the market will probably stride forward along the way to win the victory. In terms of stock index analysis, although nearly five weeks rose 10% or so, it was inferior to 15% at the beginning of the year. The momentum of many parties was better than that. The 13 week and 26 week average lines were successively golden fork. But at present, it is just around 1.5 times and 1.618 times that of the previous wave, and after breaking through the long-term pressure line, it has not verified the effectiveness, and the amplitude of the last week has further narrowed sharply. The difference between the high and low points is only 60% of the 33 week average level in the year, indicating that the amplitude of swing is obviously insufficient, and that the changes in the air force are rather subtle.