The Black Swan, Which Raised Interest Rates In September, Has Gone To The Stock Market As If Ge You Were Paralyzed.
During the week, the Fed did not raise interest rates, and the international market was booming. However, A shares in China basically went their own way.
The black swan, which raises interest rates, is far away. In November, the US general election is likely to stop for a while, estimated in December.
Increase interest
The possibility has increased greatly, but from now on, it seems that there are no other incidents and time points. The central finance work conference, which was not clear in the middle of last 9 months, has yet to move. What is the most important factor that will directly affect the trend of A shares?
This Friday, the big index picked up little Yang.
But the biggest feature is that the amplitude is very small every day.
Shanghai
For example, the daily index of the more than 3000 point index is only a dozen or so points, which has set the minimum record of the minimum amplitude in fourteen years and the volume is only about 400000000000 yuan. According to this situation, many people have changed their minds according to traditional thinking.
Take a look at last week's weekly review.
New normal goals
"Subversion of tradition" has clearly pointed out why "new normal" overturns the tradition.
However, under the premise of preventing systematic risks at the top, under the premise that the national team has basically controlled the market, there may be no long term fall. This new normal is likely to be a long-term trend.
Second, traditional technology analysis gap theory is very important.
If it breaks larger, the breakthrough will be strong or upward or downward.
This Monday's next jump is not small, about 40 points, and 3 days a little not to patch up.
I think there is no need to panic too much because of this new normal which has been repeatedly said.
The root cause I pointed out more than three months ago, this "box's new normal", this "stagnant water micro billows", this kind of "small lanes in the fall, pouring just burning small seedlings", this "maintenance meeting", this "one day trip, Monday rose Tuesday down, Tuesday rose by Wednesday fell", this "no trend, no breakthrough, boundless intraday phenomenon" and so on may be tired of listening to everyone, I have long been annoyed, in the past few months are basically these car wheel words back and forth, nothing new.
But practice is the sole criterion for testing truth. The reason for my prediction more than three months ago and the reasons behind it are not yet verified by the market today. So you must know the reason why it is so, so it will easily predict the trend of the market.
Looking ahead, the market will continue to maintain the status quo, and the stock market has a more poverty alleviation task. (actually, it was, but this time it became clearer), so poverty has not been helped. It is impossible to rush up. Otherwise, it will rise again and again. Similarly, the poor will not be helped, nor can it fall down, otherwise, it will not be conducive to creating a market environment for IPO to help the poor.
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