How Will The Stock Market Return To The Uptrend?
Fund conjecture:
recycling
market
Implementation probability: 80%
Reason description: afternoon stock index as a whole is a trend of upward trend. Under the driving force of brokers and nonferrous metals, Shanghai and Shenzhen stock index is the first to turn red, Shanghai index rose 3500 points, while the theme stocks were relatively weak, and the gem index rose by about 1%.
Up to now, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index constituent stocks have a net capital inflow of 11 billion 400 million yuan, and the capital inflow is enlarged.
On the news side, a series of economic data released on the 12 day showed that industrial production has accelerated, and fixed asset investment has shown signs of stabilization. Nine, the total amount of new frozen funds is about 3 trillion yuan.
Today's stock market is still in a state of turmoil. However, after the completion of the new basic battle in the afternoon, the main funds are starting to exert momentum, and the main board market is booming.
Analysts believe that the new short-term pressure has been released after the completion of the market, with the new funds to thaw, the funds are expected to return to the market once again.
After market strategy: short term new pressure has been released, and with the thaw of new funds, the funds are expected to return to the market once again. Investors can participate in the theme stocks with favorable support in the near future, but do not blindly catch up.
The general trend is conjecture:
Stock market index
Back to the rising orbit
Implementation probability: 85%
The reasons are as follows: the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock index opened slightly lower today, followed by a trend of concussion rising, Shanghai index rose more than 2% stations on 3500 points, Shen Shen index also rose by about 2%, and the growth enterprise market index was slightly weaker, only about 1%.
On the plate, the concept of scarce resources, small metals and gold is the top gainers, and the top ones are network security, cloud computing and 4G concept.
From the flush Level-2 real-time data ratio, the Shanghai Municipal Committee bought 25 million 200 thousand, the Commission sold 34 million 540 thousand, and the ratio of air to air was 0.73. From the data point of view, the purchase price increased significantly compared with last week. The sales volume of the Shanghai Stock Exchange dropped sharply.
On the disk, with the release of the new blood pressure, the main board index rose sharply in the afternoon when the weight plate such as brokers and nonferrous metals rose. However, the observation market could find that the stock market did not increase as the stock index rose.
After market strategy: in the short term, the effect of new blood drawing has been over. The market will usher in a potential good return of new funds, and today the market is ushered in the reversal market. In the short term, the stock index will maintain a trend of rising volatility. Investors can actively participate in the market and grasp the current rally.
Hot spot conjecture:
Reform of national capital
It is expected to continue to stir fry.
Implementation probability: 75%
Reasons for Description: the news of the reorganization of China's Ocean Shipping (Group) Corporation and China Shipping (Group) Corporation, the two largest central enterprises in the shipping industry, has attracted wide attention.
On the evening of December 11th, 4 listed companies of the two major groups announced a series of asset reorganization pactions and service agreements.
Recently, from the SASAC of the State Council, the SASAC will consolidate and reform the reform measures, benefit from deepening reform, and carry out ten pilot projects of reform, including mixed ownership and market-oriented management.
In September, the State Council issued the "opinions on the development of mixed ownership economy in state-owned enterprises".
Analysts said that the "opinions" promulgated a large scope to open the market space for private capital.
In particular, the liberalization of oil and gas and military industries, which is most concerned by social capital, will open the market space for private capital in a large scale.
After market strategy: the recent hot spot market speculation, in the good stimulus and hot money concerns, the concept of state assets reform is expected to continue to stir up, investors can bargain layout related stocks.
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