New Trend Of Leather Import And Export In 09 Years

Faced with the most difficult period in the past thirty years, the pressure brought by changes in the international and domestic economic environment has brought China's leather industry to a "difficult time".

Under such circumstances, the leather industry will inevitably face many unprecedented difficulties and challenges, and this kind of difficulty can not be spent in a short time.

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And the products industry still stubbornly maintained the development trend of "steady and slightly rising". The production grew fairly fast, the profit level increased, the dependence on foreign trade continued to decrease, the import and export grew steadily, and the proportion of the trade surplus decreased.

Tanning, leather, clothing, fur and other industries were greatly affected by the macroeconomic regulation and control policies of the country.

Exports fell for the first time in seven years.

The closure and relocation of some export enterprises are the result of the comprehensive effects of market survival, resource costs, taxation and industrial policy adjustment. The essence is the inevitable process of industrial gradient pfer.

The industry has quietly accelerated the pace of pferring to the central and western regions and Southeast Asia.

It is understood that the south-east coastal provinces, especially in Guangdong Province, have a large number of enterprises, but such pfers are gradual and tentative rather than migratory.

The direction of pfer is preferred in the more remote areas of the province, followed by Southeast Asian and domestic neighboring provinces such as Jiangxi, Anhui, Hunan or some industrial base areas such as Sichuan and Chongqing.

This is undoubtedly the focus of the industry's common concern. It is very important to correctly understand the trend of industrial pfer and grasp the opportunities for development in the process of pfer.

History has proved that the pfer of leather industry is the necessity of market economy law, and also the positive expression of the industry itself in order to seek sustainable development, adjust its structure and explore new development mode. Through comprehensive analysis, it is estimated that China's total import and export volume will reach US $2 trillion and 600 billion in 2008, an increase of about 20% over the same period last year.

In 2009, uncertainties and unstable factors will continue to increase. Uncertainties in the international economic situation will increase, and the impact on China's import and export will be further deepened.

But opportunities are still greater than challenges.

The deterioration of the spread, the domestic economic slowdown, the appreciation of the renminbi, the decline in investment in major industries, and international trade protectionism and other adverse factors, China's export growth has dropped markedly this year, the profits of enterprises have been seriously compressed, and the trade environment has been deteriorating.

In the past 10 months, China's import and export situation is generally good, but the global financial market turmoil is hard to recover in the short term, and the demand for the international market will continue to weaken.

The World Bank expects that the world economic growth rate will be 2.7% and 2.5% in the next two years, especially in the developed countries led by the US.

According to the relevant estimates, the US GDP growth rate dropped by 1 percentage points, the growth rate of China's exports will decline by 4.75 percentage points, the EU's economic growth rate dropped by 1 percentage points, the electronic products exported to the EU will drop by 15/1000, and the textile and garment industry will drop by 5/1000.

This fully shows that China's economic growth has obvious characteristics of "capital expansion" and "export oriented".

The export tariffs of some commodities will also be cut down in early December.

China's export enterprises, which are in financial "cold winter", are generally processing enterprises. How to survive the long and severe winter is a big challenge.

The enterprise itself should strengthen its own management, strengthen innovation, change product structure, practice hard work, and change the marketing strategy according to the changes in the international market, and change the marketing target.

Exports increased by 21.9%, down 4.6 percentage points from the same period last year, and imports increased by 27.6%, 7.8 percentage points higher than the same period last year.

The export growth rate is lower than the import growth rate by 5.7 percentage points, the gap narrowed by 1.1 percentage points compared with 1-9 months.

The trade surplus reached 216 billion US dollars in the 1-10 months, an increase of 1.3%.

Exports are an important driving force for China's economic growth.

According to the accounting data of the National Bureau of statistics, exports accounted for 37% of GDP in 2007. The contribution rate of net exports of goods and services to GDP growth was 21.5%, and the growth of GDP was 2.6 percentage points.

In the first half of this year, the contribution rate of net exports of goods and services to economic growth was 4.9%, down 16.8 percentage points from the same period last year, pushing the economic growth by only 0.5 percentage points.

Export trade continued to show a downward trend in October, compared with the same month last year, exports increased by 19.2%, down 3.1 percentage points.

The ratio fell by 2.3 percentage points, less than 3.4 percentage points of imports.

The biggest decline is still processing trade, which grew by 8.5% in the month and 12.7 percentage points down.

In October, import trade increased by 15.6% over the same period last year, not only lower than the same month last year's growth rate of 9.9 percentage points, but also lower than the growth rate of 5.7 percentage points last month, the lowest growth rate this year.

Export growth rate is 3.6 percentage points higher than that of import, and the gap is 3.4 percentage points larger than that of last month.

In the same month, the foreign trade surplus reached US $35 billion 240 million, an increase of 29.8%.

In the import trade, the fastest fall was the processing trade, which grew by only 1.9% in the month, down 16.6 percentage points compared with the same month last year, and the general trade increased by 30.1%, down 7.1 percentage points.

First, exports of labour intensive products such as clothing, toys and plastic products have slowed down.

Judging from the situation of Canton Fair this fall, the third phase of textile and clothing products, which are mainly labor-intensive products, have been greatly reduced. Next year, the export situation is not optimistic.

Two, imports of textile products, such as textile raw materials, paper and paperboard, billets and rough forgings, continue to decrease.

Three, the growth of import and export of electromechanical products and high-tech products is stable.

Since July, the monthly trade surplus has increased continuously, increasing year by year.

In October, the trade surplus was US $35 billion 240 million, an increase of US $8 billion 100 million over the same period last year, a record high, an increase of 29.8% over the same period last year, which is 7.6 percentage points higher than that in September.

At the same time, the cumulative foreign trade surplus decreased year by year, and the cumulative surplus in October decreased.

In the 1-10 month, the surplus of foreign trade totaled US $215 billion 990 million, an increase of US $2 billion 740 million over the same period last year, an increase of 1.3%, compared with a decrease of 2.7% in 1-9 months.

In bilateral trade with my major trading partners, bilateral trade growth has slowed down, and bilateral trade with India has grown rapidly.

Bilateral trade between China and emerging market countries has increased rapidly.

We can predict that, for quite a long time, the southeastern coast of China is still the center of trade, scientific research, information, design, R & D and brand manufacturing and output of the leather industry in China, while the labor-intensive processing industry is pferred, leaving the highest value-added part of the leather industry.