Wu Peng: The Fed'S Words Are Optimistic And The US Index Has Risen Sharply.
The Fed's interest rate resolution statement includes: it is appropriate to maintain interest rates for a long time after the US Federal Reserve stopped buying debt; market based inflation showed a slight decline, long-term inflation expectations remained stable, and continued low energy prices constituted downward pressure on short-term inflation.
U.S.A
The labor
Market indicators show that labour market underutilization is gradually decreasing.
Expected economy
It will expand at a moderate pace, further improve the labor market, and "labor market risk" is close to equilibrium. The lower unemployment rate also means a steady improvement in the employment market. Household expenditure is rising moderately and commercial fixed investment has increased. However, the recovery of the real estate market is still fragile, and the economy and employment prospects are almost balanced.
Federal Reserve
Interest rise
Time depends on the process of inflation approaching the Federal Reserve target.
The Fed expressed optimism in terms of inflation, employment, consumption and investment, and withdrew from the QE combination to boost the US index.
The ECB survey showed that all lending standards were relaxed in the third quarter. The banking industry expects to further relax credit standards in the four quarter. It is estimated that demand for loans will continue to increase in the fourth quarter. The bank's TLTRO intake will be affected by profitability. The bank plans to use TLTRO funds to issue additional loans. Euro zone banks are expected to subscribe 170 billion euros in the second round of TLTRO in December.
The world bank statement: China's economic growth model is changing and will be more determined by market forces. China's property market overcapacity will curb housing prices in the next few quarters. The slowdown in China's growth is structural rather than a temporary slowdown. If China's GDP growth target is 7% next year, it will give the job market enough protection.
The New Zealand Federal Reserve said the New Zealand Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 3.5, and the New Zealand Federal Reserve abandoned further tightening of monetary policy. Price inflation has dropped significantly, and the economy of major economies has been weakening except for the US, and the New Zealand dollar is expected to slide further.
The euro was heavily overcharged yesterday, with pressure above 1.2770 on the top and supported by 1.2620.
The adjustment began in October on the Japanese line, and the euro continued downward downward trend. The average medium-term repression of the exchange rate was more effective.
The 4H level RSI is below 50, the MACD green pillar expands, and the overall energy is very weak.
Support: 1.2500, 1.2600 resistance: 1.2710, 1.2770.
Gold fell sharply overnight, fell below the 1218 line of key support, the daily average of the medium-term line again pressure on the exchange rate, gold 5 waves down or will continue.
The mid and long term 4H average price pressure is formed, RSI is below 50, MACD is green pillar, and the overall energy and relative energy are weaker.
Support: 1190, 1209.50 resistance: 1241, 1249.
Operation recommendations: 1218 near the attempt to empty, stop loss $4, target 1209.50, 1190.
The United States and Japan rose sharply yesterday, breaking 108.33 front-line resistance. Today, Asia's market is firmly on the top of the 108.83 line.
The 4H level moving average system has supported the exchange rate. The RSI combination is above 50, MACD is positive column, and the total energy and relative energy are strong.
Support: 107.40, 108.33 resistance: 110, 116.
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