Property Market In June Summer: 100 Cities Housing Prices Rose, Shooting Into The Climax

In 2020, China's property market was cold and hot, and finally recovered in May and June.

Some cities represented by the Shenzhen property market have gone out of a wave of rising prices. New homes and second-hand houses continued to rise in June. Mainstream housing prices have basically harvested new sales since the outbreak.

Not just the sales market. In June, Shenzhen, Wuhan and other cities in the market also refreshed the single month land sales record.

A large part of the reason behind this is the release of the depressed demand in the first quarter and April. In addition, the policy of attracting talents from all over the country in June also brought benefits to the property market.

Kerr pointed out that the second half of the year and the future property market will be intertwined and resuscitation. There will be an increase in the market volume and the volume of housing turnover. However, the promotion of stock prices will be the mainstream, and the price increase will be restricted objectively.

In such a market, the differentiation of Housing enterprises has become increasingly obvious. The performance of scale housing enterprises has recovered well, but many small and medium-sized Housing enterprises are in trouble.

Hot ending in the first half of the year

From the beginning of March in Shenzhen, the property market in all parts of the country has gradually recovered. In June, the National hot urban market is still active and running at a high level.

Central Plains real estate research center data show that in May after a clear spring, the June national market has basically returned to the highest level in 2019, out of the doldrums.

Among them, Beijing, Shenzhen, Guangzhou and other cities continued to rise in circulation, basically stable compared with the same period last year. The two or three line cities also rose by an average of more than 10%, including Suzhou, Wenzhou and other cities in June.

There were more active cities in June, especially in Ningbo, Nanjing, Chengdu, Hangzhou and other cities. The most noteworthy Wuhan market also rose significantly.

Take Shenzhen as an example, Shenzhen real estate information platform data show that in June, the new commercial housing in Shenzhen was 494 thousand and 700 square meters (4932 sets), an increase of 0.77% over the same period last year. Second hand housing transactions broken 10000 sets, close to 2015 level.

Song Ding, director of the tourism and real estate research center of Shenzhen Comprehensive Development Research Institute, believes that the investment property of the Shenzhen property market has been very strong. In the absence of a good investment corridor, people still prefer to buy houses to protect the safety of funds.

At the same time, housing prices are also rising. According to the China Index Research Institute report, in June, the average price of new residential buildings in 100 cities nationwide was 15461 yuan / square meter, 0.53% higher than the ring, and the average price of second-hand housing was 15301 yuan / square meter, up 0.30%.

Housing prices are also heating up in June. The statistics show that the total sales volume of the top 100 housing enterprises reached 1 trillion and 451 billion 720 million yuan, up 13.8% year-on-year. Among them, the housing prices of the head picked up faster.

In June, Hengda realized contract sales of 76 billion 50 million, an increase of 51.3% compared with the same period last year, and sales returned 75 billion 690 million, an increase of 60% over the same period last year.

As a whole, "the market is a trend of" W ". It started next year, started again after resuming work, said Yan Yuejin, research director of the center of think-tank of Yi Ju Research Institute.

He pointed out that in order to stimulate the economy, monetary policy tends to be loose, the property market has become a capital gathering place, the interest rates of housing loans have been gradually reduced, the preferential rates have increased, and the demand for the backlog has basically been released. These have promoted the recovery of the national market in 5-6 months.

In addition, the land market has been gradually restored since March. Especially in Wuhan, in June, we had a climax.

In June 30th, the major housing companies exploded the war of the first half of the year in Wuhan. Wuhan successfully sold 9 land on a single day, with a total transaction price of up to 24 billion 382 million yuan.

Many housing companies have been enthusiastic, and Nanshan, real estate, good home buyers and overseas Chinese cities have entered the housing market. And Zhonghai Li Dahua, Hao cast 14 billion 400 million won the Hanyang Yuan Yuan block.

Central Plains data show that the first half of the year, the national land market continued to heat up, especially in Hangzhou, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Beijing and other cities continued to appear at a high price.

In the first half of this year, the turnover in the land market continued to rise. In the first 50 years of the big cities, there were 4 hundred billion land sales cities, namely Beijing, Hangzhou, Shanghai and Guangzhou. The total sales of land in the 50 cities totaled 2 trillion and 290 billion, up 17.3% over the same period.

Central Plains real estate chief analyst Zhang Dawei believes that from the land market, high prices, high premium rate plots frequent transactions, developers optimistic about the trend of the market has emerged.

Differentiation of housing prices intensified

The unusual first half of 2020 has passed. According to Ding Zuyu, President of Yi Ju China, most of the mainstream housing companies have gone through the customs. Many of them are still alive.

In the second half of the year, will the property market continue to be in its current state? The industry has different opinions.

Zhang Dawei believes that after the supply increased in July, the market is expected to continue to run at high speed. Recently, tens of thousands of people have seen signs of Yaohao in Chengdu, Nanjing and Hangzhou, all of which have led the market to anticipate rising property prices again.

But Yan Yuejin also reminds us that the recent rebound is hard to say that the market demand is rebounding on a large scale. It may be part of the past backlog of demand for centralized release. Based on this kind of judgement, housing enterprises also need to guard against the risk of market cooling.

Many people in the industry pointed out that this warming is unexpected, and this is not a good sign.

From the perspective of the real estate industry and companies, the appearance of some cities can not cover up the other side of cruelty, and the differentiation of housing prices has never been so serious.

Gram and Swiss data show that in the first half of 2020, the sales volume ranking, the entry threshold of TOP50 housing prices has not changed much, but the entry threshold of TOP100 Housing enterprises has dropped by 1 billion, falling by more than 9%; the entry threshold of TOP200 Housing enterprises has dropped by nearly 500 million, and the drop is more than 16%. Obviously, the impact of the epidemic on small and medium-sized Housing enterprises is more significant.

TOP50 housing prices changed significantly, such as new town holding, Huaxia happiness and Taihe Group. Among them, Xincheng holdings fell the top ten, from eighth in 2019 to fourteenth place, and China's happiness dropped from fortieth to twentieth in 2019.

Housing financing also presents a trend of differentiation. According to the twenty-first Century economic report reporter, nearly two months ago, Vanke and other high quality housing enterprises financing costs fell sharply, and even appeared a lot of 2 prefix interest rate bonds, and some small and medium-sized Housing enterprises in the financing blowout environment, the right to speak is not enough, can only impress investors with high interest bonds.

Song Ding believes that at present, China has more than 10 Housing enterprises, which is not a normal market phenomenon, the trend of future differentiation will also intensify, and some small and medium-sized Housing enterprises will gradually withdraw from the market.

Ding Zuyu believes that in the second half of this year, the market still needs a long time to recover, and the industry as a whole will become pressurized. It is estimated that the sales volume will be reduced by about 5% in 2020.

For housing companies, it is still an important goal for 2020 to grasp the market window period, "promote sales and pay back funds". (Editor: Bao Fang Ming)

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