US Department Of Agriculture (USDA) Report: Global Cotton Consumption Sharply Reduced In 2019/20
In April 9, 2020, the US Department of Agriculture released the global cotton supply and demand monthly report. The decline in global consumption resulted in a reduction in trade volume in 2019/20 and an increase in final inventory. Consumption of all major cotton producers has been reduced, and global consumption has dropped by 1 million 656 thousand and 800 tons this month, down 6.4% from last month. Total consumption in 2019/20 is expected to be 24 million 110 thousand tons, 8.1% less than that in 2018/19. This will be one of the biggest annual drops since record. Global trade volume decreased by 654 thousand tons in 2019/20 this month. Due to the relatively small increase in inventory and production at the beginning of this month, the 2019/20 inventory increased by 1 million 722 thousand tons at the end of this year, 2 million 398 thousand tons higher than the same period last year.
About US cotton data: in 2019/20, US cotton exports and consumption were substantially lower than last month, and stocks at the end of the year rose sharply. The almost unprecedented global economic slowdown is expected to significantly reduce global cotton demand and trade. It also led to the biggest monthly downward adjustment in US cotton exports: 327 thousand tons to 3 million 270 thousand tons. Consumption fell by 21 thousand and 800 tons, and terminal stocks increased by 348 thousand and 800 tons. It is estimated that the final inventory will reach 1 million 460 thousand and 600 tons, equivalent to 37% of the total inventory, compared with 26% in March. Cotton farmers are expected to receive an annual average price of 59 cents per pound, down 1 cents from last month.
Global cotton supply and demand forecast for USDA2020 April (2019/2020)
Unit: 10000 tons | Aggregate supply | Total consumption | loss | Ending inventory | |||
opening inventory | yield | Import volume | Domestic consumption | Export volume | |||
Global | One thousand seven hundred and forty-seven point nine | Two thousand six hundred and fifty | Eight hundred and eighty-five point seven | Two thousand four hundred and seven point six | Eight hundred and eighty-four point eight | Four point one | One thousand nine hundred and eighty-seven |
U.S.A | One hundred and five point six | Four hundred and thirty-one point one | Zero point two | Sixty-three point one | Three hundred and twenty-six point six | One point three | One hundred and forty-five point nine |
Five Central Asian countries | Fifty point three | One hundred and twenty-nine point eight | Zero | Eighty-nine point nine | Thirty-five point five | Zero | Fifty-four point four |
African Franc area | Thirty-four point four | One hundred and thirty-two point eight | Zero | Three | One hundred and fourteen point seven | Zero | Forty-nine point four |
Australia | Thirty-four point two | Thirteen point seven | Zero | Zero point nine | Twenty-six point one | Zero | Twenty point nine |
Brazil | Two hundred and sixty-six point nine | Two hundred and eighty-seven point four | Zero point seven | Seventy-one point nine | One hundred and eighty-seven point two | Zero | Two hundred and ninety-five point seven |
India | Two hundred and two point seven | Six hundred and forty-two point three | Forty-three point five | Four hundred and seventy-nine | Seventy-one point nine | Zero | Three hundred and thirty-seven point seven |
Mexico | Sixteen point eight | Thirty-four point two | Fifteen point two | Forty point three | Eight point three | Zero point seven | Seventeen Point Two |
Chinese Mainland | Seven hundred and seventy-six point six | Five hundred and ninety-three point three | One hundred and sixty-three point three | Seven hundred and sixty-two | Three point nine | Zero | Seven hundred and sixty-seven point five |
European Union | Four point eight | Forty-three point five | Thirteen point nine | Thirteen point seven | Thirty-eight point eight | Zero point seven | Nine point one |
Turkey | Thirty-four point six | Seventy-four | Eighty-seven point one | One hundred and forty-eight point one | Seven point six | Zero | Forty point one |
Pakistan | Fifty-four point four | One hundred and forty-three point seven | Eighty point six | Two hundred and nineteen point nine | Two point two | Zero point seven | Fifty-six point two |
Indonesia | Eleven point five | Zero | Sixty-three point one | Sixty-one | Zero point two | Zero | Thirteen point seven |
Thailand | Three point nine | Zero | Nineteen point two | Eighteen point five | Zero | Zero point seven | Three point nine |
Bengal | Thirty-eight point eight | Three | One hundred and fifty point two | One hundred and fifty point two | Zero | Zero point two | Forty-one point six |
Vietnam? | Twenty-five point nine | Zero | One hundred and thirty-nine point three | One hundred and thirty-seven point two | Zero | Zero | Twenty-eight point one |
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