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The Production And Maintenance Plan Of Polyester Filament Device Before The Spring Festival Highlights The Pressure Of Polyester Supply.

2019/12/2 12:56:00 0

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Production And Maintenance Of Polyester Filament

Since November, the polyester filament market has been shocked, and in the early September, some of the FDY models have started to lose money during the traditional demand season. Although demand has been shrinking, the looms and looms start to decline continuously, but most enterprises believe that a large area of reduction is too early. In order to alleviate the pressure of supply, some enterprises take the lead in opening up the mode of reducing the load. Accompanied by the continuous decline of prices, the supply pressure is highlighted.

surface One List of production and maintenance of polyester filament device before Spring Festival

Unit: 10000 tons

Enterprise name	Involving capacity	Products involved	Reduced stopping time	Restart time
Zhejiang Tiansheng	Twenty	Polyester filament	Two thousand and nineteen November 13th 2013	After the Spring Festival
Jiangyin three lane	Three point five	Polyester filament	Two thousand and nineteen November 18th 2013	Undetermined
Jiangsu Huaya	Three point five	Polyester filament	Two thousand and nineteen November 11th 2013	Undetermined
Ningbo Quan di	Five	Polyester filament	Two thousand and nineteen November 26th 2013	Overhaul for one month
Fujian Xiang Lu	Eighteen	Polyester filament	Two thousand and nineteen December 20th 2013	Two thousand and twenty January 10th 2013
Fujian Jinxing	Twenty-three	Polyester filament	Two thousand and twenty January 1st 2013	After the Spring Festival
Fujian Bai Hong	Twenty	Polyester filament	Two thousand and twenty January 26th 2013	Overhaul for one month
Fujian latitude and longitude	Twenty	Polyester filament	Two thousand and twenty January 13th 2013	Two thousand and twenty February 5th 2013
Zhejiang Tiansheng	Twenty	Polyester filament	Two thousand and nineteen Mid December	After the Spring Festival
Ningbo Da wo	Twenty-five	Polyester filament	Two thousand and nineteen December 20th 2013	After the Spring Festival
Zhejiang Tiansheng	Forty	Polyester filament	Two thousand and nineteen End of December	After the Spring Festival
Jiangsu Hongtai	Twenty-five	polyester	Two thousand and twenty January 1st 2013	Undetermined
Taicang Shen Jiu	Forty	Polyester filament	Two thousand and twenty January 8th 2013	One Restart 200 thousand tons on 31 February
Ningbo Quan di	Twenty	Polyester filament	One Parking inspection at the beginning of the month	After the Spring Festival
Total		Two hundred and eighty-three

Source: lung Chung

The above table is for the production and maintenance schedule of domestic polyester filament enterprises before November to the Spring Festival, which involves more than 280 tons of production capacity, accounting for 9.1% of the total production capacity. The plant maintenance is mainly concentrated in mid December, and the polyester filament industry starts to maintain at 91.84%, while the same period last year started near 85.6%, an increase of 7.3% over the same period last year. Recently, the downstream production and weaving began to decline, and the pressure of polyester filament supply was prominent.

chart One Comparison of start-up trend of polyester filament and downstream field

Source: lung Chung

As shown above, the current polyester filament industry starts much higher than that of downstream elastic and weaving enterprises. With the end of the purchase order for textile materials in winter, the terminal textile orders generally declined, and the rate of opening up will decline. It is expected that the downtime rate will continue to increase in December, and the comprehensive starting rate of chemical fiber weaving will be reduced to near 60% in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces. The bomb factory has made a small profit this year, and its production enthusiasm is not high. At the end of the year, many workers return home earlier. Labor shortage and profit margins are all important factors for the start up of enterprises.

Fig. 2 Comparison of profit trend of mainstream polyester filament yarn

Source: lung Chung

Most of the operators said that the profits of polyester industry concentrated in the upstream PX-PTA area in the first half of the year, and the industry profits gradually shifted down from the end of the two quarter to the three quarter. POY enterprises focused on clearing inventory prices and increasing profit levels through joint pricing. However, the profits of FDY and DTY in the same period were slender, and the business of adding bombs was difficult. Since the fourth quarter, the profits of POY have also been shrinking, and the profits of the bomb companies have improved. But overall, the operation is still difficult, and they have indicated that the scale of production reductions will be expanded in December. It is reported that the Ningbo Cixi and other places have gradually stopped.

Long Zhong data show that in 2017-2018 years, before the Spring Festival, bombs and weaving began to fall to the freezing point, and the average starting point was 1-2. In the same period, the polyester filament started to maintain at 7-8. Even if this year's Spring Festival repair device was on schedule, according to the current statistical data, it is estimated that the polyester filament will start to run near 8 yuan before the Spring Festival, which is much higher than that of the downstream. Therefore, the pressure of supply is self-evident.

Table 22020-2021 statistics of new production capacity (PET filament)

Unit: 10000 tons

Name of enterprise and device	capacity	Estimated time of production	place	product
Heng Yi Haining	Twenty-five	Two thousand and twenty year	Haining	Polyester filament
New Phoenix Ming Yi Yi	Sixty	Two thousand and twenty year	Jiaxing	Polyester filament
Jiaxing ypeng two	Twenty-five	Two thousand and twenty year	Jiaxing	Polyester filament
Tianlong new material	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty year	Jinzhou	Polyester filament
Suqian Yida	Fifty	Two thousand and twenty year	Suqian	Polyester filament and polyester staple fiber
Fujian Yi Jin	Fifty	Two thousand and twenty year	Jinjiang	Polyester filament and polyester staple fiber
Heng Yi Haining	Seventy-five	Two thousand and twenty year	Haining	Polyester filament
Jiangsu Huaya	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty March 2013	Wuxi	polymerization
Hong Hong Sheng Hong	Twenty-five	Two thousand and twenty year	Wujiang	Polyester filament
Nantong Heng Ke	Sixty	Two thousand and twenty year	Nantong	Polyester filament
Nantong Heng Ke	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty year	Nantong	Polyester filament

Source: lung Chung

According to long Zhong data statistics, in 2020, the new capacity of polyester was estimated to be 6 million 200 thousand tons, an increase of 10.56%. The growth rate was 4.57% higher than that in 2019. The polyester filament is expected to add 3 million 600 thousand tons of capacity. Next year, the supply pressure will become more prominent. At the moment, the contradiction between supply and demand of polyester filament is also more acute. Although raw materials rebounded slightly, the cost side support is limited, and market expectations are still cautious and pessimistic.