Xinjiang Cotton Production 4 Million 600 Thousand Tons In 2014/2015

Cotton production in Xinjiang was 4 million 600 thousand tons in 2014/2015. According to the northern Xinjiang model, it is expected to drop by 500 thousand tons in Xinjiang.

Xinjiang's cotton output is expected to be 4 million 100 thousand tons in the new year, and the volume of public inspection will be less than 4 million tons.

According to author and

Hebei,

The number of cotton growers is expected to drop by 30%.

The output of 1 million 900 thousand tons in the mainland can be reduced by 2 million tons in the mainland, if the 100 thousand tons that Xinjiang did not check out.

The mainland's 1 million 900 thousand tons) is expected to decline by 30% in the new year, according to the planting area of Hebei Province. The real estate volume will be 1 million 330 thousand tons, with an expected reduction of 570 thousand tons over the same period.

The total cotton volume in 2015/2016 is estimated to be 4 million 100 thousand tons in Xinjiang and 1 million 330 thousand tons in the mainland, totaling 5 million 430 thousand tons.

It is expected to drop by 1 million 70 thousand tons over the same period.

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Recently, long staple cotton has been somewhat "abnormal", not only the price stagflation, but also the local sales have slowed down, and the sales progress has slowed down.

As of 25 days, the price of 137 grade long staple cotton mill in Awati, Akesu, Xinjiang was 28200 yuan / ton (public inspection, including tax), 237 class 27300 yuan / ton, 337 grade 26200 yuan / ton, since the beginning of May, the mainstream price of local long staple cotton has been reduced by 300-500 yuan / ton.

Besides the drop in prices, factory sales progress is slow.

A ginning plant in Awati has processed 3900 tons of long staple cotton this year, and has sold 2700 tons so far, but there has not been a deal in nearly a week.

"I'm afraid the long staple cotton is going to cool down."

The person in charge of the company is more worried about the future market.

During this period, many market participants showed pessimism to the long staple cotton market.

Many people said that in April, it was "hot". In May, it was "cold and windy". I wonder if this situation will last for long. Is there any improvement? Maybe a cotton trader talks about the current situation. He thinks that the price of long staple cotton is likely to fall, for the following reasons.

First, the early ginning factory "only hoarding not sell" encountered a bite.

In the 3-4 month, most of the Xinjiang ginning plants were selling prices, most of which were reluctant to sell, or "hoarding not sold".

Facts have proved that at the end of 3-4, domestic long staple cotton rose nearly 1000 yuan / ton, but sales progress was slow.

Taking a factory in Awati County as an example, the factory completed only 350 tons of trading volume in April, which is about 1/10 of the total inventory.

It is too late for cotton ginning plants to feel that it is unwise to "hoarse" blindly.

Second, the pressure of funds.

The majority of Xinjiang enterprises have to "double knot zero" loans to the end of June.

But at present, most enterprises have not finished 50% sales of long staple cotton.

Many companies have responded, and the bank has already issued a reminder to repay the loan. If the bank fails to repay the loan, the bank will cancel its next year's loan qualification.

But these can not be said that the long staple cotton is "at the end of the day", the so-called "endless", there is no way out.

It must be said that this year's quota policy has helped the domestic long staple cotton, which directly leads to the high quality cotton still can not get in.

According to traders from Qingdao, Zhangjiagang and other places, since May, the United States and cotton have concentrated on Hong Kong, and Ukrainian cotton and Central Asian cotton have arrived in large numbers.

Despite the fact that the bonded area has been "overflowing", the US cotton is still not selling.

The key is that the quota of textile enterprises is limited, and they can only make quotas "long and thin" and use them on the "knife edge".

China's macro-economy continues to heat up.

This year, the central bank has lowered interest rates for the two time. Once it is lowered, the direction of monetary easing policy is very clear, and the decision to rescue the market is also very large.

Under such circumstances, copper, oil, agricultural products and other bulk commodities have also rebounded.

Long staple cotton is concentrated in the hands of some large cotton traders, which is more conducive to a firm price.

A market person said: "therefore, do not fear the clouds to cover your eyes and go out of the world.

Recently, although long staple cotton has dropped somewhat, it does not mean that it has entered a downward path, and the trend of upward oscillation in the latter stage is still the same.

China's cotton network will continue to pay attention to the market trend of late staple cotton.