Shi Jun: Interest Spread Before The Market Is Like A Frightened Bird.
Today's midnight market will usher in the Fed's interest rate resolution meeting, and before the resolution, the market trend is still not calm.
Last night, the Federal Reserve news agency suddenly reiterated that the Federal Reserve would maintain a low interest rate for a very long time. Such remarks were inconsistent with the recent increase in interest rate expectations, and the time just before the Federal Reserve was about to pay interest, thus affecting the weak nerves of the market.
Non US currencies rebounded all over the world, although the rally failed to last. But yesterday's non US currencies continued to rise.
The US stock market was hurt by the move, with the Dow Jones industrial average rising 0.59%, closing at 17132.10, the NASDAQ index rising 0.75%, closing at 4552.76, and the S & P 500 index rising 0.75%, closing at 1999.
Gold continued to show commodity attributes yesterday, followed by commodity currencies continued to rebound in the trend, but the above was suppressed by a limited margin, closing at $1236.70 an ounce.
The US dollar will be tested when the Fed's interest rate is around the corner.
But before that, the pound first faced the baptism of the minutes of the September central bank meeting, and then faced the risk of a referendum on Scotland's independence.
Therefore, these two days are very important for the pound. Once the minutes of the meeting and the Scotland independence referendum are suppressed, the pound will be suppressed.
Pound
There will be a very big drop.
When the Federal Reserve starts to raise interest rates, it remains.
market
The focus of attention is that the Fed used to publish more important news at the September meeting, for instance, this round of QE3 was officially announced at the September 2012 interest conference.
The meeting is not much to see. The time for the end of the QE3 has been confirmed. The market is no longer concerned about the interest rate, and the time of interest rate raising is most concerned. The Federal Reserve has announced a more specific time at this meeting.
Today, we need to focus on the UK employment figures, the euro area and the US consumer price index August.
Operation suggestion:
Australian dollar to us dollar
The Aussie dollar fluctuated yesterday. The rise of the late market was once above 0.9100, but the Japanese line finally closed below the resistance of 0.9090.
The Australian dollar will continue to show downward momentum after the blockage.
At present, the four hour downhill resistance is at 0.9060. After the fall, the Australian dollar will continue to test the integer price of 0.9000. Within the next day, it is suggested that we wait for 0.9090 to try again, and to try the empty list and stop the loss 0.9115.
New York dollar to us dollar
Niu Yuan yesterday was similar to the Australian dollar, but the strength of the rally was weak, and the upper level also encountered 0.8203 of the resistance of the Japanese line.
Today, the strength of New Zealand dollar is the most powerful in commodity currencies. In the trend, NZD will test the resistance of 0.8203 of the Japanese line once again. Once the breakthroughs are made, the target of the NZ dollar will go to 0.8275.
Short wait 0.8203 of the test again, after losing, continue to be short, stop 0.8235 above.
US dollar to Canadian dollar
The United States and Canada yesterday fell sharply from the good data of Canada and the weakening of the US dollar, and back to the previous 1.0810 to 1.1000 range of shocks.
From the chart of the daily line, the US and Canada waves continue to fall after this week's high inflation. The first step is to test the resistance of 1.0940. If there is a drop, the United States and Canada need to go further down to 1.0900 to seek support again.
On the operation, it is recommended to wait for 1.0900 test to do more after stabilization, and stop loss below 1.0850.
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