Ye Rongtian: Don't Panic. 2600 O'clock Will Come.
When the market has become a trend, it is not necessary for us to gamble unreasonably, so we firmly believe that we must adjust to a certain point or a certain interval. This is only your own psychological function, or it belongs to your psychology. Because once a person has a profit, or profit Beyond the scope of their own cognition, there will be inexplicable panic, which stems from the fear that human beings always feel unaware of unknown things. And this fear is exactly what the market needs most, because the fear you feel is also felt by others. If this fear is lost, then the market is the real end, not now.
Don't doubt the market, you should doubt yourself. Because the essence of the market is capital push, so long as there is infinite capital, there will be infinite market. All the ups and downs of the capital market are not related to the quality of the macro-economy or the fundamentals. The only relationship is that the capital push has already formed a system, which is hard to break. If you think that the logic of the market has risen too fast, too fast, too high, too high or too far beyond what you can understand, then you have this kind of logic. know It is wrong, because your cognition is not based on what funds need and what it will bring, but only in your self perception that the market will listen to you. Obviously, the people who sell today will feel that they are wearing a green hat as a hateful day, because at that time, in this sense of self, it is like being sad and dead on the trading board, but it is still hard to bear.
First of all, you need to understand a relationship. The rise of large cap stocks will never be promoted for the sake of small cap stocks, because this is not an opponent and disk of magnitude. To pull up a bank of China's daily limit requires a turnover of 3 billion, which will increase the volume of a Shanghai Pudong Development Bank's trading limit by 10 billion, and increase the volume of a Sinopec's trading limit by 8 billion. Only the volume of the three needed can offset the total volume of 50 or more small and medium-sized stocks. And there are more than 100 similar weights in the market. Do you think that some people will spend hundreds of billions of dollars to get ten billion of their money to flee? Because of this, your point of view is wrong at the beginning, because you see that the small cap stocks that they hold are falling down, and the big stocks are rising and producing jealousy.
But have you ever thought of lifting one? Bank of China How much more money do you need to raise the limit? How much do I need to raise again? I tell you: there is still 10%. For institutions, the courage to launch the super weight share's trading limit means that more funds will continue to rise, and institutional buying and selling stocks are never as easy to enter as the individual can come up with. As a result of the relationship between capital volume, the entry and exit must consider the cost problem, pull up the limit of a bank of China, there is a 10% profit on the disk, but only 5% of the profits on the books are less than, and then calculate the impact cost of the shipment 5% to 8%, the stock must have more than 20% increase in the short term, so they can only retreat in the whole province. Because of this, the launching of bank shares is often a gradual process, and at the same time, the market is constantly rising, which is due to the need of cost. Another factor, behind the sudden launch of such an index market, is the courage to pull up the banking stocks. It must be analyzed and investigated to the existence of greater post thrust, which will act like this. Otherwise, large amounts of capital will go into losses. And this greater thrust will follow you next week. The 2500 point is never the top, because it is not only a logical relationship, but also a market relationship.
Next Monday, Shanghai and Hong Kong will be formally opened. Before that, A shares will take advantage of this last limited time to fully attack the key points of the index and how high they can be. Let all funds begin to participate in the market. By next Monday, the market is expected to be around 2600. By then, the existing funds in the heavyweights include public offering, private placement, and hot money will begin to retreat and enter low-priced Hong Kong stocks. The A share market index will officially come to an end. The long term growth of gem and small and medium sized boards, theme stocks and restructured stocks will start to fill up, and the market will return to the main stage of theme stocks. Without accident, the highest point of next week's market will also be the highest point this year, and the closing point of this year's market will remain between 2444 and 2600.
So at present, this few days, give you some suggestions, hold the subject stock do not change stock, the kill has been basically in place, the rest is only the problem of time to fill up, patience wait for next week. And those who have money can participate in banks, insurance, and other heavyweights before next Tuesday. They will have a 15% gain between 2600 points. By next Tuesday, the market will be reshuffled. China's top blue chips such as China Railway, MCC and China will gradually begin to fall, with funds diverting to Hong Kong stocks and theme stocks.
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