A Sudden High Volume Of Stock Market Indicates Good News.

Returning to the essence of stock market is actually a game relationship between people and people, and volume is the most direct expression of this relationship.

The continued growth of a single stock is an indispensable factor in the continuous enlargement and promotion of volume.

"Some things are not seen on the surface, like the undersea currents. No one can predict the flow."

Obviously, the so-called undercurrent is also the volume in the stock market.

At present, Shanghai stock index has been hovering around 3000 points for many days, and the two cities are showing shrinking trading volume, showing that the market is being consumed again and again, and the market sentiment is increasing.

In fact, there are several high probability of success in judging the rise of market or stock through volume changes.

First of all, after a long period of consolidation, the sudden rise of moderate volume.

Long term bottom consolidation means that it has gathered more kinetic energy, and moderate volume is probably a sign of market or stock start.

Second, the stock suffered a sudden decline in the impact of successive consolidation, the stock price stop and the volume of reasonable enlargement.

commonly

At the end of rapid consolidation, it is bound to be accompanied by a shrinking volume, and after a sharp contraction, it will rebound again, and the short-term trend of rebound will continue.

Finally, in the process of price matching and continuous rising, the volume can suddenly be magnified.

Under the cooperation of price and volume, the share price will continue to rise, reflecting the recognition of the market capital to the stock market, and the sudden large volume of probability indicates that there will be good news.

However, judging from the increase in volume alone, there must be many pitfalls in judging the rise in share prices.

The following situations need more attention.

First, at present, the share price has gone through a good rise, that is, the stock price is relatively high at present, and there is no steady cooperation with the volume during the continuous trading period.

The first half hour can be magnified rapidly. Before taking part in it, we should consider whether this action is attracting much attention.

If the stock is directly open on the next trading day, the probability of temptation will be even greater.

Second, before and after the high delivery, volume is rapidly enlarged. In the market, there exists the rule of high delivery and high price.

However, the hype of the concept of "high delivery and pfer" mostly shows "seeing the light dead", that is, when the news is announced, the share price will reach the top.

Third, before the announcement of the performance of listed companies, the volume suddenly increased.

If the stock price has been in the consolidation stage before it suddenly breaks out before the performance is released, it should also be taken seriously before participating. Because the continuous arrangement gives investors great pressure to increase their expectations for the rise, which is easier to be used by the main force.

At present, the A share market is affected by domestic and foreign factors, but the risk return ratio is decreasing.

On the overseas side, the Fed's interest rate increase, the US general election, the Deutsche Bank incident and the constitutional referendum in Italy have led to an increase in overseas uncertainty, which does not exclude the "black swan" incident, thus affecting the risk preference of A shares.

At home, there is no need to worry too much about the economy in the short term.

However, we still need to pay attention to several marginal turning points, such as the marginal inflection point of real estate regulation, the marginal turning point of monetary policy, the continuous tightening of regulatory level, the financial leverage and the turning point of releasing credit risk.

What needs to be emphasized is that the confirmation or falsification of the above risk points in the future may lead to stage fluctuations in the market, but there is little probability of systemic risk or even low innovation before the end of the year.