Under The New Pattern Of Double Cycle Development, How Do Textile Enterprises Deal With Foreign Trade And Domestic Demand Market?
Generally speaking, the external circulation corresponds to the export foreign trade market, and the internal circulation corresponds to the domestic demand consumption market.
1、 Domestic demand has broken the shackles of domestic demand, Destocking boosts confidence
In the textile industry, during the 40 years of reform and opening up, the development of the textile industry has been export-oriented due to its high quality and low price. However, some countries led by the United States feel that China is selling too cheap, and their own textile industry can't afford it at all. Therefore, they are hostile to China, coupled with the impact of the epidemic, and the overseas market shrinks sharply. Therefore, some foreign trade orders can only be digested back to China, which is the so-called "economic internal circulation".
In fact, from last year's Sino US trade war to this year's new epidemic, some textile foreign trade enterprises have consciously shifted their focus from foreign trade to domestic trade.
Manager Wang, who is in charge of an elastic fabric weaving enterprise, said that in previous years, their orders were 80% of foreign trade and 20% of domestic trade. However, this year, due to the impact of Xinguan epidemic, foreign trade was depressed, and on the other hand, they consciously opened up new customers. Therefore, they gradually shifted their focus to domestic trade. At present, domestic trade has accounted for more than 70% of the total trade volume.
In late July, the textile market broke the shackles of the "off-season". Many textile owners said, "this wave of market has caught us off guard, and finally let us take some goods!"
According to the monitoring data, the transaction atmosphere of Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets has improved compared with the previous period, and most transactions are focused on autumn and winter fabrics. Both domestic and foreign trade markets have certain performance, especially the domestic market.
"From the end of the Dragon Boat Festival to last week, the market is really weak. Sometimes I sit in the sales department for an afternoon, and there won't be a call to purchase gray cloth," said Shen, who does the four side elastic fabric. "But this week is totally different. I have received calls for gray cloth in the early morning. Here it is 20000 meters, and there is 50000. Recently, the inventory in the warehouse has gone Bo, and some orders need to be ordered and queued. "
In addition, it is also used for the production of special fabrics such as suede, suede and so on Better.
It can be seen that the market has indeed released a positive signal, whether it is the price of raw materials or orders issued in autumn and winter, at least the social inventory has been rising steadily in the early stage. Most weaving manufacturers began to slow down or production and sales can be flat, a small number of manufacturers producing marketable products inventory is slightly lower, which also boosted the confidence of market participants.
According to the traditional practice, June and July belong to the traditional off-season of textile, and the phenomenon of load reduction and accumulated inventory in the market is also relatively common.
The difference between this year and previous years is that some enterprises have experienced the state of "low demand and high load" in the second quarter, and their own inventory has accumulated to a high level in recent years, and the pressure of capital is greater. Therefore, in the middle of June, the operation of rotation and holiday in the market is accelerated. The load of main clusters in Jiangsu and Zhejiang has been hovering around 60%, and the lower one is about 40%.
In the face of the current wave of market, the enterprises with better order receiving started to operate at full capacity, and the enterprises with general order receiving delayed the holiday plan to prepare for the market in August and September, resulting in a small increase in the market starting load.
According to the monitoring data, the water jet loom started to rise to about 70%, the warp knitting started at 70-80%, and the round knitting machine performed slightly worse, at about 40%. Compared with last week, it increased by 4% and there was no significant difference compared with the same period last year.
2、 Foreign trade market: risks still exist, Focus on developing new markets
In case of the recession, the textile industry still faces the impact of the slow growth of the foreign trade market It is easy for foreign trade to be suspended again. Can't we do foreign trade? Of course not. Europe and the United States have a large number of orders and relatively rich profits, but at the same time, we should also pay attention to the development of new markets.
In recent years, China has been initiating the belt and road initiative to cope with complex and profound changes in the world today. Countries along the belt and road are very good trade partners.
In addition, the regional comprehensive economic partnership (RCEP) will be signed in 2020, which will establish a free trade agreement of 16 countries with a unified market by reducing tariff and non-tariff barriers. If RCEP is successful, it will cover about 3.5 billion people, the total GDP will reach 23 trillion US dollars, accounting for 1 / 3 of the global total, and the region covered will also become the largest free trade zone in the world. Now, with the exception of India, the remaining 15 countries have concluded negotiations and started legal text review.
Therefore, many textile workers have begun to explore the markets of these countries and regions, especially in Japan, South Korea and other countries. Due to the relatively better control of the epidemic situation, the textile market demand has basically recovered to the pre epidemic situation.
Under the catalysis of the epidemic situation, the tendency of "unilateralism" in the United States has become more and more obvious. With trump, such a moody and eager to be re elected president, the political risk between China and the United States trade has become increasingly large.
For textile enterprises, under the influence of the epidemic situation, on the one hand, they should grasp the orders in hand, on the other hand, they should not put eggs in a basket and turn part of their attention to the domestic market. In terms of foreign trade, they should also actively expand the markets of countries with relatively small political risks, and strive to be well prepared.
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