The Market Came To An End A Few Years Ago. Is This Raw Material Polyester Yarn Hoarding Or Not?
Last year, the last wave of market came to an end, the cluster started horsepower shortage.
Nowadays, textile workers are looking forward to the winter coming late, which is not the same as last year's driving effect on cold winter clothes. It is reported that at present, whether the brand or clothing factories have poor enthusiasm for the purchase of autumn and winter fabrics, even if the "double two" and other electricity supplier season will have the operation of replenishment and turnover, the market of mass replenishment has passed, and the market is hard to have good positive stimulation.
Rather than holding the illusion of market counter attack, it is better to solve inventory problems in real terms. Recently, a lot of peripheral loom manufacturers have seen the operation of reducing production and shutting down production. According to Mr. Wang, head of a textile enterprise with 500 looms in Northern Jiangsu, the factory has halted the machine, and the next thing to sell it is even a "victory" this year.
Not only is the peripheral market, but also the market of warp knitting market, which has made full effort to produce production. In the Haining area, such as leather base cloth, ammonia super, Jin Guangrong and so on, it is reported that a local warp knitting mill has stopped half, and the suede has more than 1000 tons of stock. The overall water spray market is also ineffective. The operating rate in Changxin has dropped from about 8-9 to 7 per cent, and the Sheng Zedi area has also dropped from 9 to 8-9.
All weaving clusters are on the decline. Many textile owners also say they will have early holidays. Some stockpiles have been piled up for more than 2 months, and manufacturers even consider starting the holiday in early December.
In 2019, there was only one month left, and 2020 was approaching, and then came the question of stocking at the end of the year. When to leave, how much should the raw materials be stored and stored?
Why do weaving manufacturers choose to make stock before the festival?
Like holidays and debt collection, the end of the year is a conventional operation of weaving enterprises before the new year of the year. It has a very long history. How can this "history" come into being?
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The price of raw materials increased in the first year, and polyester raw materials do this every year.
For weaving enterprises, raw material prices account for a large part of the cost of products, which is one of the most important factors that affect the price and profit of grey fabrics. Therefore, textile people will be extremely sensitive to changes in the prices of raw materials.
After so many years of production and operation, textile people have also set up their own experience in changing the price of raw materials. Polyester raw materials will increase in price after the year.
In order to verify this conclusion, Xiaobian specially searched the box and found the price change data of polyester filament from 2015 to now. Sure enough, The price of polyester will have a wave of increase after the annual holiday.
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The beginning of the year is complicated and requires raw materials to be arranged as soon as possible.
It is a trouble for every weaving enterprise to resume production every year. Nowadays, recruitment is difficult and recruitment is expensive. It has become a common phenomenon in the textile market. In particular, some skilled workers such as truck drivers and preservative workers are all needed by all weaving enterprises, but there is a shortage in the market.
Therefore, after the beginning of the year, textile enterprises will generally put great effort into recruitment. Besides hiring, it is urgent to take orders and arrange production. Buying raw materials as the front link of production is naturally the sooner the better.
This year's textile market environment knows everything.
But this year this situation may be different from the previous two years.
This year's market is really "know all understand", terminal demand is insufficient, raw material, grey cloth price has been falling, weaving Market conventional product inventory "break through the horizon", more importantly Weaving enterprises are very nervous in capital chain. 。
Under such circumstances, dumping has become a routine operation of textile enterprises: no money to buy raw materials? Drop it! No money to pay? Drop it! No money for water and electricity? Drop it! Too much stock? Or to throw away...
On the other hand, the production of raw materials and the production and sale of products have become part of the "routine operation" of weaving enterprises. When almost all of the liquidity becomes stock, this phenomenon is strange.
In addition to the question of raw material prices, this year's raw material prices can be described by a "down" character.
The price of PTA has gone down since July, and now it has dropped to 4700 yuan / ton, a record low of 3 years.
The price of polyester filament is not too much, so the price of POY150D/144F is now down to 7000 yuan / ton.
Such a price trend makes the market lose confidence in polyester raw materials. Nowadays, the raw material purchase strategy of weaving enterprises is all bought and used, and the purchase cycle is basically reduced to less than a week.
Coupled with the commissioning of the new PTA plant starting in November, the market has further reduced the price of polyester raw materials. "The price of polyester raw materials after the new year" is the most important precondition for the textile enterprises to store raw materials before the festival. Now it has become an uncertain event.
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