Academy Of Social Sciences: Textile Industry Jobs May Be Reduced And Employment Pressure Increased In 2019.

In December 25, 2018, the blue book published in 2019, published by the scientific research bureau of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and other institutions, said: because some developed international trade protectionism has different effects on different industrial sectors in China, the employment pressure of labor-intensive sectors is greater, including furniture, clothing and electrical appliances manufacturing.

The total number of employed persons in China's industrial sector dropped from 99 million 772 thousand in the peak period in December 2014 to 80 million 585 thousand in August 2018, with the largest decline in labor-intensive traditional industries.

Textile and garment industry has great influence.

The decline of employment in China's industrial sector is due to the superposition of many factors. From the trend, 2018 has accelerated trend than the decline in 2015~2017, which is related to the impact of Sino US economic and trade frictions.

From a labor-intensive sector, because China's exports to the United States are over 30% of its traditional labor intensive industries, such as toys, furniture, textile and clothing, leather products and electrical equipment manufacturing, and the gross margins of these industries are relatively low, the labor-intensive enterprises relying on export tax rebate have almost no risk resistance to trade policy fluctuations.

If the United States levied higher tariffs, the exports of these industries to the United States could stop.

Moreover, due to the rising cost of land, labor and other elements, the processing trade, which is the main mode of OEM, is in a state of "squeezing down" in the international industrial chain, and is facing a more severe impact. The resulting shift of industries may lead to serious loss of jobs in China's labor-intensive industries.

Artificial intelligence will squeeze the space of traditional industries such as clothing and textiles.

The rapid development of the new round of technological revolution is a new technological revolution based on industrial intelligence, Internet industrialization and industrial integration, with artificial intelligence, intelligent manufacturing and new material science as the main technology. It will reconstruct all links of production, distribution, exchange, consumption and other economic activities, which not only promotes industrial pformation and upgrading, but also drives the rapid economic growth.

The technological revolution will also increase the investment cost of human resources, and the contradiction of skills structure will become more prominent in the short term.

The new technology revolution will adjust and optimize the post demand structure of the human resource market, and ordinary staff will be impacted.

With the continuous emergence of new entries, new models and new interfaces, the original industrial ecology is fluctuating and deconstructing.

The textile and garment industry, the Internet as a huge draught, its trillion market space will inevitably generate many unprecedented "new jobs".

Talent is the infrastructure of the industrial Internet, and the training of new talents is also a top priority. The market of professional training and vocational education will be a new blue ocean.

How to deal with unemployment risk

We should seize the opportunities of new economic development, vigorously develop new industries and new formats, and develop a large number of high-quality jobs suitable for the employment orientation of new generation of labor force, so as to promote the high quality development of employment and economy.

At the same time, it is necessary to avoid the risk of unemployment in the development of new industries and new formats, so as to prevent some low skilled workers from being thrown out of the formal labor market.

As an ordinary person, we can not control the industry's "big trend", but in order not to be eliminated by the "big trend", in order to survive in the industry, we must grasp the "small trend" that can bring us opportunities.

In short, the Academy of Social Sciences suggests that we should seize the opportunities of new economic development, vigorously develop new industries and new formats, and develop a large number of high-quality jobs suitable for the employment orientation of the new generation of labor force, so as to promote the high quality development of employment and economy.

At the same time, it is necessary to avoid the risk of unemployment in the development of new industries and new formats, and to prevent the unemployment of some low skilled workers from being thrown out of the formal labor market. The employment rights and health of employees in new forms of employment are also damaged. This is also an important part of China's employment policy.