The Situation Of Textile Industry'S Resumption Of Production Has Improved, And The Pressure Of Economic Operation Has Increased Significantly.

In order to better understand the direct impact of the new coronavirus pneumonia on the production and operation of the textile industry, China Textile Federation launched a weekly survey on the resumption of textile production in March 3rd. As of March 18th 12, a total of 368 enterprises responded to the start of last week's business, and 1/3 of them insisted on weekly reporting. The China Textile Federation (CSPC) carried out a summary analysis of the weekly information, and submitted the latest progress of the industry's resumption of work and recovery to the relevant departments of the national development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of industry and information, and feedback on the difficulties and policy demands faced by the enterprises, and put forward policy and measures suggestions. The report on the resumption of production and recovery of textile enterprises within 18 weeks of March 11th ~3 is reported below for industry reference.

Textile enterprises resumed their work and resumed production in an all-round way, and the recovery of small and micro enterprises improved significantly, and the willingness to invest in enterprises rose.

According to the results of the weekly redevelopment report, at 12 hours ~3, 18, 12, March 11th, a total of 196 enterprises submitted effective rework data through the online questionnaire. The proportion of the returned enterprises has reached 96.9%, which is 3.6 percentage points higher than the previous week's survey results, and the number of returning workers in 190 households has reached 249 thousand, accounting for 87.3% of the total number of employed workers in the normal situation, compared with the previous week's survey. The fruit increased by 6.7 percentage points.

　　 ? The textile industry cluster of the 13 provinces in China was surveyed by the China Textile Federation group office and the park office. As at 12 o'clock in March 13th, a total of 62 thousand textile enterprises in the cluster resumed production, accounting for 75.7% of the total number of cluster enterprises, which increased 11.5 percentage points compared to the survey a week ago, and the number of workers returning to work reached 1 million 184 thousand, accounting for 59% of the total number of normal employment, compared with a week ago, compared with a week ago. The proportion of the total number of workers in the cluster reached 59%, compared with a week ago, compared with a week ago. In the past 12 weeks, the total number of workers in the cluster reached 1 million 184 thousand. The survey increased by 0.6 percentage points. Among them, 3940 of the above scale enterprises in the cluster, the proportion of reemployed enterprises has reached 95.4%, and the proportion of reemployment personnel has reached 71.6%, which is 0.5 and 10.1 percentage points higher than that of last week's survey data.

Small and micro enterprises resumed production and improved production situation. In the 28 key industrial clusters, a total of 58 thousand enterprises under the scale realized the resumption of work, accounting for 74.7% of the total number of enterprises under the cluster rules, which was 12.1 percentage points higher than the previous week's survey data; the number of enterprises returned to work under the regulation reached 629 thousand, accounting for 51.3% of the normal number of workers, and 2.9 percentage points higher than the previous week's survey data.

　　 With the gradual control of the epidemic, the resumption of work resumed production, textile enterprises investment confidence in the doldrums began to show signs of improvement. Of the 202 enterprises that reported investment information this week, 22.8% of them indicated that fixed assets investment projects were being built, which improved significantly over the previous 10% weeks. 15.3% of the enterprises indicated that there were investment plans next week, the proportion increased by 5.3 percentage points compared with the previous week's survey. In the 28 key industrial clusters, 64.3% of this week's cluster has investment projects under construction, although the proportion is basically the same as that of the former two Zhou Chiping, but the investment focus is returning from the epidemic prevention materials to the normal production and technology upgrading areas. 56% of the projects under construction this week are production items of non epidemic products, which is 18 percentage points higher than that of last week, indicating that the investment power of enterprises has been rising again.

The synergy efficiency of the industrial chain has been further improved, and the resumption of the professional market has continued to improve.

In the early days of the resumption of work, the upstream enterprises in the textile industry chain resumed significantly better than the middle and lower reaches. Recently, the resumption of production and production in the middle and lower reaches of the textile industry has been improving comprehensively, which is basically close to the upstream level of the industrial chain. The resumption of the textile and garment market has continued to accelerate, and the efficiency of the whole industry chain has been continuously improved.

According to the investigation report of the redevelopment weekly, more than 95% of the surveyed enterprises in the cotton spinning and chemical fiber industry have resumed work and the proportion of workers returning to posts has increased to about 88%. According to the investigation of China's printing and dyeing industry association, by the end of February, the two major printing and dyeing industrial agglomeration areas in Keqiao, Zhejiang and Fujian, Shaoxing, have basically achieved full recovery. According to the survey data of industrial clusters, the proportion of the 10 enterprises with 55 thousand complete garment and home textile industrial clusters in Dongguan, Nantong, Changshu and Haining has reached 71.5%, which is 11.8 percentage points higher than that in the previous week.

