Analysis Said Ali IPO Predicted That The Bull Market Will End.

The bull market in the US stock market has been more than five years, during which time the standard & Poor's 500 index rose nearly two times.

Now, the Alibaba group of China's e-commerce giant is about to make initial public offerings. According to the funds raised and market capitalization, Alibaba group's initial public offering will become the largest initial public offering in the history of American securities.

In this case, he began to guess whether the bull market would end.

In a Monday's investor report, Mr crass said, "when the stock market is at a low ebb, few companies will have IPO.

Many companies will choose to be in the middle of bull market.

"

Based on the analysis of the ten major initial public offerings in the United States, crass has come to the conclusion that the US stock market will go to bear market.

He said, "super large IPO tends to take place at the peak of the securities market."

For example, viza made its initial public offering in March 2008, less than 6 months from the subsequent financial crisis.

AT&T launched its initial public offering in April 2000, and 1 months later, technology stocks began to bubble.

Enel of Italy electric power company held initial public offering at the end of 1999.

Alibaba group and its underwriters have started roadshows this week to try to sell Alibaba group's shares to fund managers, pension funds and other investors.

The purpose of the roadshow is to estimate how many investors want to invest in Alibaba group's stock and their expected investment price.

For two weeks.

It is expected to end in September 18th.

If everything goes well,

The group will determine the issue price that night and will be officially launched in September 19th.

Mr crass believes that investors will not have to worry too much about the US stock market in the short term, considering that Alibaba group has initial public offerings for several weeks.

He said that the previous five trading days of the ten largest initial public offerings in the United States, the standard & Poor's 500 index's trend was quite stable; in the next five trading days, the average price increase of the standard & Poor's 500 index was 0.2%.

But in the long run, large initial public offerings are often at the peak of the bull market.

It is really a reflection that whether the history of the bull market in the United States will end when history repeats itself.