There Is Still Upward Momentum In The Market. Holiday Popularity Is Soaring.
The near future The Shanghai and Shenzhen two cities showed a trend of first suppression and post Yangs, and the Shanghai Composite Index hit a new high. But it is worth noting that the Shanghai and Shenzhen two cities have been divided. When the Shanghai stock market hit a new high, the Shenzhen composite index, the gem and the SME board failed to reach a new high, indicating that the greater the market share, the greater the divergence. As the market is strong and stocks are accelerating, the post market "light index and heavy stocks" is still the main strategy of operation, but at the same time, strategic positions should be controlled to make progress and retreat smoothly.
news On the other hand, the accelerated depreciation policy of fixed assets, the support of the coal industry to get rid of difficulties, the innovation business of brokerages, and the promotion of the new deal have all had a positive impact on the market. In particular, HSBC's PMI was better than expected in September, showing signs of gradual economic stabilization and a boost to the market. Steady economic growth and market prosperity are closely linked. The reform of state-owned enterprises and economic restructuring complement each other, and the market is constantly interpreting new hot spots with the release of reform dividends.
Capital side As a result, the central bank's forward-looking operation has made the pre holiday capital relatively abundant, and the short-term interest rate has seen a relatively stable trend. In the open market this week, the maturity fund is 25 billion yuan, and the capital side tends to be loose. The central bank is repurchasing 36 billion yuan in the open market, and this week the net withdrawal is 11 billion yuan. Whether the economic growth can be stabilized after the capital passes through a stable period will still affect the trend of monetary policy.
From the market environment, it is still beneficial to many parties. First, because the RQFII quota in Hongkong will be used up, the foreign exchange bureau is studying the increase of the quota, which is conducive to the continuous inflow of funds. Second, the Shanghai and Hong Kong links and the Fourth Plenary Session of the fourth plenary session will bring better reform expectations. Finally, with inflation free and the downward trend in capital interest rates, the more relaxed monetary policy will continue.
Technically, the main pressure level of the K-line is 2440, so the market still has the possibility of continuing upward. After market concern: first, brokers, military industry, ports and media can continue to expand space, this is the market sentiment plate; two is the change of some news during holidays, the impact on the market after the festival; three is whether the volume can continue to enlarge, the amount can be magnified, and the power of the market will be enough, otherwise it will be difficult to get out of the plate.
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