June'S Traditional Off-Season Attack: The Textile Industry Has Entered A Painful Period.
Entering the market in June, the market is approaching the normal off-season, and the market confidence of spinning enterprises is low. Regardless of domestic demand or foreign trade, enterprises generally believe that the downstream market will enter the off-season, and the cotton textile industry will face the big test again. Small and medium-sized textile enterprises will again face a crisis of production and downtime.
Domestic demand: low season prelude, small and medium enterprises under pressure
From the time of consumption habits and downstream replenishment, we will enter the off-season in 7 and August, and the order is in a state of slack. Industry experts said that some of the small and medium-sized enterprises may face pressure to cut production, shut down, vacation or even shut down in the month of 6~9.
Export: prelude to holiday, less orders.
The EU generally has high temperature holidays in 7~9 months, and France, Italy and Holland will have at least one month to go. Therefore, the export orders for the market in 6 and July are relatively small, and will increase again after 8 and September. Therefore, the downstream market in 6 and July is generally not optimistic, and the market will not improve until August.
Cotton: cotton is rising all the way.
In June, the price of zhengmian futures rose all the way. Recently, the main CF2009 contract of Zheng cotton futures was maintained at 12000 yuan / ton. After experiencing a short-term rise, cotton prices stabilized at 12500-12700 yuan / ton (Shandong Xinjiang cotton mention price) range. In June 10th, the CF2009 contract settlement price of zhengmian main force was 12035 yuan / ton, up 465 yuan / ton compared with the 1 day settlement price, and the Chinese cotton price index was 12103 yuan / ton, up 300 yuan / ton compared with 1 days.
Yarn: cotton prices rise, yarn does not follow up.
The price of cotton has not been transmitted to the lower reaches, and the price of yarn has not risen. Now, the cotton price of 12000 yuan / ton is used for spinning cotton spinning enterprises, which is also a loss of money, plus a larger inventory of enterprises. For cotton spinning enterprises, raw materials are rising and products are not going up. It's really painful. But fortunately, cotton prices have stabilized recently, temporarily reducing the impact on textile enterprises, and also for textile enterprises to digest inventory in time, and gain time by accessing new orders.
At present, the conventional yarn is also shipped normally, but the quantity is not large, especially the sales situation of pure cotton yarn is more general. In June 11th, the 32S price of pure cotton yarn was 18745 yuan / ton, OE10S price was 11875 yuan / ton, JC40S price was 22115 yuan / ton, TC45S price was 15545 yuan / ton, the orders on the market no matter big or small, the competition was very intense, the single bid situation resulted in the confusion of all links, and the operability was very unstable. At present, we need to invest more energy in order to ensure the smooth delivery of orders.
According to the investigation, at present, the textile enterprises in Henan province have a large polarization. Most of the enterprises producing low-end cotton yarn have returned to normal, and some enterprises that produce high-end products are still facing some business pressure. A person in charge of the enterprise said that the sales of combed yarn were slow, and the combed yarn was very fast. Therefore, the product line should be changed in time to produce a wide range of combed products with large market demand. In view of the problem of decreasing market orders in the off-season, the official said that the quality of the high quality cotton yarns is excellent, and the downstream customers are stable. Another company said that the domestic low-end cotton market is stable.
There are three main reasons for the serious differentiation of enterprises: first, seasonal demand changes; two, product positioning differences; three, the overall decline of downstream consumption and the occurrence of consumer demotion.
From the current situation, the market in 6 and July is hardly optimistic. It is suggested that textile enterprises still need to seize the opportunity to inventory, reduce liabilities, and adjust product mix in time according to market demand, and produce products with large market demand to improve the liquidity of enterprises.
Weaving factory: foreign trade is not improving, orders are less.
Recently, the foreign trade market has never been improved, and orders are few. Especially in the near future, the downstream market will turn over again, which will have a great impact on the entire textile market.
Recently, the sale of thick fabric is acceptable. Although there are some orders, there are not many orders. There are signs of increase in quotations, but mainly in small orders and lofting.
In addition, recent home textile orders have increased slightly compared with the previous stage, and enquiries have also increased, while regular grey fabric shipments have increased, but prices are still weak. Orders for dyeing mills are scarce, prices are lower than in previous years, and some factories are on holiday.
The large price of fabric factories and the shortage of orders resulted in two situations. One is the partial stop, the other is the backlog of stocks. The situation faced by the spinning mill is hard to improve in the short term.
With regard to the impact of the epidemic, spinning enterprises say that the global development of the epidemic has had a negative impact on exports:
The first is the early outbreak of foreign countries, a large number of orders have been canceled, some have been quickly completed production, customers suddenly withdraw, forming a certain order loss.
Second, the new export orders have been greatly reduced. The restrictions on ports and people caused by the outbreak of the epidemic have led to a significant reduction in the elasticity of clothing consumption. A large number of clothing stores have been closed, and many factories which rely on foreign trade are facing a situation of no single connection.
The third is that some export orders arrive at the port of destination, and the customers fail, customers refuse to pick up the goods, and the ports are closed.
Of course, such a situation is only a small number, but it also makes the factory extremely cautious when taking the extra orders, and it is also more severe in terms of payment. Otherwise, it would rather not accept it, so it is difficult for the two sides to reach an agreement and the last part of the order is lost to Southeast Asia.
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