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    Europe'S Negotiation Will Be A Big Thorny Issue.

    2017/6/12 15:47:00 47

    EU NegotiationsMei YiEconomic Situation

    Teresa May, the British Prime Minister, met Waterloo in the early election of the conservative party on Thursday (June 8th). Instead of expanding the majority of the seats of the party as expected, instead of losing more than half of its parliamentary seats, Theresa May was forced to form a coalition government to remain in power.

    After a "loss of wife and military" election, aunt maye, who has lost both face and wife, wants to continue to be in power.

    First of all, she wants to persuade the 10 party Democratic Party of Northern Ireland to join the coalition government. Then, she also needs to set the Conservative Party's "desperate" in the conservative party.

    And even worse, although Teresa May promised once again at the end of the week that she would not resign,

    Off Europe talks

    It will start as usual, but in the next week, her schedule will become very full. Only after successful entry, can she continue to have the opportunity to sit at the negotiating table in Brussels to continue her "off Europe" career.

    So what happens in the week is quite critical.

    The specific schedule is as follows:

    June 12th (Monday)

    First of all, although Teresa May has expressed his wish to form a coalition government with the Democratic Unification Party of Northern Ireland, it needs to reach an agreement on the further distribution of power within Northern Ireland before it can prevail.

    On Monday (June 12th), the two major political parties in Northern Ireland, the Democratic United Party and the Fen Fen party, will begin consultations to stabilize the situation in the "gunpowder barrel" region where violence has been frequent.

    The result may be that the process of conserving the coalition forces in Northern Ireland has become more complicated.

    On the same day, Teresa May himself would not be idle.

    She has previously confirmed that the five most senior ministers of the cabinet will remain in office, but other duties will become a major problem, especially after several conservative cabinet ministers have lost their parliamentarians in the election.

    According to British political practice, cabinet ministers must be selected from members of the house of Commons.

    On Sunday, Michael Fallon, the British Defense Secretary, said the cabinet would meet again at the beginning of this week.

    Although the original cabinet meeting is held every Tuesday, but this time, under the special circumstances of time constraints, the meeting is likely to be held from Monday to Monday.

    June 13th (Tuesday)

    This will be a very busy day: Teresa Mei will meet with Forster (603806) (Arlene), DUP, to discuss further the joint cabinet work.

    During the weekend, the Conservative Party and the Democratic Unity Party of Northern Ireland have reached a preliminary consensus on the cabinet, but there are still many details to be further discussed.

    According to plan, Forster will visit London on Tuesday (June 13th), and further consultations with Teresa May on the possible details of the joint government agreement.

    On the same day, Teresa May will also meet with all the conservative members of Parliament.

    Earlier, it was reported that after the election of mey's gamble and the result of losing the old one, the discontent of our party members was beyond words.

    Therefore, whether Aunt Mei can retain her party posts will depend critically on whether her words and deeds on that day can convince her colleagues in the party.

    And if members do not buy it, as long as more than 15% of the 318 conservative houses, or more than 48 members, write to Graham Brady, chairman of the Conservative Party committee, to say that they no longer trust Teresa May, then the conservative party will launch a formal challenge to Mae's leadership.

    At the same time, the newly elected members of Parliament will also come to the meeting and elect the new speaker of the house of Commons.

    Members will immediately take the oath of office, and this process will continue until the end of this week.

    June 15th (Thursday)

    On Thursday (June 15th), in the face of panic in the general election, two men in charge of British economic power gave more guidance to the next stage of political and financial markets.

    On that day, Britain

    Central Bank

    Resolution of interest rate policy will be issued.

    After the political turmoil in the post election period, Mark Carney, the "central bank president" as an "outsider", is not expected to take action to fuel the economic and political situation in the tenure of office. It is inevitable that Carney will continue to be stable.

    Since then, Philip Hammond, the chancellor of the exchequer, will also issue a regular annual economic speech at the mayor's residence in London, Hammond.

    The keynote of the two officials' speech will be to try to stabilize the panic of the business community and investors in the process of "de European" and political uncertainty, especially before the economic data show.

    British economy

    Under the condition of losing kinetic energy.

    June 19th (next Monday)

    If there is no accident, the British negotiation process should start on this date.

    Although the EU has already warned that only after the completion of the new British government is completed, the EU negotiations can start as scheduled.

    But Mei said that he had made preparations for going to Brussels alone, and there would be no change in the negotiating position.

    In addition, the opening ceremony of the British Parliament will also be on that day. The 91 year old queen Elizabeth II will give her the sixty-fourth opening speech of the parliament, which is equivalent to the "state of the Union address" or "government work report" of other countries, and will give instructions to the government's work plans and arrangements for the coming year.

    After that, the parliament will spend 5-6 days to discuss the contents of the Queen's speech and vote on it.

    Because the queen only read the lecture mechanically, its specific content was drafted on the basis of the prime minister's major policy. Therefore, the vote was equivalent to the vote on Teresa May's personal achievements.

    If Aunt Mei can pass the "confidence vote" with the help of the Democratic Unity Party of Northern Ireland, the British political farce will basically end there.

    But if it fails, then the opposition Labour Party will have the opportunity to seek to reverse the contents of the Queen's speech and submit a new version of its own policy.

    If we get the majority support, the British political situation will change again.

    The most troublesome situation is that after the "Queen's speech", the mainstream British parties can not produce the big policy report that can win more than half support in Parliament. Under such circumstances, the dissolution of Parliament and the resuming of general elections within the year will inevitably become inevitable.

    Under such circumstances, how to carry out the negotiations on the European Union will also become a thorny problem.

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