The Stock Market Will Not Break The 2638 Point.

On Monday, the market continued to slump on Friday and continued to jump down. According to the market survey, the mood of retail investors was once again extremely pessimistic.

As for today's fall, an authoritative interview delivered by the people's daily in the morning "the first quarter of the season asks the general trend" conveys the central signal to the economic policy.

The authority in the article judged the current economic situation as: "China's economic operation can not be U type, nor can it be V type, but the trend of L type.

This L type is a phase, not one or two years old.

Will A share's "L trend" continue for more than two years?

There should be some degree of support. In the past two or three months, most of the time is running from 2900 to 3000, but our market believes that there are more people who invest in the trend, and the emotional reaction will not be destroyed.

I think if we want to kill it, we must first have a rebound or have a backfire to see if we will fall below this position.

This is from

Location.

Today, the interpretation of authoritative figures certainly has a great impact on the market. In fact, many people in the morning do not see it, that is, they are passing through WeChat.

Authoritative sources say that this year's first recovery of financing function, strengthening the financing function is actually misreading.

It is based on the function of restoring financing, and it can not be explained by saying that it is bad.

Because the political report of the two sessions was mentioned in the central economic work conference in the important historical conferences, so it is necessary to increase the proportion of direct financing and increase the stock market to serve the real economy.

Based on the function of restoring financing, it has been resumed for a long time. It has been resumed for two years, and every day has resumed. This sentence is equal to nothing, but the market seems to see these four words very sensitive.

We should stop.

Two years ago, now that I want to recover, this sentence is lethal.

In fact, this remark is a repetition of the past, even more than the previous important meeting's intonation.

Moreover, the stock market actually has four functions, namely, investment function, financing function, optimal allocation function of resources, and value rediscovery function.

If you leave the other three functions, it is impossible for you to emphasize the financing function.

So why does our stock market suspend the new shares many times? That is, excessive emphasis on the financing function, and finally even the financing can not melt.

So I don't think I can overreact to this sentence.

I read this authoritative person's whole article, it seems that more emphasis is that in the next few years, the economy may be large L type, then some people think that the stock market is also a large L type, then there is no confidence.

large

I understand that it is not a straight line, but an oscillating time. It gives us an important document in the central government. It refers to this year's economy between 6.5-7%. This interval is a horizontal one under the big L type. Our stock market L is also a band.

Why? How did the 2638 come into being? First, the United States raised interest rates, two, the renminbi depreciated, and the economy in January was very bad, and there were various other factors.

It is impossible for the United States to raise interest rates in June, and it was polite in September.

The renminbi is now on the rise.

Again, our economy is better than January. Of course, we should not be too optimistic.

So in general, I think it is possible to land between 2638 and 2800, which is more likely.

If the landing is a good opportunity, do not look bad. Just now, the host said there are three big fluctuations. If we want to follow this float, how many points should the upper and lower regions reach, I think the possibility is not big. Don't be too pessimistic, because this time we didn't carry the high level to 3097.

So I think 2638 will not be broken.