Shi Jun: Super Week Is Coming To A Curtain Call.
The European Central Bank's interest rate did not announce a new easing policy. Delaki also hinted at a subsequent press conference that he would not consider QE until next February.
This has depressed euro bank's loose market expectations, and European stock markets have been greatly affected by the news.
In terms of US stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S & P 500 index, though rising again in the middle of the day, failed to change the downtrend. The Dow Jones index closed down 0.07%, at 17900.10 points, the S & P 500 index closed down 0.12%, reported at 2071.92 points, and the NASDAQ index closed down 0.11%, at 4769.44 points.
Delaki's speech undermined the loose expectations of the European Central Bank.
However, in her speech, Delaki also mentioned that the QE of the European bank does not require the agreement of the members of the European Central Bank. This statement is very important. Although Delaki mentioned that QE measures will not be adopted before February next year, the fact is that the QE of the European Central Bank has been greatly resisted and therefore can not really start. If the QE of the European Central Bank does not require the unanimous consent of the members, then Delaki will be forced to start the pace of QE in Europe after February next year.
The super week's grand finale will be opened tonight, and US non farm payrolls data will mark the end of this super week.
Looking back this week, the reversal of gold and non US currencies on Monday is very dramatic. After that, the market is also relatively volatile. Although this year's importance of non-agricultural data is not as good as before, this super week is doomed to be dull. I believe tonight's non-agricultural data will still bring surprises to the market.
Operation suggestion:
Australian dollar to us dollar
The Australian dollar fell slightly yesterday and continued to refresh its low point for many years. The downward trend of the weekly line remained unchanged at 0.8275.
From the chart of the daily line, the strength of the Australian dollar is still going on, and the idea of keeping it short is maintained.
At present, the Australian dollar four hour chart uplink resistance is at 0.8440. Once the repulldown is defeated, it is the right opportunity for shorting the Australian dollar. If the retracement is weak, it can try the light duty near 0.8410 and stop the loss 0.8450.
New York dollar to us dollar
The trend of the New Zealand dollar is still strong, and yesterday's line was closed, and the daily line continued to operate within 0.7660 to 0.7990 of the shock interval.
Before today's non-agricultural data release, the New Zealand dollar still takes the four hour map of 0.7730 to 0.7790 as the main trend. If it falls down effectively, the target of further decline will point to 0.7660 of the interval support, while the 0.7790 increase represents the strength of the New York dollar up to 0.7840.
US dollar to Canadian dollar
The United States and Canada went up slightly yesterday, while the upper part continued to be suppressed by 1.1400 and failed to break through effectively.
From the four hour figure, the US and Canada yesterday's downtrend stabilized at 1.1350. Before the announcement of non farm data this evening, the United States and Canada will continue to maintain a narrow range of 1.1350 to 1.1400 intervals. As the United States and Canada will publish non-agricultural data this evening, they will have a greater impact on the trend of us and Canada.
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