2019 Cotton Purchase Price Or Enter The Era Of 4 Yuan
Purchasing price or entering the era of 4 yuan
On August 23rd (Friday), kuikun reclamation area was hit by hail. It was estimated that 150 thousand acres of land were affected, but the impact was limited. In August 26th (Monday), Zheng cotton opened up more than 400, almost down. As soon as September entered, cotton grew well and began to sit on top of the peach. The cotton fields in the field began to crack and boll out because of better ventilation. Cotton growers are confident of their current yields. Although the weather has been affected by bad weather during the sowing period, the weather has improved and the temperature has picked up since July. At present, the growth of cotton in Xinjiang is basically flat or slightly better than that of last year.
At present, textile enterprises admit that "pressure is huge", and they are puzzled by the emptiness of the market. Traders basically choose to protect their lives and wait and see. With the escalation of Sino US trade friction in September 1st, domestic and foreign cotton prices continued to fall sharply. At present, there are still more than one million tons of lint in the 2018/2019 within the territory. In the meantime, the National Reserve will be sold to the end of September. With the gradual picking and listing of new cotton, enterprises will be worried about the sale of lint in the past year. Many of the processing enterprises last year bought 50% of the processed cotton, but even if they sell a lot of cotton linen, they will not be able to clean up before the scale starts this year.
At present, the sale of lint in the market is sold at a discount, and the price is maintained at 12500-13000 yuan / ton, far lower than the cost of purchasing. The lint price may fall below 11000.
This year's enthusiasm for contract processing enterprises is generally not high. A business in Shandong bought all the processing plants of the first division in Northern Xinjiang at the beginning of the year. For some reason, it began to hire processing plants outside the country. The processing enterprises of each regiment of the regiment were still being leased to the outside world, and the processing plant of Kuitun reclamation area was only rented last week.
Judging from the current mentality of the processing enterprises, although preparations have been made before the acquisition, confidence is not enough, and the cotton market in the new year is confused. In the 18 year, there are still 1 million 500 thousand tons of inventory. In September, the state continued to store and throw 200 thousand tons. In 2019, Xinjiang's 5 million tons were about to be released, and the trend of the downward trend was obvious.
The domestic futures market will be bottomed at 11000 yuan / ton, or it will be broken down by 10000 yuan / ton in 2016. Processing enterprises are closed at futures prices, and the low price of lint will definitely affect the purchase price of seed cotton in the new year. The price of the cotton harvester is forecast to be around 4.5 yuan / kg. With the listing of a large number of cotton, the purchase price will not fall to 4 yuan / kg. It is possible that the machine picked cotton will be listed on the 20 day and will fall below 3 yuan.
According to the above situation, it is suggested that our cotton growers should ensure that the state subsidies are available in the sale. This year, the state will pay 18600 yuan or 7 yuan for direct subsidy. We must sell the seed cotton according to the requirements of the state, and the subsidy information should be collected. The two is to sell on the market and do not bet on the market. We believe that the country will surely help our vast cotton farmers in difficult times. This year, it may be very large to make up 2 yuan.
About 4 yuan purchase price, cotton person do you accept?
The sale of new cotton is about to start, and the fall in cotton futures prices affects every cotton man's heart. Though we are all very emotional when we return to the era of 4 yuan, is it true that in 2019, because of the 4 Yuan era, income has been greatly affected?
Cotton friends iceberg and silence have calculated the cost of planting. They said that if the purchase price is really four yuan, it will not be enough to get cotton farmers' money in the end. Cotton friends are right. On the face of it, the 4 Yuan era will really make it difficult for cotton farmers to maintain. Accounts are very accurate, indicating that our cotton farmers are no longer blindly farming, not cost, this is progress!
Cotton friends who are familiar with the cotton policy believe that they believe in the support of the state policy and that the subsidy is the concern of the state to the cotton farmers. Indeed, the cotton price subsidy in 2019 was 18600 yuan / ton, which we have been reporting recently, this subsidy will make up for the price gap. So with the care of the government, you will not be able to help yourself in the ups and downs of the market.
In the commentary, there are also many cotton growers' friends who want to have price insurance to make a profit for cotton growers. We have to say that there are indeed many experts in our cotton planting households who will use the current financial instruments such as price insurance to protect their income. The more cotton farmers will settle accounts, the more willing they will be to accept them. According to the salesmen of the insurance company, their large families have been staring at the price insurance products for a long time, so they will wait for immediate orders.
Indeed, cotton in modern society will not only cultivate land, but also finance, insurance and futures knowledge. Keeping to the old is doomed to be eliminated. (source: Silk Road cotton padded jacket)
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