The Market Is Ruthless: This Year's Off-Season Will Be More Difficult Than Before. Textile People Need To Be Prepared Mentally Ahead Of Time.

Since the beginning of this year, the links between the upper and middle reaches of the textile industry, from raw materials, production to sales, have been grieved. The economic environment, industrial pformation and social pformation have all forced the textile industry to enter the era of sadness, joy and pain together with other industries.

The textile market in 2019 has already spent 1/4 of the time in the internal and external economic environment. At the level of expression, it is a surge of anxiety in the industry.

In recent months, the world trade volume has suffered the most serious decline since the financial crisis and is as dangerous as the Internet bubble period in the early twenty-first Century.

According to data from CPB Holland economic policy analysis Bureau, as of the three month of the first month of this year, the world trade volume dropped by 1.8% compared with three months ago, with the further recession of the global economy.

The British Daily Telegraph pointed out that the industrial recession was caused by a series of factors, including the recession of the auto industry, the paralysis of Britain from Europe and the attempt by the US President Trump to subvert the international trading system by imposing tariffs on goods from Europe and other countries.

The sharp drop in Global trade growth is equivalent to a few months after the dotcom bubble burst in 2001, when trade fell by 2.2%, the biggest decline since the 2007-2008 financial crisis, when global trade plummeted to 12.7%.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also warned last week that this is the "delicate moment" of the global economy and is losing kinetic energy.

The trade tensions between Britain and the major countries in the world have constituted a significant downside risk, which has affected business confidence and hurt factories, machinery investment and employment creation.

Lagarde, President of IMF, said that in the past six months, the global economy has "lost the momentum of further growth". (ChristineLagarde)

She believes that the slowdown in the global economy has resulted in a decrease in trade volume and caused "trade tensions to exacerbate the impact of spending on producer goods".

IMF said the global trade downturn is widespread.

The slowdown is expected to stabilise after 2020.

However, Lagarde pointed out that although the global economic growth is expected to rebound in 2020, this rebound will be hamper by downside risks, which include trade issues, high debt problems in some countries and areas, and Britain's off Europe issue.

In the latest issue of the world economic outlook, IMF lowered the global economic growth rate to 3.3% in 2019, the lowest since the financial crisis.

IMF is worried that trade tensions may erupt again and affect other sectors, such as the automotive industry, which will cause serious disruption to the global supply chain.

It is said that the business is not good recently. How bad is the textile market in the near future?

1, fabric traders do not dare to hoard goods: the fourth quarter of last year's hoarding cloth has not been sold yet.

Chen, a fabric trader who has been struggling for many years in the market, responded to reporters: "last year, they asked for the goods to be ordered, and this year is the other way round. Many gray cloth owners will let me pick up the goods.

But I do not dare to store more goods. The last fourth quarters of the year have not been sold out, and the demand for guests has been reduced, so I can only save less.

In recent years, with the impact of foreign grey cloth on the market, conventional chemical fiber fabrics such as polyester taffeta, spring Asian spinning, and nylon spinning are all performing in general. The market supply exceeds demand. As a result, the discourse power of the weaving factories is weakening this year. Traders' days are much better than that. Even so, there are still many traders who dare not rush to stockpile goods. Besides having concerns about the market outlook, they are more strict in controlling cash flow.

In addition, with the rise of raw materials, labor and dyeing fees, many traders said that the profit margins had shrunk. "Now do not seek to make more money, but only do the orders safely, and the repayment of goods is satisfactory" has become the aspiration of many traders.

2, the dreadful horror, the roll up and freight master have no business!

The downward trend of the market, as the textile accessories engaged in the roll packaging, express pportation, cargo unloading, can reflect the textile market from the side.

According to the survey of the Shengze market, only a few of the rolling shops are busy in the textile business area, while more of them are sitting at the door for tea and chatting.

Li Li, who was engaged in the roll up for more than 10 years, chatted with us. He said that he had been sitting around like this day for a week, and that was probably the case before May 1.

Although there are also off-season in previous years, they are all in June and July. It is rather idle when the weather is hot. It is rare to live in April like this year.

Not only himself, but the whole situation is almost the same, even if it is a little alive, it is not enough to work half day.

For this market, Li Shifu is very open, live to do, no goods to rest.

After all, there is no order on the client side, so it is useless for them to worry about anxiety any more.

A loading tricycle master also gave feedback. There were several companies calling him to pull goods. This time he called him a lot less times. He thought that 511 must be a long time.

At the same time, reporters in the market also saw a lot of tricycle masters gathered in the shade, chatting and resting, silently waiting for them to pull the phone rang.

The conversation between the master and the master of the tricycle is no doubt that the market is fading again.

3, the garment factory may day has been on holiday for five days, and there is no sign of starting yet.

"At this time of the year, may day is a day off, and now it's normal for 4-5 days. In the past year, the garment factory of Lujiang, Haizhuqu District, Guangzhou, was packed with workers.

Compared with last year, this year's scene is a double hot day, and some factories are forced to shut down.

A boss at the Kang Le Village garment factory complained.

Mr. Chen, from Hubei, opened a garment factory in Lujiang, Haizhu, 15 years ago. In the past few years, when he was in good business, he could earn about 300 thousand a year.

This year can not earn money, but under no circumstances, Chen boss can only send two children to school, so that the cost of a year can be saved at least thirty thousand yuan.

"Although the formats are declining in recent years, the rate of decline this year is particularly obvious. Most workers are unable to make money and choose to go home. Now there is a phenomenon that orders are not being done in the factory."

Mr. Chen said.

The boss of Qin, who had opened the factory for 3 years, also felt this thick chill. "We could make a little profit last year. This year's situation is not optimistic."

In his clothing factory, there were 30 people at ordinary times, 20 fixed workers and 10 mobile workers, but when the reporter visited, there was no worker in the factory and the equipment was idle.

Qin boss said, because no work, workers in the dormitory rest, at least 60% of the workers went home.

The boss of the Qin Dynasty wrote the accounts to reporters: "a room in the dormitory is more than 1000 yuan a month. We rented 10 rooms, and we need about 100000 here a year."

And factories, equipment, dormitories, wages and other inputs, a year down to 700 thousand to 800 thousand.

"Last year my clothing factory still had a 1 million 200 thousand profit, but this year, I probably lost about 300000."

Mr. Gao, from Xiantao, Hubei, said that according to past experience, after the Spring Festival, it will be the stage of garment production and heating up. Before the May Day holiday, the summer peak will appear. It is the first time to make money in the first half of the year.

But this year, the whole industry is not going to be shipped.

With the economic downturn and market saturation in recent years, competition has become increasingly fierce, because the textile industry has obviously arrived at a crossroads of anxiety and anxiety. It needs qualitative breakthroughs and expects rapid and comprehensive pformation.

However, in this era of complex pformation of technology, culture and economy, it is obvious that an industrial pformation is not easy.

In the current textile and apparel market, the plight and opportunity coexist, and itches and pains are at the same time.

Xiaobian reminded: this year's off-season will be more difficult than in previous years. Textile people need to prepare mentally ahead of time.