Keep Awake When Participating In A Bull Market Bubble

The title changes to the saying that "half awake half drunk" means.

Is there a bubble now? For some stocks, of course.

But no one can tell when the bubble will burst.

When the market fever has been established, it is difficult to change without external force.

Even if the adjustment is made, the big direction must be bull market. Only those with insight can hope that the bull market can go a little slower.

But what is slow and fast, and there is no way to give a consensus standard.

The meaning of participating in the bull market bubble is not to be too sober on the draught.

In 2007, there was a famous man who was empty at 3000, and the market reached 6000.

Conclusion.

It means that the Shanghai Composite Index will rise by 30%, and the growth enterprise market will fall by 30% (at the end of last year).

So far, we have seen the actual trend.

Don't misunderstand.

I respect all two of you.

At least they can stick to their own views.

But the market does not believe in tears and the market does not believe in celebrities.

What I want to say is that if reality can not be changed, as a trader, it can only follow suit.

Don't fantasize.

The meaning of staying awake is to remind ourselves that we must know what we are doing.

When the seller's organization suggests that the report of "no brain buying" and "buy by hand" becomes a hot topic in the circle, as a participant, it should be clear about what he is doing.

I understand that under the pressure of fund performance ranking, it is difficult to not follow.

If you don't follow, you will probably be.

This is a cruel reality.

But as an ordinary investor, there will be no pressure on this ranking.

Therefore, ordinary investors earn their own ability to earn money within themselves, which they can understand.

The money should not be compared with the people around you. Only comparing yourself with your past is the basis for your "long life" in the stock market.

Now the market has lost the significance of short-term analysis, it is obvious that this position is difficult to produce a big drop.

Last week, the idea of "adjustment" could only be abolished. When the Shanghai composite index began to hit a new high this year, the future resonance type adjustment will have a basis at some time.

But not now.

As far as historical experience is concerned, when a single large IPO starts every few years, it marks the end of the market phase.

PetroChina in 2007 and Chinese architecture in 2009 will be the opportunity for IPO implementation of Guotai Junan this year. At present, the company has just announced the prospectus, which is still quite a bit away from the listing.

This expectation does not necessarily represent the inevitable outcome, but the market performance before and after the listing should be emphasized.

According to the current method, or the Shanghai composite index above 5000 points, the formal registration schedule of the registration system is clear, and the timing of the large IPO listing confirms that the three conditions meet at least two, it will enable people to form a real sense of fear and "dare to sell" sentiment. At that time, the adjustment will have a market base and a drop in space before a resonance can be formed.

But in this world, anything can happen.

When we expect to be laughed at again and again, I can only say that now we must be brave enough to take part in the bull market's bubble premium (COURAGE) and keep awake at all times.