If The US Wants To Retire, How Much Will China'S Textile And Clothing Export Trade Suffer?

Black five, Christmas approaching.

Make positive preparations, but on the other side

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The reason for the worry is just a few days ago.

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It is reported that the United States will formally withdraw if it fails to reach a new agreement with the Universal Postal Union in the coming year.

It is reported that since the establishment of the Universal Postal Union, it has always followed the principles of developed countries in support of international exchanges among developing countries, for example,

However, with the rise of e-commerce, especially

After more and more prosperous, a lot of

Such daily consumer goods are shipped to developing countries such as the United States through low fee rates in the form of postal packets. This has led to domestic businessmen paying attention to the contrast of this subsidy and starting to oppose this mechanism.

Then, if the United States withdraws from the alliance, it will be right.

What are the impacts and how should domestic small and medium-sized sellers respond?

How big will domestic SMEs be affected?

Some experts predict that for the Chinese cross-border e-commerce sellers who have built their own overseas warehouses and third party logistics companies, the price increase may not be too great.

But for those small and medium-sized sellers who use postal delivery, the impact of logistics cost increase is not small.

At present, many cross-border online shopping apparel products in the sending link will use pnational postal business, this part of the express business is mainly from the use of cross-border e-commerce platform for small and medium business and manufacturers.

These enterprises generally sell scattered, no overseas warehouses, usually exit by international postal packets, and postal packets can directly go through express delivery channels without customs declaration.

Statistics show that the withdrawal of the United States from the Universal Postal Union will result in the loss of 40% to 70% postage fees for such small and medium-sized suppliers and manufacturers using the international postal packet. The proportion of logistics costs to the total cost of each paction may increase to 40% or even higher, which will cause a great blow to it.

Contact a number of electricity suppliers and textile and garment enterprises, listen to what they say:

Fujian

"Quanzhou superior products"

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Exports to Europe and the United States each year account for more than half of the total export volume, postal service is an important way of logistics.

The impact of the US withdrawal from the Universal Postal Union on local cross-border electricity providers is enormous.

On the whole, the impact on the low unit price is especially large, and the freight ratio will increase significantly in the whole cost structure.

Fujian Quanzhou cross border electricity supplier association responsible person said.

Guangdong

It is understood that most of the goods sold by cross-border electric providers are products with fierce competition in the market such as clothing, shoes, bags, cosmetics and so on. In order to attract customers, the postage of goods is usually borne by the seller.

A seller who has been engaged in the pnational network sale of clothing in Guangdong has told reporters that although the international postal system has long pportation time, the pportation cost is low.

For small amount of goods, the increase in postage will increase the logistics cost of sellers, and the profits of sellers will be significantly reduced.

He believes that if the United States withdraws from the Universal Postal Union, it depends on the pricing power of domestic small and medium-sized sellers, which will further test the overall competitiveness and operational skills of the sellers.

However, this part of the increase in logistics costs will also be passed on to consumers.

"Our profit itself is not high. If the logistics cost is increased, it will also be reflected in the price of goods, which is shared by the local consumers of the United States."

The seller said.

Zhejiang

A head of a small manufacturing company based on shoes and caps from Ningbo said that about half of the cross-border exports of goods were sent by post international packet. If the United States really "retired", the export business of enterprises will be directly impacted.

He told reporters that there are two main ways to send goods to the United States. One is through postal mail. In addition, in order to enhance the experience of customers, the company also sends containers to the overseas warehouse of Amazon, so that customers can receive the goods as soon as possible. He believes that this is also a trend of development in the future.

Shandong

"Now that we have shipped through overseas warehouses, the proportion of shipments is almost small."

A head of international business at a Gaomi textile company in Shandong told reporters that in 2012, the company set up overseas warehouses directly in the United States. The goods were sent to overseas stores by sea and sent to the consumers through the US express.

Even if the US really "retire", the company's business will not have a particularly big impact.

He said that in the future, enterprises will pform to produce high-tech products. Although the energy invested in the early stage is more, the profit will increase and accumulate more competitive advantages as time goes on.

Advantages and disadvantages of overseas warehouses

However, due to the huge investment in the construction of overseas warehouses, only a certain scale of enterprises will build their own warehouses.

"The seller who originally shipped the goods must have built overseas warehouses or rented the cost and risk of pressing overseas warehouses."

Some experts believe that sellers should make overall adjustments in the cycle of production, pportation and other aspects, and require higher capital turnover rate.

The backlog of overseas warehouses is more expensive than the products themselves.

In addition, the damage to the overseas warehouse mode is tariffs. Overseas warehouses are unable to enjoy the duty-free benefits of the US $800 below.

For sellers who develop to a certain scale and have stable sales volume and more capital, they can consider overseas warehouses.

The high cost of overseas warehouses is a pressure for small sellers, especially those with low value and low added value. The direct mail sellers who survive and develop on the basis of running volume are facing huge risks and may even withdraw directly from the market.

Generally speaking, everything has two sides.

Although the United States withdrew from the Universal Postal Union and increased the cost of operation and operation of small and medium-sized sellers, it is also an opportunity for self improvement.

In the long run, to get rid of low price competition, enhance the added value and competitiveness of products and cultivate customer loyalty is the fundamental way to deal with such policy risks.

Polishing the products with core competitiveness is the real effort of sellers.

There is buffer for us to retreat.

In the coming year, the United States will conduct bilateral or multilateral negotiations on the new rules within the Universal Postal Union; if no agreement can be reached, the United States will withdraw from the Universal Postal Union.

That is to say, at present, the US withdrawal from universal postal service has not yet taken effect, and before the negotiations are completed, cross-border electricity providers will continue to follow the original freight policy.

For cross-border electric business enterprises, the peak season will not be too much at the end of the coming 2018.

"My self shipment ratio has reached 90%, and the US market really can't go down and go to Southeast Asia to look for opportunities.

The real withdrawal of the United States from the Universal Postal Union will take at least a year, and there is still time for a year to prepare for the pformation.

A seller who sells knitted underwear in Quanzhou, Fujian, told reporters that in the past few years, many traditional factories in Quanzhou began to pfer capacity to Southeast Asia. He is also planning to go to the Indonesian market with the factory.

On the one hand, we can see whether the mode of foreign sourcing, operation domestic undertaking and product sales can go through the European and American models. On the other hand, we also want to see how the local consumer market shifts the focus of cross-border exports to Southeast Asia.

At present, the overall sales volume of electricity suppliers in Southeast Asian countries has maintained a high growth rate.

Statistics show that Indonesia is the largest and fastest growing B2C electricity supplier market in Southeast Asia, while Thailand ranks second.

Vietnam's electricity supplier market has been regarded as one of the fastest growing electricity market in the world. From the data, Vietnam has maintained a growth rate of over 20% since 2013, and Vietnam's market value will exceed 10 billion dollars in 2020.

However, insiders remind us that the United States can impose barriers to other countries' direct mail products exported to the United States.

At present, there are loopholes in cross-border electricity supplier supervision in various countries. Only when the regulatory environment is stable, can the industry be truly stable.

Therefore, in addition to seeking more solutions in logistics, sellers should consider all aspects of operation.