Viscose Staple Fiber: Do You Want To Fight Against The Volume Defense In October

two thousand and twenty In, the price of viscose staple fiber continued to record low repeatedly, and the cash flow also dropped sharply. In the early article, it was mentioned that in the semi annual reports of listed companies involved in viscose staple fiber business, all the net profits belonging to the parent company were in a state of loss. In the first half of the year, the industry suffered from the epidemic situation, and it was difficult for the industry to effectively change the quantity even if the price was allowed. In the second half of the year, with the effective control of the domestic epidemic situation and the existence of the peripheral rigid demand orders, the viscose staple fiber urgently needed to slow down the loss, so as to appropriately neutralize the annual profit seven At the end of the month, viscose staple fiber again the last wave of significant price concessions, the market began to gradually move up, although the rise was slow, but by nine month fourteen At the end of the day, the overall average price of viscose staple fiber industry has moved up from the low point five hundred and fifty element / Tons.

Viscose staple fiber seven Low price shipment has been up to now fifty-five God, near two During the month, the actual transaction price of viscose staple fiber industry increased only five hundred and fifty element / At present, most of the production enterprises have low inventory of finished products. At the same time, under the situation that the profit recovery is urgently needed, the enterprise offer has even been increased to nine thousand and five hundred element / For the viscose staple fiber industry, the cash flow can turn negative to positive, but for the downstream, it is under heavy pressure, and the market price discourse power eventually turns to the selling direction nine thousand and five hundred element / T acceptance price concentration or still in the buyer to limit the rise in viscose, the mentality of the industry is more contradictory.

The biggest buyer cotton yarn disc processing fee is still low

The main buyer of viscose staple fiber chain is undoubtedly man-made cotton yarn, and most varieties of human cotton yarn have not been followed up synchronously. Among them, the price of vortex spinning is low in the early stage, and the market price rises rapidly under the condition of external order follow-up, but the rise of ring spinning, Siro spinning and compact Siro spinning is slow.

Comparison of price rising trend of main types of rayon yarn

Unit: Yuan / ton

In the case of slow price follow-up of man-made cotton yarn, the disc processing cost will not be effectively recovered. According to the current conventional yarn count of ring spinning and rotor spinning, the price of viscose staple fiber accepted by yarn enterprises is still in 8500-8700 element / T acceptance, this contrast viscose staple fiber manufacturers intend to restore the price to nine thousand and two hundred element / Tons and even nine thousand and five hundred element / As far as the price of tons is concerned, it is still poor 500-1000 element / Tons of space.

Insufficient new order and low price of cotton yarn

If it is necessary to improve the acceptance of the new price of viscose staple fiber by yarn enterprises, it is also necessary to follow up the yarn price. However, in view of the actual situation, although there are orders in the market of human and cotton yarn, most of the inquirers are traders, and the bid price is low, and the demand of direct downstream users is relatively general. If the yarn enterprises hold low price viscose staple fiber orders, they can undertake these orders, but if the order is large and lasts for a long time In the case of price increase of viscose staple fiber, the yarn enterprise will eventually cause its own loss; however, if the current price of viscose staple fiber is used to calculate the cost of yarn, the customer's acceptance will be greatly reduced. However, in view of the low inventory of viscose staple fiber, the yarn enterprise is not sure to bet that the price of viscose staple fiber will fall again, so the low order will eventually cause loss risk At present, the only way to reduce the number of new low price orders to undertake, even if there is a certain physical inventory, most of the mills are not willing to sell at low prices again.

How long can the support force of viscose staple fiber low inventory be maintained

Physical inventory of viscose staple fiber enterprises seven Since the last ten days of the month, a continuous decline is expected nine Inventory at the end of the month will fall to the low level of the year, nine There is no pressure on viscose staple fiber price in the month, but if the follow-up ten Faced with double knots in January, and the downstream can not bear the new price of viscose staple fiber, it is estimated that the production and sales rate of viscose staple fiber will decline thirty Percentage points, and ten Monthly production of viscose staple fiber is estimated at thirty-one In the case of 10000 tons, it is likely that ten During the end of the month, the physical inventory of viscose staple fiber was restored to seven The situation at the end of the month, and the winter epidemic situation cannot be determined, and it is difficult to protect the domestic market again. Under the situation of control measures in the same period of last year, the market may be even worse. However, if the production and sales rate declines, the strength should be controlled within 10-15 Percentage points, viscose staple fiber low storage state will be sustainable eleven The moon is safe.

Even if you have to make sure ten In order to accept the new price of viscose staple fiber, it is possible to increase the price to stimulate the improvement of the production and sales rate of the whole chain nine On the other hand, it may remain within the acceptable range of downstream yarn enterprises to stimulate transactions eleven The real improvement of yarn demand in January drives the chain price to continue to move up.