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    Non OPEC Oil Output Is Close To The Top?

    2009/1/8 0:00:00 57

      

    Global oil

    3 barrels per 5 barrels come from non OPEC oil producing countries, and the data released by some organizations have shown that the oil supply situation of non OPEC countries is not good enough, which is undoubtedly another push for high oil prices.

    There is also a view that the current output of non OPEC countries has been

    Touch top

    Analysts of Barclays Capital predict that the oil output of non OPEC countries will drop by 40 thousand barrels this year.

    Credit Suisse predicts that the oil production of non OPEC countries will not advance or decline until 2012 or even later.

    Citigroup said recently that non OPEC oil production is unlikely to increase this year.

    Mike Wittner, an oil analyst at Societe Generale, said: "the oil output of non OPEC countries is facing the risk of zero growth, and their output has undoubtedly reached the top."

    and

    petroleum

    He also believes that global oil production capacity has reached the top of 85 million barrels per day.

    Analysts believe that in recent years, non OPEC oil production is less than estimated for a number of reasons.

    First, the new oil field has been delayed, and the production of the exploited oil field has dropped faster than expected, and unpredictable factors such as hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico.

    Second, the output of several major non OPEC oil producing areas has declined. The output of Beihai oilfield and Mexico oilfield has declined, and Russian oil production has almost stagnated in recent years.

    according to

    International Energy

    The IEA reported that the average daily oil production in Russia was 9 million 950 thousand barrels per day in May, down fifth consecutive months from the previous year, and Russia's daily oil output in 2008 was expected to be unchanged at 10 million 100 thousand barrels.

    IEA also believes that the supply of crude oil in non OPEC countries is expected to rise sharply in the last few months of 2008.

    Barclay questioned that IEA's prediction may not be realized in the end.

    "We believe that IEA overestimates the ability of non OPEC producers to increase supply and ease the situation in the short term."

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