If The Annual Line Is Impregnable, The Passion Of The Market Will Slowly Ignite.

Near the end of the year, the real "eating quotes" may be coming. The listed companies should be busy making reports, and the securities companies should make achievements. The agencies must also support the market. All the trends show that there will be a market at the end of the year. What needs to be verified now is whether it can effectively and reliably stand on the "ox bear demarcation line". If the annual line is impregnable, the enthusiasm of the market will slowly ignite.

This week's market trend has two meanings: first, the Shanghai stock index has jumped to the annual line known as the "ox bear demarcation line": two is the breakthrough from February to date, with the Shanghai stock index's 2638 to 3097 points for nearly 8 months.

Generally speaking, the market calls the 250 day moving average as the annual line, and its technical significance lies in the average cost of holding stocks in about 250 trading days a year.

Today, the Shanghai Composite Index's annual line has dropped to 3080 points.

Near the end of the year, the Shanghai stock index has returned to the annual line, which is not easy. It is not so much that the market has risen to the annual line. It is better to say that the annual line has moved down to the present position. It can be expected that there will be a contest between the two sides of the annual line and the market needs to exchange space with time.

For the current market fundamentals, the following factors will affect the stock market:

First,

The overall plan for entering the market has been fixed, but this is a "option" information, which is much more profitable than the market in the long run.

Insurance funds, social security funds and pensions, which are three different institutional funds, are the main funds for pursuing risk-free returns. Once the pension is started, they will be able to enter.

The scale is nearly 400 billion yuan. Although the scale is not large in the early stage, the scale of the pension will increase every year as time goes by, and this long-term good effect is immeasurable.

This week's market volatility has little to do with this topic.

Second, the annual report can be distributed ahead of schedule.

Now, the three quarterly report has been launched, and from the three quarterly report, we can basically see the changes in the performance of the listed companies' annual reports. We can also judge the changes of the top ten shareholders of the listed companies. We can observe the movements of the institutions, especially the trend of the national team, and like to do the high handed pfer.

You can also make an early quantity, and look for potential stocks that are likely to be pferred to the new shares.

Third, the reform of state owned enterprises is coming to a climax, and the stock market can not be underestimated.

The top-level design plan of debt to equity swap has been introduced, and there have been successful cases in the stock market. Precise debt to equity swap will not rush into the herd, which will produce the market effect of "black chicken changing Phoenix".

And the reorganization of central enterprises, Baosteel absorption of Wuhan Iron and steel has become a relatively clear case now, then the reorganization will be organized in a orderly manner, for the stock market is a game subject matter.

As for the reform of local state owned enterprises, the version is more varied. It can be said that the main theme of state owned enterprise reform is the cross year market.

At present, the annual line moves downward at a rate of 1 points, that is to say, even if the current maintenance is in place, the Shanghai Composite Index will be above the annual line. However, from the trend, the downward trend of the annual line has been getting smaller and smaller, and there are signs of going up and upward, and the half line below has stabilized at 2981 points and has been rising slowly. The upward trend of the Bulls seems to have been ready. In the remaining two months at the end of the year, it depends on whether the fundamentals of the market support the uplink of the market.