The resumption of professional market continues to accelerate. According to the survey data of the 101 major textile and garment market in China in March 17th, the recycling market has reached 99, and the market opening rate of monomer market has increased by 11.9 percentage points compared with the previous week's survey. The number of commercial shops has been 91 thousand, accounting for 63.7% of the total number of shops in the normal market, which is 12.9 percentage points higher than that of a week ago. The functions are being restored orderly.

　　 Orders and capacity utilization have improved, but insufficient demand has not been completely improved.

With the comprehensive promotion of resumption of work and production, the coordination of industrial chain operation has improved, and the order situation of textile enterprises has improved. Weekly data showed that in 193 of the reemployed enterprises that had filled out orders effectively, 44.6% of the enterprises' orders had reached 80% of the normal situation, 14.3 percentage points higher than that of the survey a week ago, and the proportion of the surveyed enterprises under the order of less than 50% decreased to 15%, more than 10 percentage points lower than that of the survey a week ago.

The improvement of production orders has led to an increase in the start-up load of enterprises. Of the 193 enterprises that have effectively filled in capacity, 60.6% of the enterprises have achieved 80% utilization rate, which is 4 percentage points higher than that of a week ago. The percentage of enterprises surveyed with less than 50% of capacity utilization is 14%, which is about 7 percentage points lower than that of a week ago.

Although the current epidemic trend has basically been curbed, most retail stores have not resumed normal business, and the network retail channel has also slowed down due to insufficient logistics efficiency. Home segregation and the reduction of social activities have led to the weakening of consumer demand for clothing products, and the shortage of market demand is still more prominent. Weekly data show that 56.4% of the surveyed enterprises choose insufficient demand and poor channels, which are the main difficulties facing the production and operation, and have already exceeded the proportion of enterprises that choose labor, logistics and other difficult options. In the case of insufficient market demand, the utilization rate of textile enterprises is still higher than that of orders, and the risk of inventory pressure and capital chain tension can not be ignored.

The textile industry's economic operation pressure has increased, but business expectations have improved, and the fundamentals have not changed for a long time.

Statistics from the National Bureau of statistics and China Customs show that since 2020, the textile industry has been affected by the epidemic and the pressure of economic operation has increased significantly. In 1~2 months, the added value of textile industry (including spinning, weaving, knitting, printing and dyeing, household and industrial products) decreased by 27.2% compared with the same period last year. The added value of garment industry decreased by 28.9% compared with the same period last year, and the chemical fiber industry decreased by 10.7% compared with the same period last year. The total output of 15 major categories of statistics increased negatively, and over half of the total negative growth rate exceeded 30%. The total retail sales of clothing, shoes and hats and needle textiles decreased by 30.9% compared with the same period last year, and the retail sales of online wear products decreased by 18.1% over the same period last year. The decline was obviously higher than that of rigid consumer demand products such as food and daily necessities. The total export volume of textiles and clothing was 29 billion 830 million US dollars, down 20% from the same period last year.

　　 Source: National Bureau of statistics, China Customs

Although the company is facing greater pressure on production and operation, the expectation for the development trend is gradually improving. According to the weekly survey results, 202 of the surveyed enterprises, still 19.8% of the enterprises said that the first quarter sales revenue will not decrease year by year; 151 of the surveyed enterprises with export business, 25.8% of the enterprises said the first quarter export volume will not decrease year by year, more than half of the enterprises said exports will increase. The proportion of surveyed enterprises with a year-on-year decrease of more than 20% in the first quarter was down to 56.7% this week, and 39.1% in the previous week. The proportion of enterprises expected to decrease by more than 20% in the previous week dropped to 46% from 46% in the previous week.

In March 16th, the National Bureau of statistics issued the national economic operation data of 1~2 month, and indicated that although the new crown pneumonia epidemic had a great impact on the economic operation, the impact of the epidemic was short-term, external and controllable. China's basic livelihood guarantee is strong, the overall social situation remains stable, and the trend of the long-term economic fundamentals and internal upward trend has not changed.

In recent years, the transformation and upgrading of the textile industry has continued to deepen, and the overall competitiveness and development resilience have continued to improve. Despite the difficulties facing the current operation and development, the textile industry still has the ability to effectively cope with the impact of the epidemic, and with the further improvement of the prevention and control situation, it will restore the order of economic operation with the highest efficiency. At the present stage, it is still suggested that enterprises should concentrate on mining the internal and external market space and integrate the resources of industrial chain effectively. At the same time, we must strengthen the belief of transformation and upgrading and high quality development so as to improve the quality, efficiency and efficiency of output, and make reasonable investment plans.