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Circulation Branch Of China Textile Federation: Professional Market Prosperity Index Declined In June
The prosperity monitoring results of China Textile Federation Circulation Branch show that in June 2023, the prosperity index of managers of the national textile and clothing professional market will be 48.82, down 1.88 percentage points from 50.70 in May; The business climate index of professional market was 49.71, down 0.62 percentage points from 50.33 in May.
1、 Prosperity of managers and decline of merchants
Data shows that in June, the boom index of managers and merchants in the national textile and clothing professional market declined.
1. Managers' prosperity index dropped by 1.88% ?
From the perspective of managers' prosperity index, in the total index, the managers' prosperity index in June was 48.82, down 1.88 percentage points from 50.70 in May; The business environment index was 47.74, down 3.23 percentage points from 50.97 in May.
Among the sub indexes, the total business volume index was 48.06, down 2.59 percentage points from 50.65 in May; The logistics shipment index was 48.06, down 2.59 percentage points from 50.65 in May; The passenger flow index was 48.39, 2.26 percentage points lower than 50.65 in May; The door opening rate index was 49.35, down 2.26 percentage points from 51.61 in May; The rental index was 49.35, down 0.97 percentage points from 50.32 in May; The e-commerce sales index was 49.68, down 0.64 percentage points from 50.32 in May.
2. Business climate index dropped 0.62 percentage points
From the perspective of business climate index, in the total index, the business climate index in June was 49.71, down 0.62 percentage points from 50.33 in May; The business environment index was 50.48, down 0.07 percentage points from 50.55 in May.
Among the sub indexes, the sales volume index was 49.59, down 0.96 percentage points from 50.55 in May; The average price index was 48.84, down 1.64 percentage points from 50.48 in May; The profitability index was 49.45, down 1.03 percentage points from 50.48 in May; The comprehensive cost index was 49.18, down 1.23 percentage points from 50.41 in May; The inventory index was 50.34, down 0.14 percentage points from 50.48 in May; The e-commerce sales index was 50.89, up 1.30 percentage points from 49.59 in May.
2、 Data analysis
1. The total market operation and logistics delivery index declined
In June, the proportion of the increase in the total business volume of the selected market was 0%, 25.81 percentage points lower than that in May; The proportion of the increase in the logistics delivery volume of the selected market is 0%, down 25.81 percentage points from May. It can be seen that the operation of the professional market in June has declined compared with May.
2. The total sales volume and profitability index of merchants were basically flat
In June, the proportion of total sales of selected merchants was 76.71%, and the proportion of profit of selected merchants was 78.08%, both exceeding 75%. It can be seen that the business situation of merchants in June was basically the same as that in May.
3、 Prediction index
Data shows that, for managers, the manager prosperity index in the next period is 47.74, down 1.94 percentage points from 49.68 in May; The business environment index for the next period was 47.74, down 2.26 percentage points from 50.00 in May. In terms of merchants, the business climate index of the next period is 50.48, down 0.14 percentage points from 50.62 in May; The business environment index for the next period was 50.48, up 0.07 percentage points from 50.41 in May.
enclosure:
1. Monitoring methods
"Prosperity index of textile and clothing professional market" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, select markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabrics, home textiles and small commodities nationwide, and fill in the managers' prosperity index questionnaire and merchants' prosperity index questionnaire respectively.
2. Monitoring samples
The managers' prosperity sample consists of 31 professional textile and clothing markets, including Guangzhou Baima Clothing Market, Shandong Jimo Clothing Market, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao Home Textile Market, Shanghai Xinqipu Clothing Market, and Liaoning Xiliu Clothing Market. The business prosperity sample consists of 147 businesses such as Taotao Clothing, Suntory Textile, Weibang Home Textile, and Vitoli Cashmere.
3. Monitoring period
The boom monitoring cycle shall be monthly, submitted at the end of each month, and released at the beginning of the next month.
4. Index composition
In the "Prosperity Index of Textile and Garment Professional Market", the "manager index" consists of four first level indexes, namely, the current manager prosperity index, the next manager prosperity index, the current business environment index, and the next business environment index; The "current manager prosperity index" consists of six secondary indexes, namely, total business volume index, logistics shipment index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.
The "merchant index" consists of four primary indexes, namely, the merchant prosperity index of the current period, the merchant prosperity index of the next period, the business environment index of the current period, and the business environment index of the next period; The "merchant boom index of the current period" consists of six secondary indexes, namely sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.
5. Exponential analysis
The positive index includes managers' total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales proportion index and merchant sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the greater the value, the more optimistic it will be; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The smaller the number, the more pessimistic.
The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's cost pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the cost pressure; The cost index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's cost pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; The inventory index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's inventory pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.
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