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    The Probability Of Raising Interest Rates In April Has Become Extremely Slim. Global Investors Are Encouraged.

    2016/3/31 21:59:00 28

    Interest Rate IncreaseInvestmentStock Market

    A shares suddenly rose yesterday, Shanghai composite index increased 2.77% to 3000.65 points, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose 3.60% to 1906.77 points, the paction enlarged.

    Small and medium-sized gains were slightly larger, but they were not particularly exceptional.

    On the whole, the market trend on Wednesday is a typical general inflation.

      

    A shares

    The rally should be mainly related to the dovish speech of chairman Yellen of the Federal Reserve, which should have made the Fed's interest rate hike in April extremely slim and global investors have been encouraged.

    In terms of A shares, the possibility of a boost is even greater. The devaluation of the RMB has become the focus of the market in the past six months. When the Federal Reserve postpones interest rate hike, the devaluation pressure of the renminbi will be greatly alleviated.

    If further deduction, if

    Federal Reserve

    The interest rate hike is postponed to June or even September.

    Judging from the current situation, since the Fed is unlikely to raise interest rates for a time, I believe that every weekend the Central Bank of China may declare a reduction.

    However, investors may be very difficult to sit back and relax. In my view, the Federal Reserve has the suspicion of manipulating the market and acting too oddly. Recently, the Fed has changed its face for three consecutive weeks.

    Last week, its interest rate conference released its doves. Last week, Fed officials published hawkish views every day, as if the interest rate meeting a few days ago was entirely another group.

    By this week, he turned to pigeon, and it was unthinkable.

    Today is the last day of the month, the capital pressure period will pass, investors should still look for the operation.

    Scale in

    We should pay attention to three points in the purchase of varieties: first, we should avoid the risk shares in the annual report in the near future, because April is the most intensive period for the annual report; two, we should avoid the varieties that are suspected of delisting; and three, we should avoid evading stocks.

    Investors should always be honest and moderate when they operate. They should not think about how to buy big bull stocks all day long.

    Investment and speculation can only be probabilities, so we should never stick to some cases.

    In a step back, even if you can buy a cow stock, who can guarantee that it won't be struck ahead of time?

    Judging from the current A share market situation, I strongly doubt that this is the beginning of a wave of market, but it is hard to see how high or far it can go at the moment. There are still some uncertainties due to factors such as the Fed's movements and domestic inflation.

    In terms of inflation, investors should mainly look at oil prices and pork prices.

    In terms of pig prices, pork prices have basically been on the high side for the last seven days.

    China will announce the PMI index early next month. In the next two weeks, a large number of economic indicators will be released in March. Investors can focus on price indicators.

    If inflation is a bit high, then our central bank will fall into a certain rhythm, so the height of such a market will be somewhat restrained.


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