Annual Inventory Of China's Knitting Industry In 2014
Low growth new normal
In the three quarter of the year, the industrial added value was 8.5%. manufacturing industry The increase is 9.6%, and the increase in power generation, coal and oil is 2.2%, 3.6% and 3.6% respectively. Retail sales of consumer goods totaled 21 trillion yuan, an increase of 12%, of which 49.9% of online retail sales and 5.1% of industrial exports nationwide.
"The textile industry is no longer like the" new normal "of the national economy. It is the growth of medium and high speed. In fact, as the industry with the highest degree of marketization, we have entered the new normal of low speed growth before the national economy. Gao Yong, vice president and Secretary General of China Textile Industry Federation, pointed out that in the Fifth Fifth Session of the China knitwear industry association, the overall analysis of the textile industry in 2014 pointed out. In the first half of October this year, the export of China's textile industry showed a steady upward trend, while domestic demand grew downward. "Despite the slow recovery of the world economy, our textile and garment industry has recovered faster than we expected in the world market. Because the domestic demand that we hoped for in the past did not grow faster than we expected, so the final market situation is basically a steady development trend throughout the year. Gao Yong said.
Gao Yong pointed out that the whole textile industry in 2014 1~10 months. Added value At 7.4%, the value added of the whole national economy remained unchanged. The main business income of the textile industry was 54493 billion yuan, an increase of 7.57%. The total profit was 268 billion 300 million yuan, an increase of 9.13%, and the export volume was 254 billion 400 million dollars, an increase of 6.37%. The export situation of textile industry was better than expected in the first 10 months, showing a steady upward trend. However, the domestic demand and export situation were just the opposite. The growth rate of total domestic demand consumption dropped from 17% at the beginning of the year to 10%. From the two sets of import and export figures, the entire textile industry is still at a relatively stable stage of development, and the fixed assets investment in the textile industry is 12.5%.
"The textile industry is no longer like the" new normal "of the national economy. It is the growth of medium and high speed. In fact, as the industry with the highest degree of marketization, we have entered the new normal of low speed growth before the national economy.
From the perspective of the entire textile industry chain, the front end of the textile industry chain (such as cotton spinning and chemical fiber) is still in the doldrums, but the terminal of the industrial chain is basically stable. The upgrading speed and scale expansion speed of the entire textile industry has obviously slowed down, and the textile industry has entered the economic shift period before the national economy. According to statistics from the International Bureau of statistics on the output of main textile products in 1-10 months, the yarn output reached 31 million 790 thousand tons, an increase of 7.16%; the output of cloth was 57 billion 800 million meters, an increase of 2.5%; the output of printing and dyeing cloth was 51 billion 300 million meters, showing a slight negative growth (-0.72%); the output of non-woven fabrics was 2 million 940 thousand tons, an increase of 9.43%; the output of clothing was 24 billion 400 million, 2.71%; among them, the output of knitted garments was 12 billion 700 million, the growth was 12 billion 700 million, and the output of knitted garments was increased. Contrary to the data at the end of last year, the output of knitted apparel was zero growth in 2013, and this year's growth rate is slightly higher than that of woven garments.
Faced with the new changes in the economic environment, how to adapt to the new normal of the world and China's economy, find opportunities for growth in the new normal period, and accelerate transformation and upgrading have become the fundamental task of the development of the industry.
In order to welcome the new 10 years of China's knitting industry, Yang Shibin, assistant president of China Textile Industry Federation and President of China knitted Industrial Association, summed up the overall operation characteristics of China's knitting industry in 2014 with the theme of "going deep into a big ship". He pointed out that at present, the world economy has obviously differentiated, the developed economies have been better, the emerging economies are uneven, and the global economy has returned to the old system dominated by the US dollar. Under the "new normal", the sustainable development of China's economy is facing many uncertain factors. Against this background, the purpose of industry investment is no longer employment but structural adjustment.
Although the export situation of the entire knitting industry is better than expected this year, the economic rebalancing has achieved initial results, and the problem of "capacity" has been alleviated. However, the trend of investment decline is faster than expected, the export oriented economy is highly coincident and the competition is becoming more and more obvious. At the same time, facing the double uncertainty of government behavior and market expectations, the complexity and arduous nature of industrial restructuring will undoubtedly emerge. "These problems that plagued the development of the industry indicate that the speed of growth is not a problem, but the structure is the problem." Yang Shibin said that the ability of the government to make macro adjustments and controls with monetary and interest rate policies has been greatly weakened, and the stimulation of market forces still needs time.
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A ship in deep water
In 2013, the export of China's knitting industry broke 100 billion US dollars, reaching 109 billion 700 million US dollars, an increase of 12% over the same period in 2012, accounting for 3/8 of the total export volume of the textile and garment industry. This year, the 1~10 knitting industry exports 89 billion 100 million US dollars, and the total export volume is expected to exceed 100 billion US dollars this year.
