“降息”來(lái)了 央行投放3000億元流動(dòng)性
17日,央行公告稱(chēng),為對(duì)沖央行逆回購(gòu)到期等因素的影響,維護(hù)銀行體系流動(dòng)性合理充裕,2020年2月17日央行開(kāi)展2000億元中期借貸便利(MLF)操作和1000億元逆回購(gòu)操作。
來(lái)源:央行官網(wǎng)
其中,開(kāi)展1年期MLF操作,中標(biāo)利率3.15%;開(kāi)展7天期逆回購(gòu)操作,中標(biāo)利率2.40%。資料顯示,央行上次MLF操作中標(biāo)利率為3.25%。
此前一周,央行已開(kāi)展10000億元逆回購(gòu)操作。2月10日,央行開(kāi)展9000億元逆回購(gòu)操作,其中7天逆回購(gòu)7000億元,中標(biāo)利率為2.4%,14天逆回購(gòu)2000億元,中標(biāo)利率為2.55%。緊接著在2月11日,央行繼續(xù)投放,開(kāi)展1000億元7天逆回購(gòu)操作,中標(biāo)利率為2.4%。在本次投放后,央行再次暫停公開(kāi)市場(chǎng)操作,上周央行累計(jì)投放10000億元。
央行表示,上周兩次逆回購(gòu)的開(kāi)展除了維護(hù)銀行體系流動(dòng)性合理充裕外,也是為了對(duì)沖公開(kāi)市場(chǎng)逆回購(gòu)到期等因素。根據(jù)央行官網(wǎng)公告信息,今日(17日)將有10000億元逆回購(gòu)到期,此外,周二(18日)還將有2200億元逆回購(gòu)到期。
在此之前,就有分析人士表示,央行將在本周開(kāi)展MLF操作。中南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)數(shù)字經(jīng)濟(jì)研究院執(zhí)行院長(zhǎng)盤(pán)和林認(rèn)為,本周央行應(yīng)當(dāng)會(huì)適時(shí)開(kāi)展MLF操作,而且會(huì)下調(diào)操作利率。國(guó)泰君安也分析稱(chēng),開(kāi)展MLF操作和LPR報(bào)價(jià)下行幾乎板上釘釘。
對(duì)于央行進(jìn)行MLF操作,中國(guó)民生銀行首席研究員溫彬指出,一方面,MLF置換到期逆回購(gòu)拉長(zhǎng)了流動(dòng)性投放的期限,有利于穩(wěn)定市場(chǎng)預(yù)期;另一方面,下調(diào)MLF利率可以引導(dǎo)LPR利率下行,在當(dāng)前不僅有助于降低企業(yè)融資成本以應(yīng)對(duì)疫情影響,而且在疫情結(jié)束后經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入恢復(fù)性增長(zhǎng)時(shí)也有積極作用。
國(guó)泰君安表示,疫情對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,主要是對(duì)一季度擾動(dòng),隨后會(huì)迅速企穩(wěn)。后續(xù),積極的財(cái)政政策,以及房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)融資放松的政策都值得期待。國(guó)泰君安認(rèn)為,疫情對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響是階段性的,改革和發(fā)展的步伐不會(huì)止步。
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