Comprehensive Analysis Of Cotton Early Warning Information System In China

In the first three quarters of 2016, the retail sales of apparel retail sales of 50 key large retail enterprises in the whole country decreased by 1.4% compared with the same period last year, an increase of 2.3 percentage points lower than that of the same period last year.

In September, the operation of textile enterprises was relatively stable, the start-up rate and monthly cotton consumption were slightly reduced, and the cotton blending ratio was basically flat.

In the same month, the cotton enterprises in the textile industry still use reserve cotton as the main source, and their stocks increased substantially.

Cotton yarn production has decreased.

Basically flat, production and marketing of grey cloth is not very optimistic.

According to the cotton warning information system of China, the survey results of 90 fixed-point textile enterprises in the whole country showed that the yarn production in September decreased by 0.57%, of which 0.28 percentage points of pure cotton yarn percentage increased; the output of cloth increased by 1.52% compared to that of the previous year, and the percentage of cotton fabric occupied by 1.86 percentage points.

First, the output of yarn and cloth decreased slightly, and sales were basically flat.

In September, the operating rate of textile enterprises was slightly reduced, and the output of gauze was reduced to varying degrees. The sales of gauze did not improve, affected by the fluctuation of cotton prices, which was basically the same as that in August.

At the end of the month, yarn inventory decreased and fabric inventory increased.

According to the survey data of textile enterprises nationwide, the yarn production decreased by 1.40% in the same month, of which the percentage of pure cotton yarn was 72.6%, 1.37 percentage points lower than that of last month, the proportion of blended yarn was 19.25%, an increase of 1.91 percentage points from the previous month, and the cloth production decreased by 0.94% compared with that of the previous month.

In that month, yarn sales rate was 95.73%, a slight increase of 1.85 percentage points from August, an increase of 2.05 percentage points over the same period last year.

At the end of the month, yarn inventory was about 16 and a half days, down 1 days from last month.

Inventory is about 28 days, an increase of about 2 days from last month.

Two, domestic cotton yarn prices fluctuated greatly, import yarn prices rose slightly.

In September, because of the high cotton prices, the price of cotton yarn decreased, and the profits of textile enterprises decreased.

The average monthly price of 32 domestic pure cotton yarn is 21610 yuan / ton, which is 796 yuan / ton less than that in August, a decrease of 3.55%, an increase of 4.74% over the same period last year, an increase narrowed from last month. The price of imported yarn continued to rise slightly, or less than that of domestic yarn, and the monthly average price was about 21960 yuan / ton, higher than that of domestic yarn 350 yuan / ton.

At the end of September, the new cotton market was postponed until the end of this month. The raw material of textile enterprises is still dominated by cotton reserves, with a higher turnover rate and a higher stock of cotton.

According to the cotton inventory and cotton consumption of the surveyed enterprises, as of September 30th, the number of cotton industrial stocks in the national textile enterprises is about 713 thousand and 200 tons, and is estimated to be 34 days or so.

Among the surveyed enterprises, the number of enterprises that increased cotton inventories accounted for 55%, 25% of cotton stocks were reduced, and 20% of wait-and-see attitude.

The quality of Xinjiang cotton is better this year, and the enthusiasm of enterprises is improved.

Survey data show that Xinjiang cotton use accounted for 73.73%, an increase of 2.11 percentage points from the previous month, which accounted for about 32% of the increase in Xinjiang cotton usage, accounting for 25% of the reduction in usage, 16.02% of imports of cotton, 1.91% lower than that of last month, of which 12% of the increase in import cotton usage and 19% of the reduction in usage.

Four, textile and clothing exports and domestic demand decline.

In the three quarter of this year, the global economic situation is grim, the recovery of market demand is slow, and the export volume of textile and clothing has declined.

According to customs statistics, in September, China's textile and clothing exports were about 22 billion 764 million US dollars, down 15.41% from the same period last year, the decrease was 12.3 percentage points higher than the previous month, and the reduction was 18.50%.

In the first three quarters, China's total exports of textiles and clothing were US $201 billion 101 million, a year-on-year decrease of 4.87%, and the overall export situation was not optimistic.