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    The Domestic Demand Market Will Become The Pillar Of The Industry Development.

    2009/1/13 11:42:00 18

    Domestic Demand Industry Development

    "In 2009, under the international financial crisis, insufficient external demand will cause greater pressure on the export of textile industry, but there will still be favorable conditions for stabilizing export.

    Domestic policy tends to be loose, and domestic demand market tends to be stable. Domestic demand will gradually become the main support to ensure the development of the industry. "

    In January 10th, Wang Tiankai, vice president of China Textile Industry Association, analyzed and judged the economic growth trend and Countermeasures of China's textile industry in 2009 at the annual meeting of China spinning round table Forum 2009.

    Leaders and experts from the National Bureau of statistics, Ministry of finance, Ministry of Commerce, Ministry of industry and information technology, representatives of China Textile Industry Association and textile and textile machinery manufacturing enterprises have conducted in-depth analysis and heated discussion on national financial support for stimulating domestic demand, macro financial and monetary policies and corporate financing strategies, the trend of national industrial operation in 2009, the international environment of textile exports, and the difficulties and Countermeasures Faced by enterprises.

    In 2008, influenced by the economic situation at home and abroad, the operation of the textile economy was very grim. The specific performance was: the pace of production slowed down significantly, investment fell sharply, exports overall shrank, industry profits decreased, and losses continued to expand.

    The latest statistics show that the total profit of textile enterprises above designated size is 104 billion 200 million yuan, with a growth rate of -1.77%.

    The number of deficit enterprises has increased from 7292 last year to 9654, and the industry deficit has expanded from 16.97% to 20.44%.

    In the month of 2008 1~11, the number of textile enterprises above Designated Size began to suffer negative growth for the first time, a decrease of 1.24% compared with the same period last year.

    Based on this difficult situation, the textile industry is highly concerned about the economic situation and industry development in 2009. The annual meeting of the forum attracted more than 300 industry participants.

    Wang Tiankai pointed out that analyzing and judging the trend of the textile industry in 2009 should focus on the external economic environment of two aspects, international and domestic.

    On the international side, the financial crisis will continue to shrink the demand of the international market. In 2009, China's textile exports may decline further, and at the same time, it will be faced with the interference of trade protectionism.

    But from the perspective of market fundamentals and competition, the textile industry still has room for development in the international market.

    From the domestic perspective, overall, the domestic economic environment facing the textile industry in 2009, especially the policy environment, will be better than that in 2008.

    First, China's macroeconomic policy has changed from "one insurance one control" in early 2008 to "ensuring growth, expanding domestic demand and adjusting the structure", and issued a series of timely and flexible coping strategies.

    In addition to the "10+6" measures to stimulate domestic demand and promote the healthy development of the textile industry in the fourth quarter of last year, the State Council will also announce the 3 year revitalization plan for the textile industry, creating favorable conditions to ensure the development of the textile industry and promote industrial upgrading.

    Second, in 2008, China's economic fundamentals remained healthy and achieved a good situation of social stability and unity, which played a positive role in restoring the confidence of the textile industry in 2009.

    Wang Tiankai said that the domestic demand market has great potential and will provide a larger market space for the textile industry.

    On the one hand, domestic consumer demand for clothing and household textiles is increasing. With the implementation of the policy to improve the income and consumption ability of rural residents, the rural consumption at a relatively low level will increase at a relatively rapid rate. The income level of urban residents will also increase steadily. The total retail sales growth in 2009 is expected to remain around 20%.

    On the other hand, as the state increases investment in infrastructure construction and medical and health services, it will stimulate the demand for industrial textiles, such as geosynthetics, medical and health textiles, and promote industrial research and application capabilities.

    Xu Weimin, chairman of Jiangsu Dong Du Textile Group, is deeply touched by export difficulties.

    He said that because of the decline in external demand and the pfer of orders, this year's export situation is not optimistic.

    The experience of enterprises is: fewer and fewer bills, shorter and shorter time, lower and lower prices, and more and more risks.

    In a keynote speech, Yao Jingyuan, a famous economist and chief economist of the National Bureau of statistics, pointed out that the world financial crisis not only affected China's exports, but also further affected China's industrial growth, resulting in industrial growth of above scale in November 2008.

    But industrialization, urbanization, marketization and internationalization as an important stage feature of economic development, the ability to provide basic strength for China's economic growth is still strong, so the financial crisis will not change the basic trend of China's economic growth.

    It is worth noting that in 2009, the investment, consumption and export drive the economic growth of the three carriages, the export situation will be very severe.

    Zhu Hongren, director of the Bureau of operation and coordination of the Ministry of industry and information technology, said that from the perspective of industrial development, the first half of this year, especially the first quarter, will be the most difficult period.

    He pointed out that the measures taken by the central government to stimulate economic growth have played a part in some aspects.

    Although the national industrial operation data has not been published in December 2008, there have been signs of warming from some industrial indicators.

    For example, in 2008, December, upper, middle and lower three tenth, the index of industrial electricity consumption has gradually increased, and the price of steel products has started to rise slightly from the lowest point, and some important raw materials have been slightly increased in recent times.

    This situation is a trend that deserves our attention and attention.

    Participants agreed that export difficulties in 2009 will be further increased.

    As a result, the domestic demand market will become an important support to ensure the steady development of the textile industry.

     

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