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    The Potential Growth Rate Of Stability Depends On Supply Policy.

    2015/10/18 11:23:00 22

    Growth RatePolicyMacro Economy

    How to stabilize potential growth rate? The potential growth rate is closely related to several factors: land, population, labor productivity and natural resources.

    At present, alone two children have been released, the new round of land reform has also entered the agenda, which are released from the long-term potential growth rate effective measures.

    Besides, with the fact that the share of labor capital prices increases in profit sharing, consumption will be a long-term stabilizer for economic growth.

    Deflation refers to the phenomenon of insufficient purchasing power and even economic downturn caused by insufficient demand. The main concern of the market at present is that the economic growth rate is lower than the potential growth rate of the economy, thus leading to a decline in income and a higher unemployment rate.

    In the period of "atypical recession", the Keynes policy of monetary policy has little effect. Even if the price of capital decreases, stimulating the potential demand, this demand must find a potential "docking point" in the supply market.

    Therefore, supply policy is a better way to restore short-term economic elasticity and even release potential growth rate.


    To promote consumption, it can be carried out mainly through the following measures: further relaxing the field of entrepreneurship and providing better entrepreneurial support, further opening to the outside world, broadening the field of direct investment, protecting brand value, maintaining high added value of goods and strengthening the directional support of financial enterprises for innovative enterprises.

    From 2000 to 2010, China's total national savings rate rose from 36% to 52%, and became the world's largest global savings rate.

    Savings rate

    One of the highest countries.

    from

    Consumer

    State of mind, there are two main purposes for saving money: one is to buy a house; the other is to provide for the aged. At present, the high savings rate is gradually released along with the peaking of the long period of real estate and the gradual improvement of the domestic insurance and medical market. In the past five years, China's total savings rate has dropped by about 3%, but it has dropped to 48% level.

    Compared with other countries

    Incremental consumption

    For example, the stock consumption elasticity is undoubtedly greater.

    In addition, China's current consumption subject has fallen on the generation after 80. Compared with the previous generation, the post-80s generation has great differences in consumption concept.

    On the one hand, we should attach importance to personalized consumption, while on the other hand, we should attach importance to the brand influence and added value of commodities.

    At present, in the domestic consumer goods market, the supply of goods is obviously not keeping up with the changing consumption concept. The result is that a large proportion of the domestic products, in the view of current mainstream consumers, are all "a kind of commodities like".

    The characteristics of Jifen commodities are that demand and price are changing in the same direction rather than in reverse direction. Therefore, this is also an important reason why interest rates and commodity prices decrease little to short-term economic and consumer markets.


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