According to statistics, the total retail sales of consumer goods in October 2014 totaled 21 trillion and 300 billion yuan, an increase of 11.5% over the same period last year. In October, the retail sales of clothing, shoes, hats, needles and textile products totaled 983 billion 400 million yuan, an increase of 10.9% over the same period last year. The export of knitted garments decreased this year, but the growth rate of knitted fabrics was faster than that of the same period last year, but the unit price has dropped slightly. According to the import data, there are two different situations. The knitted fabric has dropped by 19.4%. This reflects the declining share of the knitted fabric by the side. It reflects the competitiveness of the knitted fabrics in China. In addition, the export volume of the top 20 knitting export enterprises exceeded 10% of the total export of the knitting industry, and the value of delivery of 40 knitted industrial clusters accounted for 50% of the total export volume of the knitting industry.
"The overall export situation of the knitting industry is better than expected this year, but the investment downturn is faster than expected." Yang Shibin said that from a positive point of view, the economic rebalancing has achieved initial results, and the "capacity" problem has been alleviated. Because investment means the capacity and output in the next 6~12 months. This year's earnings from diversification will not be reflected in the growth of profits. It may be that the sale of stocks increases the total profit. From the domestic market situation, by the end of October 2014, the total retail sales of social consumer goods amounted to 21 trillion and 300 billion yuan, an increase of 11.5% over the same period. Among them, retail sales of clothing, shoes, hats, needles and textile products totaled 983 billion 400 million yuan, up 10.9% from the same period last year. In the first three quarters of 2014, the scale of e-commerce transactions in China was 2 trillion and 950 billion yuan, of which clothing accounted for 25%, an increase of 17.7% over the previous year, and the scale of China Mobile's shopping market reached 230 billion 960 million yuan, an increase of 250.9% over the same period last year. In the future, the mobile terminal market deserves our attention.
"From the industry status quo, although the growth potential is much, but the enterprise resources are few, the export-oriented economy highly coincides, the competition is obvious. At present, all kinds of costs are rising rapidly, but the efficiency of digestion costs is still not matched. "
According to authoritative organizations, China's foreign investment will be the first to exceed foreign direct investment in 2015. In 2013, China's foreign investment amounted to US $108 billion, attracting foreign capital of US $118 billion. This also confirms that the pace of "going global" is accelerating. During the 3~8 months of this year, 19 thousand and 700 newly registered enterprises in the industry were 61% higher than the same period. Many of them are small and micro enterprises, but many of them are business enterprises. In 2014, the State Council approved the total investment of railway projects totaling 1 trillion and 110 billion yuan. In November 7th, the NDRC approved 22 subway construction plans, with a total investment of 882 billion yuan. Judging from the current situation of the industry, although the growth potential is large, but the enterprise resources are few, the outward oriented economy is highly coincided, and the competition is obvious. At present, all kinds of costs are rising rapidly, but the efficiency of digestion cost is still not matched.
At present, the initiative to adapt to the "new normal" and accelerate transformation and upgrading has become the fundamental task of the development of China's knitting industry. In the future, the industry should focus on the adjustment of human structure and industrial structure in order to better adapt to the economic development under the new normal. Yang Shibin pointed out that in the aspect of structural adjustment of human beings, taking the aging society as an example, 40~60 is a generation that accumulates wealth and has great consumption power. Perhaps it will usher in the second demographic dividend -- "old age bonus". At present, the wealth accumulation of 40~60 years old people is equivalent to the past 100 years, and the accumulation rate of the next generation is not as good as that of this generation. This generation is a wealth family. Therefore, for enterprises, when studying the product mix, they should adjust to the changes of consumers' demand and consumption in the future. In the aspect of industrial structure adjustment, we should pay attention to the transformation from individual advantage to system advantage, and do a good job in the innovation of platform economy and organization group. The innovation of the masses is micro innovation and encouragement, which is also the key factor of competition. With the advent of the era of 4 intelligent manufacturing, we must strive to grasp the important development direction of the Internet plus the Internet of things.
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Going out to achieve transnational layout
Zhang Yankai, a consultant of China Textile Industry Federation, said that the development of China's textile industry has talked about "going global" today. There are two backgrounds for such a topic: one is the big form of the country, and the other is determined by the situation of the textile industry itself. The historical background of the textile industry's going out is mainly that China's capital going out has become a national strategy and an irresistible trend of history. Encouraging Chinese enterprises and Chinese capital to go out is a sustainable national strategy. In 2000, our country put forward the strategy of "going out", which is a major strategic move that concerns China's overall development and future.
Going out to explore the international market is an important way for traditional industries to shine. Looking back, before 2008, China was mainly a capital importing country. There has been a significant change since 2000. In 2013, our foreign direct investment exceeded US $100 billion for the first time, ranking third in the world. By the end of 2013, 15300 Chinese corporate enterprises had invested 25400 overseas companies, which were distributed in 184 countries, and now the total amount of foreign investment accumulated to us is 660 billion US dollars. Therefore, the pace of "going global" is still accelerating. On the one hand, in accelerating the process of reform and opening up, relevant departments of the state are putting forward new management methods to simplify relevant procedures. On the other hand, the transformation and upgrading of China's textile industry has also entered a new stage of transnational layout. Further deepening industrial restructuring, accelerating transformation and upgrading, and adapting to the new normal of China's economy have become the root task of the development of China's textile industry.
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