Demand Shrank, May Viscose Staple Prices Are Expected To Exist

Having experienced the supplement of the supply of the long Confederation at the end of 3, the viscose staple fiber industry has also been stable since April. However, the voice of the May Day holiday is again sounded.

The price of viscose staple has been slowing down since March. Until the end of the month, with the rebate and the anticipation of the new single discount, yarn enterprises are making proper preparations for viscose staple. The mainstream enterprises of viscose staple fiber also spend most of the April in the support of short orders.

However, with the gradual digestion of orders, since the middle of April, the finished product inventory of viscose staple fiber industry has increased significantly. At the same time, the cotton yarn has experienced frequent decline. Most of the varieties have touched the cost of production, while the May Day holiday intention has gradually increased, and the scope and momentum far exceed the Qingming holiday. At present, viscose staple fiber is again facing the situation of shrinking demand. The price seems to have become an indisputable fact. But the current market concerns and the contradictions discussed are probably divided into the following two points.

Opinion one: on the one hand, if the viscose staple fiber is narrow, the price will be limited for the current market, such as blunt knife cutting meat, stimulating transaction is limited. On the other hand, it is considered that the existence of market flow is still a problem of price, because traders have already started low enquiry on vortex and Siro cotton varieties. Once the factory price or sucker is possible, because of the intensity of traders' pressure on cotton yarns, the cotton yarn also needs to transmit certain pressure to viscose staple fibers. Therefore, the price of these high-end viscose staple fibers is high. The period is set at 9000 yuan / tonnes, or even below. Once the price is in line with market expectations, it will cause the transfer of finished product inventory in viscose staple fiber and human cotton yarn industry at the present stage, thus driving the rebound in the industry price.

View two: spinning sales is not a fact. It is not raw materials that are more or less. At present, the price of viscose staple fiber has been close to the lowest cost line of the mainstream factory. Once the price of the factory is over falling, the production and stock of the large factory will cause a great loss. Therefore, the viscose staple fiber factory will not drop. The price of the high-end supplier of viscose staple is expected to be 9200-9300 yuan / ton acceptance.

Based on the above two points, there are probably 2 stages. First, the price of viscose staple fiber is expected to decline. Two, the industry understands that the overall profitability of viscose staple fiber and cotton yarn industry is not good enough. However, if the viscose staple fiber appears to be the result of the first opinion of the industry, its historical low and the two factors that fall below the cost line do not exclude the involvement of some or even part of the funds outside the field.