Facing The Negative Growth Rate Of Import And Export, China'S Foreign Trade Enterprises Are Stepping Up Their Preparations For "Two Hands".
Editor's note:
A sudden outbreak not only has a profound impact on China's industrial chain and supply chain, but also has a huge impact on the textile and garment industry. Faced with a series of challenges such as foreign trade disruption, domestic demand and sales decline, industries and enterprises have begun to help themselves and break through in different ways while facing great pressure.
How to deal with the situation that has not been changed for a hundred years, find a way out in the fog, and re energize? At the moment, accurate understanding, scientific contingency, initiative change, knowing the bright future, strengthening confidence and catching and creating opportunities from the immediate crisis and immediate difficulties are the counterattack paths for the innovation of Chinese textile industry under the epidemic.
To overcome the epidemic situation and make further progress, confidence can not be reduced, and the goal of textile power can not be changed.
In order to better help enterprises to see the nature through change and follow the trend, China Textile Magazine has launched a series of special reports on "grasping opportunities and confidence", focusing on the two markets of foreign trade and domestic demand, starting from the different dimensions of industries and enterprises, and taking the pulse of the current development of textile industry to suit the remedy to the case, planning ahead of time, and developing high-quality development.
With the global spread of the new crown pneumonia epidemic, from supply to demand, from the economic and trade to the political, economic and social levels, we are under tremendous pressure. Global trade cooperation is almost halting, and the risk of world economic recession is constantly accumulating. As the highest marketization degree, the textile and garment industry with the longest industrial chain takes the brunt of it, and many orders have been reduced, even suspended, postponed, or cancelled by many countries, such as closing customs, closing borders, and sealing the city. Therefore, China's foreign trade enterprises have suffered heavy losses.
June 7th The General Administration of Customs released data showing that in US dollars, our country In May, the export volume decreased by 3.3% compared with the same period last year, and the growth rate was negative. The import volume decreased by 16.7% compared with the same period last year, or 2.5 percentage points from the previous month. The trade surplus reached $62 billion 930 million in the same month, an increase of about $17 billion 600 million from the previous month. In the first 5 months of this year, the total trade volume between China and the United States was 1 trillion and 290 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.8%, China's exports to the United States dropped by 11.4%, imports from the United States dropped 4.5%, and the trade surplus with the United States decreased by 642 billion 550 million yuan, a decrease of 14.5% over the same period last year.
Compared with the previous four months, although the manufacturing economy of the major economies in May rebounded, it was still much lower than the ups and downs.
"The strong export strength in April was mainly due to the implementation of orders in the first few months, and some of the previous orders in May, but the number was not very large." Bai Ming, deputy director of the International Market Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, said: "with the economic restart in Europe and the United States and other countries, the external demand should be improved, and the order is expected to increase in 6 and July." In particular, the export growth rate of domestic anti epidemic materials has accelerated significantly, which has a certain underpinning effect on the export decline. Customs data show that on May 1st -16, China's export of anti epidemic materials reached 63 billion 200 million yuan, which exceeded the 60 billion yuan export volume in April.
However, there are still many experts who are cautious about exports for the next one or two quarters. After all, The development trend of the epidemic situation and the change of Sino US economic and trade relations are important factors that affect China's export growth. Especially the politicians in the western countries headed by the United States. "Blame" , "Throw pot". This has greatly exacerbated the rise of trade protectionism and geopolitical conflicts. The global economic structure has undergone unpredictable changes. Some unstable and uncertain major risk points have been accumulating, and the signal of global economic recession has been continuously released. In addition, The "Freud death" incident led to many multinational protests. It has cast a shadow over the world economic recovery under the epidemic. In this regard, BOC International Securities predicted in the report that In 2020, China's import and export volume had a negative growth rate, but the decline was weaker than the global average.
