Stock Market Outlook: Bull Market Again, Do Not Easily Get Off.

The Shanghai stock index is close to the first fusing interval this year. Some investors who buy stocks at low positions have already won the books. Is it time to get out of the car to avoid short-term risks?

First of all, the Shanghai Composite Index has a wave of 6 months' hold up between 3000 and 3600 points. Most of these hang ups are due to the first wave of the stock market crash. Therefore, it is normal to watch the air in the 3300 point central axis.

For investors who want to throw stocks to avoid short-term risks, investors have two purposes. One is fear of losing profits, and the other two is to earn more.

For the first point, most of them

As the low positions are currently 30% of the profits of stocks, many people swear to take Buffett as a metaphor, thinking that 20% of the profits have already completed the annual average profit level of stock gods.

In fact, be vigilant about misunderstandings of Buffett's profit model, because most investors can not hold a company like Buffett and hold it for a long time, and can only earn the money for the trend. The old saying of doing business is: 5 years do not open, open to eat for 5 years.

That is to say, at the end of the bear market, it will make 5 times as much money as the bull market, and then share it in every year of the bear market. According to statistics, the average annual profit is about 20%, so the profit concept of retail investors should be correct.

In view of the second point, if we want to earn more, the risks we will take are: 1, the cost of frequent trading and friction is high, the share dividends can not be enjoyed; 2, we sell the wrong way and are forced to come back at a higher risk price in the future, so we should not lose the chips because of fear.

The most difficult part of short-term operation is: 1. When controlling the wind direction and emotions in the big market, we do not know when the positions and emotions are controlled. 2, we will not evaluate the fundamentals of the stocks, so that they do not share their own stocks. The difference between the size of the stocks and the speculative stocks is not enough to distinguish between the investment stocks and speculative stocks. Basically, we do not know how to reduce the risk by changing the warehouse strategy. 3, there is a lack of rational response to the ups and downs of individual stocks. When the stocks do not rise, they are angry. When they rise, they do not know when to sell. The logic of the paction has not been clear enough to have the end of the operation, so we only rely on others to judge the spot; 4, the timing of the relay will not be grasped. And for small scattered

Therefore, it is recommended not to predict the rise of the market.

A part of the warehouse can be adjusted.

First of all, we should uphold the cycle of money lax and do not look at the investment cycle of bear cycles. We should be brave enough to hold the chips under 3000 points before the cycle is over.

Secondly, understand that the current market in the slow 30 degrees angle of the rise, did not appear to be a huge amount of under the line to kill, that is, there is no indication that a signal may fall, then it can hold firmly.

If there is a big line of attack on the big market next year, breaking through more than half a year's pressure line of 3600 points, then the blue chips collective riots will determine that the mood of the stock market has the possibility of continuing to attack. It is more important to firmly hold the car. If the slow upward line hits 3600 pressure levels, it will be easy to escape part of the hang up plate for nearly a year. At that time, some of the stocks with less valuations will be replaced to the better stocks.

This is based on the "investment" level of the investment, because the whole

Basically there are not many retail investors to follow suit, so this is a stock capital game, not enough to support all stocks have been fry, then the possibility of gradual rising slowly.

But for smaller fundamentals, stocks with smaller plates are likely to be hunts of hot money and short Zhuang funds. Therefore, when the market is rising unilaterally, some of the small cap stocks that still have marginal price margins will still have short-term opportunities, but returning to the "road" level of investment is always the fundamental reason for future profits.

A stock up to 1 yuan to 10 yuan is 10 times, 3 from the purchase has dropped to 3 times earnings.

So buying the bottom is the way to invest profits. Once you have a cheap stock, you should keep it tightly. Don't get out of the bull market too soon!