Sticky Short Supply And Demand Industry Will Continue To Keep Pace With The Development Trend.
At present, under the strategic background of China's vigorous implementation of the supply side reform, the traditional textile manufacturing industry will gradually become capacity oriented and the pace of restructuring of textile industry will be accelerated. The fundamentals have remained unchanged for a long time, and there is still room for imagination in the textile market in 2017. Polyester production capacity will continue to expand in 2017, and the new capacity will be larger than that in 2016. In 2017, the growth rate of domestic textile and apparel sales increased, and the decline in exports was expected to narrow.
In 2016, it seemed to be a consensus that most people in the industry had made a profit in 2016. Some people showed that the textile raw materials rose sharply in 2016 or the more crazy "foreplay" in 2017. Indeed, the domestic cotton output was at a historical low level. Although there was a partial increase in production in 2017, the relative income was limited, and there was still a big gap between the farmers' enthusiasm for planting and the previous stage.
For the cotton textile market in 2017, under the background of "de Stocking", cotton imports continued to be restricted by quota policy, and cotton city's focus was still on the digestion of national cotton reserves. According to the latest forecast by the US Department of agriculture, the gap between domestic cotton supply and demand in 2016/2017 will reach 2 million 232 thousand tons, and the new year will continue to be arranged. Throw store To ensure the supply of cotton.
In recent years, sticky short and cotton market price fit 74%, and the strong cotton price in 2017 will support the short market price. The sticky market in 2016, regardless of the market price trend during the year, or the industry's profits, exports and market trading activity were good. The market will be orderly and effectively maintain its own and downstream trading mindset. Strength enterprises operate rationally, guiding industry and market to develop steadily and orderly.
1. In 2017, China's sticky short industry held 180 thousand tons of capacity expansion plan. With the gradual expansion of the scale of yarn enterprises in Xinjiang, the demand for sticky short will maintain an incremental trend. According to market understanding, the scale of spindles in the following Xinjiang area will reach 30 million ingots, and the number of cotton yarns should also increase at the same time. Sticky short differential products are developing steadily, and the products are more and more diversified, so as to broaden the application fields of sticky products. Downstream products, such as non-woven fabrics, and so on, the market demand and prospects are considerable.
2, the simultaneous development of supply and demand, coupled with the inertia law of the strong market trend from 2015 to 2016, the overall performance of sticky short market in 2017 is expected.
3. Environmental protection. Sticky short industry The impact is more prominent. In December 2016, Shandong, Jiangsu, Sichuan, Anhui and other places were all affected by the short operation of the plant. Due to long-term downturn in the industry and environmental factors, the pressure of future production capacity is smaller. Viscose staple fiber industry concentration is relatively high, the top 7 enterprises occupy more than 70%. market share For viscose staple manufacturers in the industry chain is more powerful, has pricing power.
4, there will still be downward pressure on the RMB exchange rate in the future, or continue to drive short exports. In the 1-11 month of 2016, China's sticky exports showed a pattern of volume and price rise, and the total export volume increased by 48.94% over the same period. It is expected that there will still be downward pressure on the RMB exchange rate in the future, which will continue to play a leading role in sticking short exports and support the production and sale of prices and firm prices.
The impact of the "frozen production agreement" implemented on New Year's day to the textile industry is not small. The chemical fiber industry is expected to move upward in 2017. The disadvantage of cotton and the environmental problems in the viscose industry will also restrict the core of cotton spinning materials. Therefore, on the whole, the textile materials will continue to be dominated by fluctuation in the coming year. In 2017, the supply and demand of sticky short industries will continue to keep pace with the trend of development. Exports will still be able to meet the demand. Cotton prices will also hold support for the short market price. In 2016, the end of the high-profile market was sticky. It also set a high starting point for the opening market price in 2017.
For more information, please pay attention to the world clothing shoes and hats net report.
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