Shi Jun: The US Dollar Is Strong And The Pound Is Hard To Defend Itself.
Last Friday, the US dollar was the largest and the non US currencies fell across the board. Canada's consumer price index in August was broadly in line with expectations, and Canadian dollar had the smallest decline in non US currencies. The results of the Scotland referendum were announced on Friday. The trend of the pound also fluctuated with the progress of the referendum. After hitting 1.6520, the results of the public vote were in line with market expectations, and the pound fell rapidly, with a drop of more than 140 points on that day.
In the US stock market, Alibaba's listing failed to pull the NASDAQ index up sharply, and the three major stock indexes varied. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.08%, closing at 17279.74, the NASDAQ index down 0.30%, closing at 4579.79, and the S & P 500 index fell, or 0.05%, after its record high, closing at 2010.40 o'clock.
Scotland's referendum was finally determined to remain in the UK, which is also consistent with the market expectations. After the expected rise of the pound, the result of the referendum was determined, and the pound returned to a downward trend. This week's market sentiment on Scotland's referendum has been digested, and the pound has been short of support for another rally. There is a lack of data in the UK, and the trend of the pound will change with the US dollar.
Federal Reserve officials spoke more this week, basically speaking every night. Last week, the Fed's interest rate resolution did not announce a clearer increase in interest rates. Yellen also did not make a clear statement to support early interest rate hike. This week's speech, if Fed officials issued a tough attitude, would have a greater impact on the US dollar.
Concerned about the European Central Bank Delagi's speech and Federal Reserve officials Dudley's speech.
Operation suggestion:
Australian dollar Against US dollar
The Australian dollar's downtrend on Friday marked the end of Thursday's rally, and the Australian dollar fell sharply on the daily line. In the early morning, the Australian dollar's downward trend continued downward with the target of 0.8900. 0.8900 stands firm on behalf of the Aussie dollar will have a chance to callback, but will not change the recent decline of the Australian dollar. From the weekly chart, if the 0.8900 goes down, the Australian dollar will further test the price of 0.8820. The operation can wait for 0.8940 callbacks, continue to be short after the crash, and stop the above 0.8970.
Niu Yuan rebounded last week after falling to 0.8075, but the strength of the rally was not strong, and the upper side was once again suppressed by the resistance of 0.8175 of the daily lines, indicating that the decline of the New Zealand dollar has not ended. On the daily line, it is indicated that we need to wait for 0.8175 of the test again. If the resistance is broken up, the target of further rebound will continue to be near 0.8230. 0.8175 of the rundown is the opportunity to re-enter the empty list and stop the loss by 0.8200.
On Friday, Canada and Canada were affected by the Canadian consumer price index (CPI) in August, but the data is only short-term. From the four hour chart, the neckline of the head and shoulders of the United States and Canada is at 1.0933. Last week, it failed to effectively drop the opportunity to turn to the trend of concussion. Later, the strength of the US dollar will still lead us to Canada. Within days, it is recommended to wait for 1.09300 near to try more single, stop loss 1.0900 below.
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