The Middle East And South European Countries Are Limited By The Global Economic Downturn.
According to the information quoted by the Austrian Salzburg daily (108) in November, 6 of Vienna Economic Research (WIIW), in the face of the slowing down of global economic growth, most of the countries in Southeast Europe (CESEE) have not been hit too much. Although the strong economic growth has already passed, it is estimated that the economy will have a "soft landing" and will not face a collapse.
WIIW points out the economic elasticity of the 23 central and South Eastern European countries surveyed (ECO Nomic resilience, which is derived from its strong domestic demand, and the growth of salary growth and expansionary fiscal policy brought about by the shortage of talents, has contributed to its economy, and the new EU membership has benefited from strong public investment, which comes from the common injection of transfer payment.
WIIW estimated that the average economic growth rates of these countries in 2019, 2020 and 2021 were 3%, 2.9% and 2.9%, lower than 3.8% and 3.7% in 2018 and 2017, and estimated that the average growth rate in the euro area would be only slightly more than 1% in 2019. From the perspective of individual countries, Turkey is facing an economic recession (-0.7%) in 2019, but the economic growth rate will rise to 3.1% in 2020. In 2019, the Russian economy will grow by only 1.1%, and 2020 will rise to 1.7%.
WIIW forecast of economic growth in central and South Eastern Europe (%):
| Two thousand and nineteen | Two thousand and twenty | Two thousand and twenty-one |
poland | Four point four | Three point five | Three point three |
Hungary | Four point three | Three point one | Two point six |
Romania | Four point two | Three point three | Three |
Bulgaria | Three point five | Two point seven | Two point four |
Ukraine | Three point three | Three point one | Three point three |
Croatia | Two point nine | Two point seven | Two point seven |
Serbia | Two point nine | Two point seven | Two point six |
Slovenian | Two point nine | Two point eight | Two point eight |
Czech | Two point five | Two point four | Two point six |
Slovakia | Two point three | Two point two | Two point six |
Russia | One point one | One point seven | One point nine |
Turkey | -0.7 | Three point one | Three point three |
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