It Is Not Easy To Break Through. We Should Guard Against The Backlash Of The Weekly K Line And Return To 3203 Points.
It is estimated that the market should have failed to anticipate that the three sectors of banks, insurance and securities will be strong on Wednesday, and the index will be directly open but only maintain an hour's high strength. After 10:30, the index will gradually fall, and the afternoon market will fall below the level plate. Finally, it will be forced to pull up 3290 points of small red for the purpose of closing the 10 day moving average 3285 points.
From February 26th to the present, the 10 trading days have maintained a stable volume. It seems to be rising or falling. It seems to fall and refuse to fall, leaving many suspense Thursday entering the critical point and the answer must be given.
From the bullish point of view, can we see whether Thursday will pull up? The two question must be answered: first, can we open up a bigger upside space if we can pull up again? If we can not open up the upside space, we must stick to the high position and not increase the difficulty and increase; secondly, if we need to enlarge the volume of the increase again, is it possible to attract new capital to enter the market? If we only rely on the current stock market funds, we can hardly imagine that the multi-party can be pushed up from here.
Even if there is a large amount of short-term release, it will subsequently be reduced because of subsequent inability to reduce it again. It is feared that a large number of them will be released after being unloaded and sold down to a lower level. If the rally is not possible, then the evolution will not be a short-term confrontation, which can eliminate potential selling pressure, but will deepen and increase the release of selling pressure. This is a very bad evolution. We must pay attention to it.
At this stage, we should pay attention to the different price and price cycle changes in Shanghai and Shenzhen two cities. Secondly, we should pay more attention to active and passive influences.
Market speculation
Topic.
It is also rumoured that the central bank will issue a 10 trillion yuan Chinese version of QE, which is disappearing after the denial of the Treasury. No one can tell. After all, the industrial added value of the former February only increased by 6.8%, the lowest data in nearly 9 years.
In particular, the distribution of the volume of turnover and the interpretation of the situation are more important, and the analysis is as follows:
In July 22nd, there was a significant increase in the volume of trading volume. The third stages were the shortest. However, the average value of the 10 and 20 days in the fourth phases was 2132 and 209 billion 200 million yuan, and the peak value of 5454 and 512 billion 500 million yuan was increased from 2132 to 209 billion 200 million yuan in the following 19 and 28 days respectively. Then, the proportion of 512 billion 500 million and 512 billion 500 million was gradually expanded, and then gradually reduced to the volume of tidal compression. At present, only one compression to February 26th was achieved, and the compression ratio of four days was not enough. First,
Two, 60 daily average line high peak value of 404 billion 700 million yuan, down to 6 days, eighth days will be the most critical day, there are 60 days below the average price line 3195 point of risk, just this day is the weekly K-line closing, from the horizontal 12 weeks interpretation, there will be below 12 week line 3248 points, or lower below 6 week line 3228 points.
The three K line condition also has a tendency to fall back to the first 3203 points. We must pay attention to the lowering action after pulling up, especially when the pull height fails to break down after 3351.
Stock funds can not be promoted to be cautious.
Individual stock
still retrievable
From the evolution of the long period 120 day tidal volume, the volume of 308 billion 900 million yuan in Shanghai and 242 billion 600 million yuan in the Shenzhen stock market is interpreted from different periods. Two cities have obvious "left high right low" tidal volume, indicating the weakening of quantitative energy in this stage.
It is important to note that no obvious over-the-counter capital investment is difficult to form a favorable incremental increment, and how to withdraw is the key.
The evolution of tidal volume in different periods will inevitably lead to the formation of different structural plates and the differentiation steps of stocks. These will become more obvious before this week's collection of the K-line.
1., we should use the market in many ways.
Weight share
Can the stability index be recognized? The rotation of banks, insurance and securities sector has a significant impact on the rise and fall of the index, but will there be any counteraction in the continuous application of such a method of operation? Especially if the belt is not fixed and the quantity fails, the subsequent changes will increase faster, which is not a good thing for the market.
2., there will always be speculative funds in the market, which will shift along with the market changes. For example, the index of small and medium enterprises and gem will weaken in the Shenzhen stock market. But the results of the recent 7 trading days can create more capital investment? In the past, the characteristics of the incremental increase reached the end of the incremental operation. Before the price fell, the volume was overweight, and once it fell down, it turned out to be a solution.
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