The Price Of The National Cotton Market Has Gradually Stabilized After The Initial Madness.

The quality of Xinjiang cotton with better quality in national storage cotton is faster than that of real cotton, but the quality of cotton is slower and the quality is poor.

Third, it is not worth considering the domestic cotton rotation, because it has a greater impact on the domestic market and easily distorts the domestic market price.

This year's demand in China is actually very good, but it is expected to be more pessimistic. Therefore, this year's national cotton storage market has been relatively calm after the initial craziness. The paction price has gradually weakened, and the turnover ratio has remained at around 60%, basically 40-45 tons per month, which is very stable.

Until recently,

The market is gradually showing signs of fire. The rush to purchase increases, the price rebounded and the turnover rate began to increase.

Pessimistic expectations can curb demand, but at present, there are only more than 30 trading days from the reserve cotton market. If the enterprises do not buy any more, later cotton will be more nervous, so the demand will have to be released after time is forced, so the volume of trading begins to be heavy.

However, because the government has made a preliminary plan in the early stage, under certain conditions, it will consider increasing the auction volume or extending the decision of throwing and storing time. Therefore, this expectation is expected to appear as scheduled in the recent cotton trading.

Recently, the China cotton reserve management company issued the notice on Issuing the Sixth Batch plan for the national reserve cotton mill in 2016/2017, and the circular pointed out that the Sixth Batch of the public inspection plan for the warehouses was 414 thousand tons.

The 414 thousand batch of the Sixth Batch of public inspection plans is all reserved.

It involves 12 provinces and 14 storage units, and all of them are directly subordinate units.

The notice of cotton reserves should be a positive reflection of market expectations and have a greater impact on the market.

1, the supply and demand of Xinjiang cotton will no longer be tight this year.

In the late period, 414 thousand tons of Xinjiang cotton in the central storage cotton were listed, and the supply of Xinjiang cotton will increase significantly this year, and the atmosphere of panic buying in the market will decrease significantly.

The expectation of tension will no longer exist.

2, 9-1 price difference reconstruction.

The first 9-1 spreads widened to 600 yuan, mainly due to the expectation of supply and demand in the current year. When the amount of reserves was increased, the logic was no longer established, and the spread of price dropped significantly.

3, the market is expected to improve in the future.

The quantity of new cotton in the national cotton reserves is certain. If this year's output increases, it means that the supply of new cotton will decrease in the future market.

It can be expected that the market will be more interested in cotton Xinjiang cotton in the coming year.

At the same time, increasing the output of Xinjiang cotton means increasing the probability of entering the international cotton market, and the market is expected to improve in the future.

4, the old and new year is stable and excessive.

Due to the expected easing of supply and demand in 9-11 months, the market mentality will gradually calm down, and the expected increase will decline, and the new and old year will be smooth pition.

To sum up, if the government does not change, the market will have the probability and space to increase, but when the policy tends to increase reserves, the expectation of supply and demand will be broken, and the market will return to a relatively relaxed state.

But the process of going to stock of national cotton reserves is good, and it will benefit the future cotton market. It is recommended to pay attention to the far month contract after the fall, and recommend to pay attention to the May contract.

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