The Complex Internal And External Environment Is Not Realistic.

The press office of the State Council held a press conference. Huang Songping, a spokesman for the General Administration of customs, introduced the situation of imports and exports in the first three quarters of 2016. He said that the internal and external environment of China's foreign trade is complicated this year, and the difficulties it faces are not short-term.

Huang Songping believes that the current international and domestic economic situation is still grim and complicated, and there are still many uncertainties affecting the development of China's foreign trade.

First, the world economy continues to grow in a downturn, and global demand remains weak.

At present, the world economy is facing more uncertainties, such as the turmoil in the international financial market.

The uncertainty of the situation, the threat of terrorism, and the impact on the global economy will affect the confidence of consumers and investors, inhibit international trade and economic exchanges, and lead to the continued downturn in Global trade.

The latest trade outlook report released by the World Trade Organization in September 27th reduced the growth rate of global merchandise trade from 2.8% in April to 1.7% in 2016, the lowest forecast since the international financial crisis, which shows that this year's Global trade is beset with difficulties.

According to the latest data from the World Trade Organization in October 6th, the 70 economies in the world in the first 7 months of 2016 (the total value of exports accounted for 90% of our global export value) continued to decline 5.4% compared to the same period last year.

The export of BRICs such as Europe, Japan and other developed economies, or Russia, Brazil, India and South Africa, all showed a decline.

Although the area along the way mentioned earlier is growing and growing in some countries, the import and export volume has declined slightly.

Two is

Growth space is adversely affected by changes in the pattern of international trade.

On the one hand, the developed economies, in order to improve the economic situation, increase employment, implement the strategy of economic rebalancing, re industrialization and industrial 4, promote the revitalization of the domestic manufacturing industry, so that some of the high-end manufacturing industry will return from our country to the developed countries.

Take processing trade as an example, by July this year, the import and export of processing trade in China decreased for 19 consecutive months and 17 months respectively. In August, the import and export value and the import value in September increased slightly. The import and export value of processing trade in the first three quarters decreased and the total import and export decreased by 2.2 percentage points, which accounted for 31.5% of the total import and export value from the same period last year to 29.4%, less than 30%.

On the other hand, with the low cost advantages of labor and land, the attraction of the emerging economies is increasing. The pace of the rise of the middle and low end manufacturing industry is accelerating, and the market share of China's traditional dominant products has been squeezed.

Data show that in the first 7 months of this year, the market share of labor intensive products in the United States dropped by 1.1 percentage points over the same period last year, and the share in Japan dropped by 1.7 percentage points. In the same period, the market share of similar products in Southeast Asia in the US and Japan rose by 0.7 percentage points and 0.9 percentage points respectively.

The three is the rise of Global trade protectionism and China's trade environment.

Aggravated danger.

At present, the global trade protectionism is escalating, and our country suffers from the aggravation of trade friction.

According to the world trade organization's report released in June this year, 145 new trade restrictions were implemented in the group of 20 economies from October 2015 to May 2016, with an average of more than 20 new measures each month. The number of new monthly measures is the highest since 2009.

At the same time, China's Ministry of commerce data also showed that in the first 8 months of this year, China suffered 20 trade and relief surveys launched by 20 countries and regions. The amount involved amounted to 10 billion 320 million US dollars, the number of cases increased by 49% over the same period last year, and the amount involved increased 94% over the same period last year.

On the whole, although China's foreign trade showed a stable trend in the first three quarters, the foundation for supporting the continued rebound in foreign trade is still not solid.

We believe that the internal and external environment of China's foreign trade is complicated this year, and the difficulties it faces are not short-term. The competitiveness of traditional foreign trade has weakened.

Therefore, in the remaining two months of this year, we should further implement a series of policies and measures that have been promulgated, consolidate the positive changes in the development of foreign trade, make precise efforts, effectively reduce burdens for enterprises, assist growth, and strive to achieve a stable foreign trade development goal throughout the year.