Shi Jun: The Sun Is Not Falling, The Empire Is About To Split The Pound.
Last Friday's non-agricultural data accident was weak, and the trend of the rise in the US dollar was briefly suppressed. Yesterday, the US dollar index strengthened again. Non US currency Commodity currencies remained relatively strong and European currencies continued to weaken. As the second quarter GDP data fell sharply again, the yen continued to maintain a weak trend, and the US dollar hit a new high over the years. The US stock market changed yesterday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.15%, closing at 17111.42 points, the NASDAQ index rising 0.20%, closing at 4592.29 points, and the S & P 500 index down 0.31%, closing at 2001.54 o'clock.
Last Friday, US non farm data showed that the number of new jobs in August was only 142 thousand, far below the market expected level of 230 thousand. After the second quarter, the number of non farm employment in the United States was below 200 thousand for the first time. This also confirms the view of the Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen on the labour market at the annual meeting of Jackson Holzer central bank. Although the US dollar index has adjusted to a certain extent after the announcement of non-agricultural data, in general, as the European Central Bank's interest rate completely attracted the market's attention, this non-agricultural market has not been able to cause the market to fluctuate too much. After a small adjustment last Friday, the US dollar index continued to rise significantly yesterday.
Need attention this afternoon. Britain In terms of data, Britain's July trade account and the monthly manufacturing and industrial production rates in July are more important data reflecting the current economic situation in the UK. However, the current trend of the British pound is affected by the referendum sentiment in Scotland, as weekend opinion polls show that more than half of those who have not yet decided that they support Scotland independence are the first to support independence. If the data in Britain are weak today, it is doubtless a continuation of the recent downturn in the pound. If the data are better, Pound It is still difficult to start a big rebound.
Operation suggestion:
Australian dollar to us dollar
Yesterday, the US dollar rose and pressure on commodity currencies. The Australian dollar fell nearly 90 points. Today, the Australian dollar continues to decline, and it will face a test of 0.9250 of Japanese resistance. If the Australian dollar falls below 0.9250 today, it represents a break in the pre - annual line of shocks. The Australian dollar will continue to decline in the latter part of the year, and at least test the key downward resistance of 0.9200 below. If the close of the day is 0.9250, then the Australian dollar will remain in the range of 0.9250 to 0.9360 in the short term. Short term recommendations wait for 0.9280 callbacks, run down, stop loss 0.9310 above, once fell below 0.9250, further down to 0.9200.
New York dollar to us dollar
The New York dollar had a larger pullback on Friday and formed a status quo in the daily line, and yesterday's strong dollar made the hopes of the New Zealand dollar callback disillusioned. At present, the strength of the New Zealand dollar has continued, and the 0.8040 price of the Japanese line is still the target target for the New Zealand dollar. The four hour chart shows that the price of the New York dollar is once again short, and it is 0.8280. After the pullback is defeated, it can intervene again in the blank list and stop the loss above 0.8310, target 0.8040.
US dollar to Canadian dollar
Although the US's non farm data were weak on Friday, employment in Canada was also less than expected, and the employment rate also declined. Yesterday, the United States and Canada returned to the trend of rising. Yesterday, the United States and Canada are testing the resistance to 1.1000 of the daily concussion. If the upward trend of the daily line is broken, the United States and Canada will continue to go up to test the price of 1.1200. If the Japanese line fails to break the position, the United States and Canada will continue to adjust their reserves and rush ahead. During the operation, it is recommended to wait for 1.1000 effective positions to follow up more than one stop and stop the loss below 1.0960.
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