The Impact Of Environmental Protection On The Development Of Short Sticky Industry And Market Situation

At present, the orders placed by manufacturers are generally enough to support production and sales before the Spring Festival.

The current yarn business before the Spring Festival

The stock is basically adequate, with yarn enterprises still holding rigid demand for sticky short. Short staple manufacturers are still reluctant to sell goods. It is expected that orders will be shipped before the Spring Festival, and the space and expectations for manufacturers to raise prices are relatively limited.

Recent haze weather is frequent, will have an impact on pport.

In addition, as the Spring Festival draws near, the subsequent pport process will slow down.

It is expected that the manufacturers will continue to order the goods at the beginning of the Spring Festival.

Orders are abundant and support for market prices.

Yarn enterprises hold stock of raw materials, or temporarily digest raw materials inventory, and wait for market demand after the festival.

After the festival, sticky short factory operation and market price all hold strong expectations.

In 2017, China's sticky short industry has a capacity expansion plan of 180 thousand tons.

With the gradual expansion of the scale of yarn enterprises in Xinjiang, the demand for sticky short will maintain an incremental trend. According to market understanding, the scale of spindles in the following Xinjiang area will reach 30 million ingots, and the number of cotton yarns should also increase at the same time.

Sticky short differential products are developing steadily, and the products are more and more diversified, so as to broaden the application fields of sticky products.

Downstream products, such as non-woven fabrics, and so on, the market demand and prospects are considerable.

Supply and demand are developing at the same time, coupled with the inertia law of the strong market trend from 2015 to 2016.

The impact of environmental protection on the adhesive industry is becoming more and more serious. In December 2016, Shandong, Jiangsu, Sichuan and Anhui were all affected by the short operation of the plant.

Environmental protection

The impact of development and market conditions deserves long-term attention.

In the 1-11 month of 2016, China's sticky exports showed a pattern of volume and price rising, and the total export volume increased by 48.94% over the same period. It is expected that there will still be downward pressure on the RMB exchange rate in the future, which will continue to play a leading role in sticking short exports and support the production and sale of the firm's short selling price.

At the beginning of 2017, we should pay attention to the bad news from the empty space of the Spring Festival and the national cotton reserves. There was a slight room for callback in cotton prices. By March, cotton prices would have stabilized and cotton prices would have stabilized.

Domestic cotton output is at a low level in history. Although there is an increase in production in some areas in 2017, the relative income is limited, and there is still a big gap between farmers' enthusiasm for planting and the previous stage.

From the supply point of view, it is estimated that the overall cotton price will be strong in 2017.

From regression data analysis, in recent years, sticky short and cotton market price fit 74%, 2017

Strong will support the short market price.

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Recently, some regulatory libraries in the territory indicated that the number of Xinjiang cotton highway pportation from Xinjiang has increased rapidly since December.

According to statistics, on December 24th -12, 30, the pport volume of highways pported by the mainland decreased by 14 thousand and 300 tons compared with last week, and the annulus ratio decreased by 14%.

In particular, some foreign businessmen and traders rushed to the mainland to deliver the CF1701 (CF1705 contract delivery) to the Zheng cotton delivery warehouse, and the output of the Corps was also increasing.

As the northwest, North China and Henan, Anhui and other haze and cooling led to the high speed road closure and gasoline prices "three consecutive ups" and other reasons, the freight cost of Xinjiang was only 50-70 yuan / ton higher than the November high.

Because the cost of Xinjiang cotton to the mainland textile mill is still high, the mainland textile enterprises on the one hand end the replenishment in advance; on the other hand, the purchase of real estate cotton and imported cotton as a pition, waiting for the March 6th reserve cotton rotation.

A 100 thousand spindles cotton mill in Henan said that the gross price of the "double 28" hand picked cotton in the southern Xinjiang regulatory warehouse was about 15300-15400 yuan / ton (due to the difference in quality, moisture regain and impurities). The freight from Akesu to Nanyang was about 1050-1100 yuan / ton (signed contracts with regular logistics companies, with tax tickets and insurance, not necessarily a return vehicle). If the allowance for 500 yuan per ton of cotton was not exported, the direct cost to the mainland factory was 16350-16500 yuan / ton, the C32S yarn 100% loss, and the spinning and weaving of 40S yarn was basically flat or upside down 300-500 yuan / ton.

So Xinjiang cotton is good, but the cost is too high.

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