A Shares Can Not Afford To Fight.
While the Dow Jones Industrial Average repeatedly tested 18000 points, China's Shanghai composite index was also testing at the bottom of 3000.
The difference is that the Dow is likely to continue to refresh its record highs at any time, and the Shanghai composite index is being perceived by pessimists to fall below 2000 points.
All kinds of big moves, including the replacement of the chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, have failed to revive the A shares. Since the money may not be in the foreseeable future, many retail investors choose to stay away from the stock market.
A few days from the black line skyrocketing, we can see that a large number of retail funds are pouring into the futures market. It is not clear whether the ending will become a disk player, but there must be a huge loss.
Although the daily turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen two cities can reach above 400 billion yuan, compared to the crazy bull market a year ago, the current turnover of the stock market can be called "depression". Of course, we do not rule out the prospect of "more depression" in the future. A shares can happen not only to create miracles, but also to create tragedies.
Under the background of the current economic downturn, the pressure of growth and growth of listed companies and the serious shortage of market confidence, the prospect for A shares is bleak.
In many markets, the so-called investment master's way of trading is to actively enter the market in such a gloom. I do not have the courage and courage to do so.
Investor
At present, it should be prudent.
Judging from the current situation, the Shanghai Composite Index has rushed to more than 3000 points, but it has been difficult to form effective breakthroughs.
Historically, a large number of hoisting plates hung above 3100 points, that is to say, the stock market must continue to go up, so it is necessary to have strong market power to digest these locking plates, otherwise they will face great resistance and may be repeatedly suppressed by many times as an important key point.
In the current market
volume
Under the condition of weakness, we should not easily imagine that the market will get warmer quickly. Unless the market is again in the market, the possibility of changing space by time is very likely.
Since 2008, the market has used 7 years to interpret the short madness, so the next madness needs to digest many things with time. Besides the above locking plates, there are pessimism and lessons learned from the stock market crash.
If there is no time to change the stock market, there will be a rapid and substantial increase in the stock market. Then this increase is likely to be an unhealthy rise. Investors may unwind, profit and regain confidence in the stock market in a short time, but then they may fall deeper into the pit.
Therefore, even if the country has introduced various policies to release all kinds of expectations, it may not be able to provide effective support for A shares.
Even if we can find various kinds of benefits to stimulate the A share, such as replacing the chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, putting forward the "registration system can not launch single soldier advance", the suspension of the emerging strategic board, the stock market plus leverage, etc., it is only a warm flash in the stock market, and can not achieve long-term support.
Therefore, the current A share has become a market that can not afford to be lifted up, even though it is hard to pull it up through all parties' efforts.
A shares
They will also falsely invest investors in a new position, and A shares will become "dared not help" from "unable to support".
In the short term, different investors should have different ways of operation.
Investors who have been deeply involved do not need to consider too much. Since they have been proved to be very low in stock market, they need to be patient to wait for the market to get warmer. They can also consider making up their stocks.
In the medium to long term, the rescue efforts of the national team are mainly aimed at maintaining the stability of the A share market, and the news of the recent pension market has given the market more imagination.
According to the calculation of pensions by Qing Hui think tank, about 600 billion yuan can enter the market. We can know a little rational analysis. At present, the total market capitalization of A shares is more than 44 trillion yuan. Before that, trillions of yuan funds failed to realize the declining trend of high position, and the 600 billion yuan market was only a drop in the bucket.
But from a strategic point of view, the pension market may form a demonstration benefit after entering the market, thus leading more institutional capital to enter the market, and then allowing more institutional investors to enter the market and gradually mature the market.
Judging from the present situation, the stock market can not be easily lifted up now. Instead, it depends on the parties slowly and continuously pouring power into the stock market, so that the stock market can repair itself and recover itself, so that the stock market can regain its physical strength and stand up slowly, or else it may fall back again.
This situation is also helpless, and we can only wait patiently.
Liu Shiyu, chairman of the new China Securities Regulatory Commission, has been cracking down on the bad phenomena in the capital market, and can also be interpreted as purifying the market and cultivating the market to maturity.
However, the strict supervision of the new leader has deterred some of the funds from withdrawing from the stock market. Although it seems to have affected the rebound of the stock market, it is actually laying the groundwork for the healthy development of the later stage.
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