Under the epidemic, many domestic foreign trade enterprises or "shared orders" hold together to warm up, or fight for active layout in the domestic market, or break down pressure on line breakout. Actively resolve pressure and discern business opportunities. In spite of the improvement of the epidemic situation in various countries, some countries have begun to lift the "emergency" and gradually restore their normal state. The experts stressed that although the short-term international economic recovery is not optimistic, foreign trade enterprises must adjust their market direction and industrial structure in time, and transform their risks into a diversified layout.
International trade has almost stopped.
Foreign trade exports encounter "cold current"
As mentioned by the International Textile Federation in the late April, which launched the third new crown impact survey involving 600 enterprises in Africa, the Americas, Asia and Europe (including Turkey), the risk of the outbreak is global. At one time, more than 40 countries in the world entered a tight state. Almost all enterprises in the region suffered a large number of orders to be cancelled and postponed. The textile and garment industry suffers from unprecedented impact at both ends of supply and demand. Foreign trade enterprises are suffering under the influence of uncertain factors.
As an important cluster of knitted sweater exports, Dongguan Dalang town has gathered thousands of export enterprises. Affected by the epidemic, some foreign trade dealers sold and sold the woolen goods at a cost of thirty or forty yuan, and now they can buy a cheap export sweater by two yuan / piece.
"Our annual output is 10 million, and this year we have 7 million overseas orders cancelled." The head of a knitting knitting enterprise in Dongguan, a Zara sweater manufacturer, said that at present, 70% to 80% of the factory workers have been on holiday because of the decrease in overseas orders. "Although there are several enterprises in the vicinity, they are basically looking for orders before the year, and most of them are not ready to pick up, or even turn to domestic sales."
Affected by the epidemic, not only small and medium-sized enterprises, but also large enterprises such as Shenzhou also suffer from the "pain" of order reduction. "H&M, ZARA, Old Navy, WAL-MART and other international brands are cancelling orders. The company's products are sent to Vietnam, and brands are not accepted. We are also very confused now, because just a few days ago, the workshop was still hot, and the transport car was not enough. And overnight, orders suddenly disappeared. A large domestic processing garment factory manager reluctantly said: "this year's off-season to two months earlier than in previous years, the list cancelled, even if not canceled, some people are helpless. If we rush to make an order, we fear that the subsequent suspension will be suspended. If we do not rush to do it, we will not be able to pay the delivery date. "
According to incomplete statistics, this year International brands such as Zara, H&M, UNIQLO, Nike, Adidas and so on, closely cooperate with China's foundries have shut down, refunded or delayed delivery. "The first thing I do now after getting up every morning is to focus on domestic epidemic data and focus on foreign epidemic data." As a result, many textile traders have laughed at themselves: "orders are not canceled, they are on the way to be canceled." Even Keqiao, the fabric capital, used to have more than one hundred thousand trips per day in China's Textile City, but only ten thousand of its ten days this year.
In the first quarter, China's textile and clothing exports dropped by more than a year ago. The level of the global financial crisis in 2008. In 1~3 months, the amount of textile and clothing exports to the United States, Japan, the European Union, ASEAN and Africa decreased by 29.2%, 16.8%, 14.3%, 13.1% and 11.7%, respectively. Despite the fact that since April, thanks to the completion of stock orders and the surge in demand for masks and protective clothing, China's textile and clothing exports have narrowed rapidly. In 1~4 months, the export volume of textiles and clothing was 66 billion 620 million US dollars, down 10% from the same period last year, the decline narrowed by 8 percentage points compared with the first quarter. Among them, textile exports amounted to US $37 billion 310 million, an increase of 2.9% over the same period last year, 14 billion 620 million US dollars in the month of April, an increase of 51.1% over the same period last year, and clothing exports stood at 29 billion 310 million US dollars, down 22.3% from the same period last year, and exported 6 billion 740 million US dollars in April, a decrease of 27.7% over the same period last year. ?
