The Crisis In The Core Cotton Area Of The United States Is Attracting Attention.

Last week,

The industry has different conjectures about the loss of cotton yield caused by extreme weather to the Texas plateau.

At present, the negative effects of extreme weather on new cotton include hot weather and windy weather, which makes the soil too dry and has great challenges for seedling growth.

Then the local hail and thunderstorm, the strong wind and sand weather and the consequent temporary power failure caused the local losses.

Although the specific losses in cotton fields are still being estimated at the present stage, according to the director of the Burke Cotton Association of La plain, the rate of abandoned farming in damaged areas is likely to reach 18-20% or even higher.

It is reported that the cotton growers in Burke region have replanted about 10-20 acres, which were completed before June 30th, and nearly three weeks later than the June 10th crop insurance deadline.

Moreover, there is no replant.

Severely damaged, it is estimated that it will be very difficult to blossom before mid and late 8, and the yield will be greatly reduced. The new cotton needs longer and more moderate autumn growth.

Experts at Texas Tech University said that although 2016

Cotton production is high, but it is hard to repeat this year, and from the historical data, it is very difficult to sow new cotton after June 30th.

A local large cotton mill expects its production area to be cut by half, and the three important cotton producing areas in the West will be reduced by 35-50%.

Fortunately, the recent rainfall reduces irrigation costs and soil moisture is adequate during the summer growing season.

The trials carried out by seed companies to increase yields and lint quality also bring uncertainty to cotton production prediction.

However, cotton's ability to recover itself is also strong, and this year's area is expanding. If there is no extreme weather in the future, the output of the northern part of the Texas plateau is likely to increase substantially.

It is reported that the US Department of agriculture will publish the actual output forecast of Texas based on field survey in the monthly report of August 10th.

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Cotton production has been expanding in recent years due to good cotton yield, strong demand from abroad and abundant water resources.

According to the latest report released by the US agricultural counsellor, Australia's cotton harvest area is expected to increase to 8 million 850 thousand mu in 2017/18, higher than the 8 million 355 thousand mu this year, and the output of cotton is expected to reach 1 million 88 thousand tons, higher than that of this year's 1 million tons.

The export volume of Australia cotton is expected to reach 1 million 45 thousand tons in 2017/18, higher than the 914 thousand tons in the current year.

China will still be the biggest buyer of Australia cotton, but with the continuous consumption of cotton reserves, China's import demand has decreased.

Other major buyers of cotton include India, Vietnam and Indonesia.

India's market grew rapidly. India accounted for 25% of cotton exports in Australia this year, compared with 2-3% in the previous few years.

Australian cotton sowing from September to mid November, the harvest period is from March to June.

This year, the area of Dryland in Australia has been enlarged. In the first two months of 2017, Australia's continuous high temperature and low rainfall may affect the cotton yield and total output in these areas. However, heavy rain in March this year may help to reduce production losses.

The Australian weather service predicts that in 3-5, the rainfall in Australia will be below normal.

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