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Although the epidemic has been effectively controlled in some countries and regions, Spain, Germany, Austria, Denmark, Czech and so on. More than 30 countries and regions China has said in a row that it will relax the closed measures to cope with the new crown epidemic situation. But up to In May 17th, the 48 states of the United States entered only part of the restart; Brazil became the next epicenter of the epidemic; India's national blockade was postponed again; the French epidemic rebounded; Britain would enter the era of negative interest rates. In view of the current international epidemic situation and the trend of global economy and society, many experts have indicated that the global economic recovery is still slow in the short term, and that domestic trade exports will improve in the second half of the year.
Live online and busy with goods
Every day, 700 enterprises are sold domestically.
Faced with many thorny problems such as the reduction of foreign trade orders, backlog of stock, and unsmooth cash flow, many foreign trade enterprises began to fight for domestic sales while stabilizing and keeping abreast of foreign markets.
"This cotton linen curtain cloth is a new product with dustproof effect. Welcome to consult." In Keqiao, China's Textile City North market, a sales department, "post-90s" dealer Hong Hao is working with buyers online. Before the epidemic, most of the cotton and cotton fabrics, slub, snowflake and other products produced by the company were mainly exported. Because of the reduction of orders, Zhang Honghao decided to open the domestic market through the form of online transactions such as live broadcasting and carrying goods, so as to "walk on two legs" to cope with the epidemic situation.
Recently, it was hosted by China Light Textile City Construction Management Committee, Keqiao District Commerce Bureau and China Textile City Group. 2020 at the textile cloud exhibition, more than 120 enterprises have carried out product display through the network, of which 69 enterprises have been interacting with merchants through live broadcast. " The company's products are mainly exported to Italy, because most of the epidemic restrictions are at a pause stage. In order to reduce losses, on the one hand, we continue to increase our visits to key domestic customers, and strive to develop domestic markets; on the other hand, we try to keep in touch with our original customers. " Xie Zhenbin, sales manager of Hebei Yu Teng Cashmere Products Co., Ltd. Orders will be broken at the end of May. Risk. To this end, the company actively adjusts the direction of the market, layout at the same time in Zhejiang, Tongxiang, Hongkong and Guangdong Shenzhen three places, and strengthens intelligence and information input. In the future, it will take three areas as the center and mobilize the domestic market.
" Export to domestic sales, enterprises will face many challenges in terms of capital and manpower. Probably Foreign trade fabric enterprises turn to domestic sales and have certain advantages in products. People in the industry say that the design of clothing patterns in China is mostly from abroad, so foreign trade fabrics tend to be more fashionable and competitive. "But most of them Foreign trade enterprises have adapted to foreign trade. The OEM mode of "game rules" may not meet the needs of domestic sales, such as product appearance, model and other parameters. Large international companies will calculate through pre research, and the factory can start production according to the order, while the domestic market must constantly design new product styles according to the preferences of domestic consumers.
However, under the epidemic situation, there is still no way to stop foreign trade going to domestic sales. "Since last year, at least 32 export oriented enterprises in China are seeking to transform domestic trade. The platform Fujian, Jiangsu and Guangdong production enterprises in March this year, the scale of transactions increased by more than 250% over February. The Alibaba official revealed that within one month, the total number of new domestic trade platforms of the Alibaba was 1688, and the total number of newly added foreign trade factories exceeded 2, with an average of nearly 700 foreign trade factories being settled every day. The turnover of the foreign trade factories on the platform has exceeded 22 billion yuan a month. In addition, in order to alleviate the current market predicament of foreign trade, Alibaba's Taobao special edition also introduced ten measures to support foreign trade factories to sell domestically.
Nowadays, while fighting for the domestic market, many foreign trade enterprises focus on the domestic consumer market, and have used the big data to dig the consumption demand through the platform of live goods and electricity providers. By In May, more than half of the foreign trade enterprises in the country had already opened Taobao stores. In the past three months, the number of new foreign trade shops on Taobao increased by 160%.
"Sharing order" newspaper group heating
Government and enterprises should work together to overcome difficulties.
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